Allseasons-Si

ERM!!!,...look at those height's opening up over the top 216.

Here she comes... 192 the trop pv i meant

It's a clean one Nick looks good at 168.

Cracking mean by the way at day ten.

Yes polaris,i am fully aware of that i will show you a little explanation as to what happens at just 156 hrs firstly(circled) is a trough that gets sheered/disrupted S/SW thanks the opposing heights to the NW and E/SE,this in turn would build the two ridges over the top creating one hp cell,also with a downstream trough in E America this also in turn would amplify the ridge upstream in the Atlantic this is quite plausible but it is still just out of the reliable timeframes(96-120 hrs) and any other disturbances/shortwaves can scupper what is being shown at the moment.

Gfs and gem... basically V similar in terms of the overall macro(nh)scale.

This is a great run so far... as i stated earlier,heights to the west and NE forcing the trough south=2010 redux.

I AM GOBSMACKED!!! he! he! that is three runs on the bounce.

Hi all,it's nice to see this thread running smoothly,come on guys we are all in this nice thread together just to start with,i am done at work now until the 4th Jan(yipeeee) as i have booked next week off anyway's i have just viewed the overnight/this mornings models and i nearly spat my coffee out lol ,great model output to be discussing ATM Looking at the EPS at day ten,you can see those two huge blocks to the west and NE with a trough near to our E and some support for lower height's underneath the block out in the Atlantic,the trough to our east has nowhere to go but on a nw-se trajectory thanks to both of these blocks and in a similar fashion to what we had the other week i'd better start viewing the 12z coming out and the gfs is going for it again with a big amplified pattern in the Atlantic. "KEEP CALM GUYS",it's only the weather

And more is following a great run,...in in the midst of heaven nania gates to become the gate of the garden path in the morning,will shall see again,goodnight from me.

yes either they don't come at all or they come at once,...that's Yorkshire traction for ya anyway the Lion king is about to pounce in fl. and on that pv bombshell... goodnight.

Yes mike,that is another positive,...granted but without the trough in the Azores,the high would sink hence a better run.

Here you go. UKMO and gfs at 144.

The difference being that that trough broke away just like the UKMO did in the early stages, if this verifies,i commend the UKMO and certainly a break we need.

This is MEGA from here i will tell ya...

That Azores low that broke away is propping height's further north on this run,watch the amps in the Atlantic!

Less toppling than the 12z that's for sure Ed weeny baby steps

Blimey!!! how many have just commented on the gfs at the same time,it's like being at the races

Finally the gfs breaks away from that trough in the Azores and takes the UKMO route... 126 18z v's 132 12z more downstream trough resulting in better WAA into west Greenland.

Can i ask why peeps are talking about the 850's temps on a day ten chart when in reality it could be a lot colder or a lot warmer?

Yep ECM and gfs at day ten...

The ECM going for a gfs evolution at day nine... sorry for quick post's,just a tad busy.

ECM looks good at 144...

The control now sizing the gfs up with it also sending a part of the trop pv in our vicinity. day ten gefs mean showing this Atlantic ridge nicely so it's looking like a cool/cold shot from the NW.

The gem isn't three bad.