Right just spent the past 2 hours sorting my weather station out, under prepared, but all working I think. Mapantz can I get a pressure reading pal, I need to calibrate.
Nice Tweet from Ian F
" W Country Tues brings a much colder day: between 5-10C less than today's values. Consistent snow signal in latest high-resolution modelling"
small steps people, small steps!
To my eye the snow risk looks more increased for our region Overnight Tuesday into Wednesday morning according to the GFS Op, which equates to a very quiet Model Thread it would seem
EDIT, more so on the GFS(P) until the next run.
I'd take a snowflake mixed in with the rain after the past 2 years of naf all! as long as it's before midnight, darn council turns the lamp posts off. very inconsiderate
Seen many Scandi Highs survive Atlantic onsaught. I'd rather see that Pop up on the ECM than GFS. It's not an impossible outcome, more feasible than Grenland High.
Hi John, anomaly charts are my summer 2015 homework for next winter. Not really got my head round them, but I have saved a fair few of your posts/PDF which I will be reading when my model watching comes to an abrupt end in Summer. So keep them coming
That low coming of the southern east coast of US is a pain in the plums! Puts a halt to the Ridging in the Atlantic.
Temporarily if the GFS is to believed. serious model fatigue kicking in now
nor is it confined to the Cheshire Gap or N England for that matter Mucka. -6/7C Uppers in a North Westerly flow won't cut it for the majority of the UK, unless you are at elevation. so IMBY is no better than Not.
Good post Nick, it is extremely difficult to argue with anything you say to be honest. It does seem at the moment everything possible is going against the UK getting what I would call "Real Cold".
Well it's working at the moment, so until it's gone people are going to view it and indeed comment on it. It is still using valid data, it's not making it up(kinda)
GFS ends quite nicely in deep lala land, GFS(P) certainly looks like it's going to have a great tease from around +240 onward
and the 06z GFS ends with this at 10hpa.......
would be nice to see that continue as a trend .
I shall be positive