Robbie Garrett
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Everything posted by Robbie Garrett
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We left the windows open, parts of the house now has lots of water in it. Oopsy!! Car Alarms going off, roads flash flooded here. Is there more to come, as this just came out of nowhere... -
Unbelievable... Tropical Rainfall right now, booming thunder and lightning in SE17. My god, I can't see outside much, it's windy and gusty tooo :O
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London 10 minutes ago.
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That storm that was over CAEN is spinning of some convection by the looks of things. Multiple Cells popping up. MCS in the early hours maybe? It did say around about 3-4 that things would get organised around here.
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1997/1999 was my last proper one
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Just uploading a quick mobile video now, I have got two Thunderstorms to the west and southwest of me, this is good. It's a pretty good light show at the moment. Absolutely amazing stuff!! I haven't seen Lightning like this at night since 1997!! I just hope and MCS forms soon...
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Convection absolutely exploding looking at SAT24 to the south. Looks to be associated with that ex-storm over CAEN earlier, 3rd Thunderstorm of the night coming through now...
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This cell near Heathrow is festering exploding. 10 thunder flashes. Woooohoo!
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Another three flashes of Thunder and lightning for me here in London.
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Yes, one or two flashes that I witnessed. Very odd, the air around us is destablising very very quickly. I suspect one or two hours before things go bang tonight. If they don't, I don't know what to say anymore.
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Just had a high altitude CC lightning, with a rumble of Thunder. Something off the edge of Heathrow, EGLL 222250Z 17004KT 140V280 CAVOK 23/17 Q1014 TEMPO TSRA BKN045CB
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Chucking it down here...
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Tomorrow's Aviation Chart says don't go flying...
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It is the the way the MetOffice bring data on to a web format for the future or something like that. It's available on there main website now as a full product for free. Other data I use is the Aviation Website. That's at 1am This is at 4am, expanding and exploding...
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Metoffice model showing the first of the frounts/troughs hitting early hours. Does look like 1 or 2 MCS forming near Bay of Biscay heading North/North East looking at there Invent. Not sure what to do at the moment. Might go chill for a few hours, see if anything explodes. If the front MAINTAINS momentum then something similar to June 2011 (during the day) only this time at night happens, then we could get explosive storms in the next few hours. If it doesn't happen this morning then I cannot really understand what on earth is going on. KEEP an eye on South West English Channel and Isle of Wight in the next two hours.
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See my previous post, wind should start coming directly from the south. Should, should head this direction....
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Keep an eye on that forming storm south of Caen. Airport TAF has something arriving in London and the South East this evening/early morning. Storms forming in some good CAPE/MUCAPE over the otherside of the channel, something we don't have this side. Keep an eye out as that MU CAPE drifts northwards towards London & SE, I suspect the channel imports will survive tonight. Wind direction turning slightly north as the evening progresses, as the fronts approach. LONDON/GATWICK EGKK 221830Z 2218/2324 22010KT CAVOK PROB30 TEMPO 2218/2308 5000 +SHRA TSRA BKN040CB BECMG 2220/2223 VRB04KT PROB40 2223/2306 4000 HZ TEMPO 2308/2320 5000 TSRA BKN035CB PROB40 TEMPO 2309/2320 1500 +TSGR PROB30 TEMPO 2320/2324 6000 SHRA Good chance of something tonight me thinks, TAF says yes....
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Convection exploding around me. Not sure what to make of it till I get home and check.
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I think this is a case of Radar watching tonight... somewhere is going to go bang and not just one or two locations but mutliple locations. TS and CB moving into SW england by midnight. Main risk for London & Home Counties is tomorrow by the looks of things.
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Bugger... It's decaying and starting to head more east towards as it goes over the Channel.
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A Lightning show tonight more than anything is the most I am expecting, but they may become surface based when they hit the downs though I take it? Urban heat affect can also spice things up and they may re-explode....
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The problem with this morning was that the North Sea fog drifted very far in-land and that's because there was next to no wind, temperatures where not high and dew-points where pretty high. When I arrived at Biggin it was 16/17*C and the Dewpoint was 15-16*C giving a 600ft cloudbase and mist. The storm will clear the air allowing for nice blue skies tomorrow with very similar conditions to 2011 that day we had 2,500 CAPE and -12 LI over the UK. 34-35*C possible. Thunderstorm will clear northwards and probably die as it tracks over the UK. That's what generally happens these days. I am not so sure it's going to actually hit Central/Southern England/London & SE - MetOffice saying the wind pushes it towards BENELUX and it disintergrates over the channel, but this is looking good so far. We will soon find out, it's heading out to the Channel now, with storms building behind it. Classic MCS behavior.
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That MCS is exploding, what might happen and generally happens is it will be about the size of Southern England by the time it gets here, probably lasting till 4-5am, that's best guess at the moment. TROUGH centered just south of the coast at midnight. EDIT: Currently Engulfing the Channel Islands. EGJJ 211920Z 14018KT 4000 -TSRA BKN035CB 21/18 Q1016 TEMPO 3000 TSRA
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Ocassional in area C1 7KM Showers of rain with isolated Thunderstorms/Shower of heavy rain. OVERCAST in area C1 but ISOLATED embedded CB mainly TROUGH. It's all up in the OPEN I'd say, from my childhood I remember having the ODD overnight MCS/Thunderstorms out of nowhere. This could be the case tonight... It spoiled my day today, wanted to go Manston and see the NEW BA A380 departing/landing to from RAF Fairford but the cloud and vis was on the floor most of the day.
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Slow moving FOG and MIST normally, same as this morning (North SEA murk)...
