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karlos1983

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Everything posted by karlos1983

  1. karlos1983
    I've looked at the models briefly and I for one shall not be venturing into the mod thread until I've had at least 12 beers
  2. karlos1983
    Yes very irritating for my neighbours when i turn my halogen light on at 3am Would be nice to see an upgrade on the precip and cold for Sunday on todays 12z
  3. karlos1983
    Well it didn't say that at 7am on my App
  4. karlos1983
    So Sunday just got interesting
  5. karlos1983
    Honestly I cant remember.......
  6. karlos1983
    Perhaps for where you are MPG, but Northerly or North Westerly the showers tend not to reach MBY unless its a screamer of a flow! I much prefer an Easterly, but I won't lose sleep over it not evolving now(at least it looks that way), seen to many failures over the past years of model watching to get bent out of shape any more.
  7. karlos1983
    you would think that some of the members in that MOD thread would have learnt by now! we are trying to trust charts that were over 5 days away from verifying and it's still not near being sorted yet! Perhaps our region is just more used to failure when wintry weather is concerned. I see Ian F has put a half decent update in the Mod Thread anyway.
  8. karlos1983
    clearly a lot of uncertainty from the spreads as early as 96
  9. karlos1983
    Yes EML it doesn't get much better than that for the South.
  10. karlos1983
    And South and pretty much everywhere to be precise
  11. karlos1983
    Another good run from the 18z GFS. More longevity in the easterly with snow chances a plenty
  12. karlos1983
    Dry as a bone here. 5.8C DP 0.5C
  13. karlos1983
    Is this relating to today's runs? https://twitter.com/wsi_euroenergy/status/555754301394796544
  14. karlos1983
    Snow
  15. karlos1983
    Hi Dr. I'm probably just being picky to be honest. It is a great outlook in comparison to winter so far and last winter. I'm just stating that I prefer the UKMO and the GFS 06z for longevity of the Easterly. There is no doubt that the high is sinking on the GFS 12z though, the PV looks quite angry too EDIT: Ok so it doesn't sink as such and we end up with a UK High, off to model school I go...
  16. karlos1983
    This is the one time we really do want the UKMO to prove it's the boss at this time frame in my opinion. I'm looking forward to the ECM.... i think.
  17. karlos1983
    the ship is sinking, much preferred the 06z version. it sure won't be warm though
  18. karlos1983
    Exactly what I was thinking. Looks to me like that high will sink surely?
  19. karlos1983
    I'm not convinced
  20. karlos1983
    UKMO @144 dropping South East and filling!
  21. karlos1983
    UKMO at 120 Vs GFS @ 120
  22. karlos1983
    Much better ridging in the Atlantic
  23. karlos1983
    But wouldn't that put the Easterly in jeopardy?
  24. karlos1983
    Yes I'm well aware of that, which is why I said it, it was in reply to someone saying the further into winter the harder it is to get convection off the North Sea, I was merely saying that it shouldn't be hard as the sea temps are high.
  25. karlos1983
    I'm near the sea, very near infact and it snowed on Tuesday night on a westerly air flow. So to discount anything at this range completely is pessimistic to say the least!
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