karlos1983

GEFS 06z looks good Even better

Pretty much everyone in there has forgotten that we could actually be the first to profit, i.e. Monday. I would not be surprised if we end up benefiting more than most, especially if the westward corrections continue as they have over the past couple of days. I'm at least 3 days from getting anywhere near being excited about the cold/snow prospects, as we have been burnt to many times in the past, but it's ;looking good for our first real taste of winter so far heading in to next week.

And even harder to move, as proved over the past couple of weeks, a SCANDI BLOCK, as she points her big finger ever west and says to the Atlantic, ah ah ah, you go under and around my mass, and tell your siblings to follow, I will leave when I am good and ready!

I don't think the heaviest of the rain was due this morning, big pick up in the afternoon expected. Certainly looking at the Radar animation, it has all the hall marks of precip hitting block scenario. Things looking interesting Monday morning, but remember, DON'T TELL ANYONE YET

Yes sorry, I wish the mean lol

London 12z on the mild side then

and rightly so,which is also compelling viewing as well, just a shame it will bring nightmare situations to some.

You are my friend!!

You could say it's the Long haul to mild cold

lets not go to that place

http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/expertcharts?LANG=en&MENU=0000000000&CONT=ukuk&MODELL=euro4&MODELLTYP=1&BASE=-&VAR=rsum&HH=18&ARCHIV=0&ZOOM=0&PERIOD=&WMO=

Yes, 850's arguably look better to me?

good old SW force field ah well, I'll enjoy watching it all unfold on here *if it happens. tbh i could prob do without snow as the wife is 38 weeks pregas, but i wouldn't complain .

Thanks for that? Anything to back that up would be most welcome

to my untrained eye....looks better in terms of ridge in the Atlantic and over the Cental US at +60 UKMO 00z 12z

Yes I think you are correct, I couldn't quite remember the date, but yes the general theme of what I really call a battle ground in Position A*

now that's what I'm talking about! or even this last year

Hi Nick, out of interest, what is our preference? Apologies if it seems obvious, but I always struggle with the upstream pattern and how it affects us, PV aside that is. Cheers Karl

It is fascinating stuff right now watching the models and could be a lot worse IMO. We are in with a chance of cold arriving from the East, A cold North West flow, or raging Zonal or all 3. This is why I enjoy watching the Models, probably to an unhealthy level tbh, but it really is gripping stuff. My preference is obv to get as much cold in winter as possible, but if it doesn't happen, like this winter so far there has been plenty to keep us glued. Any cold that may or may not arrive next week, looks unlikely to make it to my region, really need a full on easterly with a nice channel low for CSE and the SW to really benefit away from high ground, I'm just enjoying the ride at the moment.

Metcheck lol, now that should be put to sleep!

There's only one IF London 00z Something odd happens on the 31st? little agreement there. GEFS not really in agreement at +192 with the GFS GFS GEFS

Agree Mapantz, Martins assessment imo is pretty good for what the models are showing, just because they don't open the door to Narnia, people get most upset. Ridiculous. I got sucked in last night by some comments and I'm pretty annoyed with myself this morning for taking the bait, but hey we live and learn.

Agreed, but I was more speaking in terms of "that's impressive"

1065mb Artic High

GFS 06z not sliding off SE as quick at 120 00z has been noted that the 06z is not the best run of the day i believe?