SnowObsessor90
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Posts posted by SnowObsessor90
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Meh I'd rather I'd rather see some records broken.We don't need temps of 25c and above, temps of 19c 20c like this bank holiday weekend is perfectly good enough as long as we have lots of sunshine, maybe you want it a bit higher if you want to sunbathe i suppose
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Well the FI on this latest GFS run certainly seems to more along the lines of what was/is expected as we head into June, hopefully 12z was just going of on one earlier.
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Indeed and as has already pointed out one thing that has has been apparent so far this Spring is the lack of proper heights in and around the Greenland area as opposed last year when just couldn't seem to stay away from there for too long , if things stay like that then I'd say that things aren't looked too shabby heading into SummerThe Gfs 06z turns into a brilliant run with high pressure dominant throughout, especially through FI where high pressure becomes centred right over the uk and it becomes warm/very warm with temps well into the low to mid 70's F. As for next week, some rain and showers around on monday but apart from that it's a dry and fine week with long sunny spells and feeling pleasantly warm in the strong may sunshine as the atlantic ridge ebbs and flows close to the west of the uk, nights turning cooler after midweek with a risk of grass frost in places, especially northern rural locations, then it becomes warmer and warmer. I would BANK this run, it's a cracker overall.
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Well this latest GFS run finally does the type of thing we'd like to see as we close in on the start of summer, now if only it could be brought into the reliable time frame.
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I have to say I do like how the pattern eventually evolves later on in this particular GFS run with high pressure to our east starting to exert more of an influence, the ECM has also toyed with this idea over recent runs so certainly something to watch out for that is for sure.
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Just been out in the back garden over the last few to try and make the most of this nice weather, I really hope that that this is just merely an early taster of things to come this Summer rather than this potential NW/SE split which which some seem to be going on about which would typically favour those who live further south and east.
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Indeed, it seems as if the Atlantic is now taking the opportunity to let of some real steam after being suppressed for so long.wow Capel Curig met office station in north Wales recorded a gust of 81 MPH at last observation.OMG just had a really strong gust here, this feels like a proper autumn atlantic storm not a passing spring front.
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Any chance of some nice, warm and sunny weather round these parts this weekend or are going to get the short end of the stick as per usual?
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Hill snow maybe for wales, midlands, maybe pennine snow and cumbrian fells, north yorkshire moors, southern uplands but it's a lot more marginal than when we had the severe blizzards but the synoptics are similar but the depth of cold will be less so cold rain for many lowland areas but sleet and wet snow risk increases further north and on hills/mountains.
Have to say that description reminds very much of how things panned out last year from April onwards bar the odd warmer blip here and there, hope this year doesn't end up heading in a similar direction.
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Well mine's become quite a bit smaller than it was initially lets just put that way, still fact that any still remains at all is notable considering the time year , my last built back in Jan only lasted for round about a week before the Atlantic came crashing through.
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More in the way of what we saw for a brief period late last July really where I was lucky enough to have quite few relaxing days on the beach.
Obviously what I hope for and what I expect are two different things altogether though.
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It's not just the ECM that's hinting a patern change in FI, the GFS is does also albeit quite a bit further into low res, could we finally be beginning to see early hints of the end of the road perhaps?
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It's been snowing pretty ever since I woke up really, it's not sticking on the paths or roads but a proving nice little top for the areas of cover still remaining from a few days ago.
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Gavin shouldn't be too disastified with this run, lot's of high pressure about right through to the deepest FI lol
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By now you just don't even bother look at the models as you know the outcome.
If you want something mild then perhaps looking at the NAO/AO is some strong advice as they begin to go negative we will see the uppers more reasonable for this time of the year.
So I guess answer to that is a yes lol
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Has cold now fully become the new mild in most members minds? as you would so think going by the lack of comment on the latest ECM.
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Nothing here, not that'd make any difference going by the posts above.
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Esmebles remaining really quite cold throughout
Certainly don't see any ending to our cold spell anytime soon. Maybe becoming less cold but no real mild in sight.
Yup of course you can't rule out sudden flips at any given moment but if things continue at this rate then people would be grateful for a gradual warm up to just wet and cool conditions ala April tells it's own story really.
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Is there some problem with the ECM updating on net weather?, it's just that shows mild whilst whilst apparently according to some it's actually colder?
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teits and crewcold both have said they are looking foreward to something warmer,
To be fair he's only in that mindset because he missed out whilst areas not too far away like here got absolutely pasted lol
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Go away Sun! yes I know kinda of weird to be talking like that at this time of year but still...
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I can hear the dreaded drip, drip outside that others were referring to now!
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Still coming down, powdery sort of stuff, although it's sliding off cars and you can hear dripping. Probably be gone before too long tomorrow
Hopefully the fact that I'm slightly further in land will make a difference for me here, if Backtrack now comes in with a negative update I'm probably screwed however.
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Not a football fan I take it?
Make that 5-0
Nah, just not all that fussed about England.
Model Output Discussion 12z 23/05/13
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
Typical, the moment I start to get even a little carried away a run like that comes out