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Barry12

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Everything posted by Barry12

  1. the front should be reaching Manchester soon
  2. I'm confident I'll get some snow here, 130m asl should help
  3. Based on the NMM4 the snow should start at 6/7pm and last until midnight for West Yorkshire.
  4. What does everyone think the chances of Leeds/Huddersfield seeing accumulating snow are? I think 1-2cm maybe.
  5. So many conflicting signals! :smiliz23:
  6. The NMM12 on NW extra would have us all in it at 9pm-12 tomorrow.
  7. Most models have it too far south for all apart from south yorkshire, but there will be changes tomorrow. A slight move north and where all in business.
  8. Looking at the GFS snow charts things look good, Friday 9pm-12 looks like the most likely chance of snow.
  9. Yeah she said a pattern change during the middle to end of December, so she was definitely right about that. But the weather can make fools out of even the most knowledgeable posters. Nope, I can't remember who made that post
  10. No offence to Tamara, but she's not always right. The high could easily sink. But I agree, anything can happen.
  11. Does anyone know where Knocker is, I've not seen him post in a while... For months, the Azores High was a nuisance, but like it has in the past great winters, it has actually caused all the interest now!
  12. That is a bit confusing since the models don't show that, apart from the GFS Op, I think the BBC forecast will change in the coming days. Ian Fergusson might be able to explain the Met Office's thoughts later.
  13. The ECM and UKMO are both in agreement now up to day 6, day 5 is very cold with snow showers falling to lower levels, especially in the SE. This will be the first time since March 2013 that people in the south have seen snowfall, so there is certainly nothing to be pessimistic about. Followed by a cold UK high locking in the cold. At this range, it is highly unlikely the GFS is right, and thankfully I probably won't have to jump in the North sea.
  14. Hahahahahha...wait what am I supposed to be laughing at? Backs the UKMO and looks cold :w00t:
  15. Snow on Sunday to lower levels is possible -7 uppers in there :smiliz19:
  16. I think theirs a good chance of snow here, but I will be happy for the southerners if they get snow and I don't :smiliz19:
  17. It would be very unusual for the models not to agree at 72 hours though...if they don't I will have to postpone the dip to boxing day/the weekend
  18. IDO, both the ECM and UKMO agree at 120 hours. If the GFS is right I will jump into the North sea naked on Christmas day.
  19. Ian, can you ask the Met Office to make a 06z and 18z UKMO? :smiliz19:
  20. Yeah still clearly some uncertainty about the track of the low over the weekend, the 1st scenario looked more like the GFS route, while the 2nd looked liked the UKMO/ECM route. Really hope the GFS is wrong, and backtracks soon.
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