karlos1983

Euro4 06z take on things for ppn type on Wednesday morning,

I'm off to Sussex on Wednesday, so might see something when going over the downs. You would be ill-advised to listen to me... #fact

Oh I see on the radar the channel islands are getting peppered with showers of a wintry nature, WTF!

Yep, Ian F aside, I usually focus on what Nick S and BA's musings are as they usually give a pretty good view of what actually might happen with good explanation and reasons as to why/where and what to look for. as well as our very own AWD of course! I always find Ian F comments very cryptic! Plus always look out for my comments, usually spot on 0.99% of the time .......

What is the MJO doing playing Call Of Duty anyway while I'm stuck at work

Jan 2016 i believe

any cloud present, that ice day could be under threat I fear if not! Some cold spell this

Well that ssw(warming event!) should be taken with a lorry load of salt!! as shown by the 06z GFS, it is nowhere near as pronounced, we would really need this to happen early feb latest and not be pushed back to mid-late feb as we will not see the benefit. I for one don't want April and May to blocked to the North, pushing cold muck for the spring months!

Looks like a Dangler setting up. Shows on Euro4 as well http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/expertcharts?LANG=en&MENU=0000000000&CONT=ukuk&MODELL=euro4&MODELLTYP=1&BASE=-&VAR=prty&HH=12&ZOOM=0&ARCHIV=0&RES=0&WMO=&PERIOD=

The showers heading for our region have pepped up in the last 30-45 mins. Gloucester looks like it could be in line and Cardif, then into Somerset if they stay the course!

Those little specks showing up on the Radar, someone is mocking us! "Here's afew flakes of snow SW England, but as for the rest of the week, pfft forget it" thanks then

I wonder if that ppn will make it all the way south? Sun down in next 2 hours. Hmmm

Wednesday is our window of opportunity I reckn! Although by we I mean everyone except me of course!

Tight lines

If I'm honest not good this time round. Hopefully Feb will bring better chances!

Been watching the radar all evening and the snow line is defo moving South. Now looks to be South of M4, was mid Wales across at about 5pm.

Humidity is the problem for me, sitting at 97%, 1 even 2c is no good.

Yes it is but I think cloud cover is less here. Now at 1.4C dp 1.1C.

1.2C dp 0.9C

it's ok GFS saves the day Pheeewwwww

I'm off to the technical thread :-p

Temp -0.3C dp -0.5C, all rain has created a thick layer of ice. Had to pour warm water over my car doors as they froze shut. Now the Upton bypass is closed west bound, I'm guessing due to an accident, which no doubt has something to do with the ice! Hope they are ok EDIT: it seems the police took the decision to close the road due to ice before an accident occurred. Well done them.

Well it was -2.7c here and it rained, not impressed!

Yep doesn't make pretty reading. I challenge anyone to argue the case for prolonged cold against those charts along with the 12z and 18z....... Good luck!

Hmm, I get what your saying with runs chopping a lot, but the trend is clear, which is away from a deep prolonged cold spell or prolonged cold spell. The writing is on the wall for me, anyone hoping to wake up to the Stella runs of 48 hours ago, i'd suggest you lower your expectations, it's not often we see a reverse back to cold of that degree after a climb down at this stage. Plenty of chances to come with it only being mid Jan, but this should act as a reminder that t96 max is fantasy land in these setups, why did we all (including myself) trust chats that were 5-6 days away? probably down to the fact they are the best charts we've seen for some considerame time. Some will see snow over the next few days but the prolonged cold spell is done and dusted now for me. I'll happily eat my words if I'm wrong, but I very much doubt it.