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Eskimo

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Everything posted by Eskimo

  1. I think the models will come on board with the intense low on Monday, I don't believe it will as intense as the models say it will be but I reckon there will be some consistency with this next system at least.
  2. I'm sure the MetOffice are twitching at that chart.
  3. Latest NMM, wouldn't surprise me if some places saw 100mph going by this chart :O
  4. Here's the gust chart. Probably 70-80mph gusts.
  5. GFS is predicting gale force winds for the southwest for nearly 24 hours...jesus!
  6. Isobars slightly tighter on the 12z for Saturday
  7. Quite a few storms have been lower than the 1987 one. Remember it isn't to do with how deep the centre is, it's how tight the isobars are, the tighter they are, the stronger the winds. The 1987 storm did have a sting jet, as confirmed from the metoffice write up. "The famous ‘Great Storm’ cut a swathe of damage across South-east England in the early hours of the 16th October 1987. It was a good example of a storm with a ’Sting Jet’"http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/media/pdf/2/p/Sting_Jet_Flyer.PDF
  8. I see we are still comparing every storm to 1987. Shows that even 27 years later, it's still remains as a benchmark!
  9. I remember someone posted one of them charts 2 weeks ago showing 6-8 inches of snow for the spine of the country from day 5. Eeek!
  10. I was just about to do it John lol As you can see from these charts, the low heads northwards. On its north and west flank, there could be some wintriness as colder air wraps around it from the West...yes...the west. Here is the 850's
  11. My updated warnings map. There is sufficient enough evidence to support a potentially dangerous period between the 3rd - 10th February. I would obviously normally provide forecasts for the Southeast but I feel this week warrants my help and warnings to those across the whole southern portion of England & Wales. System after system will effect the UK this week bringing outbreaks of heavy rain. With the ground already heavily saturated, this is looking serious for those already flooded or on the brink of flooding. Please be aware that if you are prone to flooding and are located in the red areas, act now as a precaution. This is an unusually wet period and there is a high likelihood of river flooding. Details will be firmed up in the next 24-48 hours. If you know anyone who lives in these areas, please share this post, it's not for my benefit but for theirs. Flood advice number. 0845 988 1188 https://www.facebook.com/LondonAndTheSouthEastWeather?bookmark_t=page
  12. My updated warnings map. There is sufficient enough evidence to support a potentially dangerous period between the 3rd - 10th February. I would obviously normally provide forecasts for the Southeast but I feel this week warrants my help and warnings to those across the whole southern portion of England & Wales. System after system will effect the UK this week bringing outbreaks of heavy rain. With the ground already heavily saturated, this is looking serious for those already flooded or on the brink of flooding. Please be aware that if you are prone to flooding and are located in the red areas, act now as a precaution. This is an unusually wet period and there is a high likelihood of river flooding. Details will be firmed up in the next 24-48 hours. If you know anyone who lives in these areas, please share this post, it's not for my benefit but for theirs. https://www.facebook.com/LondonAndTheSouthEastWeather?bookmark_t=page
  13. I am a die hard snow fan but my attention has now been taken away from that, I've now just begun to realise the grave situation much of the Southwest are in. Some places could see 150mm over the next week or so and that is absolutely shocking.
  14. Ive seen a lot of people say, "As soon as Winter is over, the better!" As if the weather follows the seasons and on March 1st, it suddenly comes dry and sunny.
  15. This is exceptional for February though, it's rare to see storms this powerful in a month that's statistically the most quiet.
  16. They could have at least stopped to see if he was okay...away from the immediate shoreline of course.
  17. Looks more likely to be a transient ridge of high pressure with the low following on behind it, however it certainly looks better than the GFS.
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