SnowObsessor90
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Posts posted by SnowObsessor90
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Really hope it happens this year. At least anything will be an improvement on last summer!
Well as odd as this may sound last summer was actually an improvement for me compared to several others before, it actually happened to be hot and sunny when I went on holiday down south for a week last July which is obviously something that cannot be taken for granted here in the UK.
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Based on sods law I'm predicting a cold and unsettled spring, one where heights over Greenland finally establish themselves leaving members of Net Weather to curse their luck again.
True, 'Gavin' may be starting to perk up at any early signs of spring but come the end of the summer I can quite easily see him being quite disgruntled again, just like several people on here now are as this season draws to a close.
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Woo, we finally have Snow here, only very light mind too bad that conditions weren't ripe for it when we had the bulk of the precipitation earlier.
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Well you can always trust the NW regional thread to put a dampener on your mood, after Fridays downgrades I really wasn't expecting much anywho and had become content about that eventuality but now I'm depressed again.
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I feel disappointed too. Yes, it snowed but it ruddy went near enough as soon as it settled and that's the tough bit for me personally, I want lying snow. Basically I want it all!
It could have been so much better I agree but still I managed to build a snowman which lasted for around a week so I suppose I can't grumble entirely.
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No comment on the ECM ensembles, I'm guessing that they're nothing to write home about then which will do nothing but add to general gloom around this place.
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To be fair winter has not really got started,very poor IMO
C.S
There seems to be a bit revisionism going on here, we had a fair bit of snow last month I seem to remember, sure much of the cover left by the heavier bursts didn't really last all that long but still it was better than nothing at all i.e last winter.
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Still nothing but rain here. I knew it wouldn't snow, but still, sigh.
I have noticed a slight drop however or does that mean sod all?
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Hmmm, looking at some the more recent runs maybe I was bit too premature in calling off winter a couple days back when it looked everything had fallen apart or was just about to, still won't buy it until we starting getting some proper consistency on this mind.
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The colder air is coming up to us by 7pm you wont be complaining as much.
Is there still a chance for this to have an effect on the more southern parts of the region?, there's no Backtrack on here tonight so I presume he's already given up.
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It would have been on list for me too if it wasn't for the rapid thawing under cloud cover in between the more snowy episodes during the last cold spell, sadly that put a bit of a dampener on things.from a personal point of view I will add this winter to the list. been reasonable here. recall two weeks of lying snow too and still not over.
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This winter so far has been great in terms of falling snow.
Average in terms of lying snow (never sticking around for more than a day or two)
WELL above average in terms of minimas, not recorded anything below -2C all winter.
One thing I do hope is that in several years time we won't still be here reminiscing about how good the winters of 09/10 and 10/11 were in respect the 'average', even come the slight more nearer future we'll already be 3 years on from December 2010...
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So it looks like yet another forecast could well be on it's way to going down the pan.
I guess all it does is reaffirm the point that we're still a million miles away from making a breakthrough in long range forecasting and that's no disrespect to those who do try and give a real go year on year with exception of the likes of Madden of course.
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Game over for this winter now really, sure we may get some transient events and a toppler or two, but lets put this pee poor winter to bed and look forward to some warmth.
IMBY it's certainly been an improvement on the last one but honestly that isn't really saying given what was initially forecasted by quite a few of our more esteemed members, back to the drawing board for them methinks.
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It seems that this thread has now flatlined now as well, could there still be scope for further improvements or has our winter literally just ended?
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How are things now looking for the more southern parts of the region based on the latest data?
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The SEstern biased MOD thread seems to be on suicide watch at the minute, hopefully the same won't apply to this thread come the morning or as early as tonight's 18z even.
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So we await the 12zs, personally I won't be too let down if all this comes to nothing as prior to Sunday when I was playing catch up on all of the most recent Model ongoings I honestly really wasn't expecting all that much anyways.
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indeed it's hailing relentless round these parts at the minute, glad I'm not out there.Whatever's falling outside is among the heaviest and most severe weather I've seen. The wind and the precip. Actually took my breath away as I stepped outside. Absolutely mental!
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looks like we might get the elusive greenland high at +350odd
not total implausible as the evolution follows the lobe of PV moving away from greenland as is being predicted.
edit: nope - GFS can topple highs even at +384
It'll arrive eventually, probably in april where it'll most likely provide just cool and showery conditions for most lol
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http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?ech=132&code=0&mode=1
No it's not happening still to much energy
Sadly as has been pointed that has been the case all winter, now whilst a slider type scenario similar to last month is a definite possibility the chance of us seeing any prolonged deep cold with a strong scandi or Greenland block before the winters out has to be outside bet at present.
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Sods says that we'll be back to a much more typical Northern hemispheric pattern with a raging Polar Vortex next year if not much manages to materialise out of the current state of affairs this month but ah well I can hardly say that I've had next to nothing out of this this winter.
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We had this before back in Jan when some Models such as the GFS underestimated the blocking but then there's no garruntees the same this so as others have said the fence is probably wisest place to be for the time being.
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I'm starting to get a real sense of deja vu from the models at the minute and I don't necessarily mean that in a bad way.....
Model Mayhem - Moan, Ramp, Go Nuts
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted · Edited by SnowObsessor90
So the the Model rollercoaster seems to still be going on and on, every time I think about calling time on this winter for good this always seems to happen lol