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Barry12

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Everything posted by Barry12

  1. Barry12
    If people are going to going to write of months based on FI charts then they shouldn't be allowed to views the models. 'Theres no SSW, winters over', 'the FI shows no cold so we can rule snow out!' it would be fine if new members posted this, but people who have been hear for years still do it.
  2. Barry12
    Completely agree. The Met Office would have an easy job if they could write of cold for months based on the fact there isn't a SSW or a favorable MJO phase.
  3. Barry12
    You do realize there can be cold spells without an SSW? there was no SSW in December 2010. Frost is impossible without an SSW though, so I'd rule that out
  4. Barry12
    Nah, isn't that what James Madden bases his forecasts on?
  5. Barry12
    GEFS perturbation 3 is the best...
  6. Barry12
    There max temps during the whole day, not at 6am. If you are hoping for max temps of -4 to -8 your going to be rather disappointed!
  7. Barry12
    A couple of days ago, people were posting day 10-16 charts as proof the zonal conditions would continue. Now they are showing cold and heights building into Greenland, the charts are suddenly unreliable again. The trend starts at day 11, so we should see tomorrow if the other models give support to the GFS, if they do then I'd say it's odd on that heights will build into Greenland. What happens after that, is open to question. It could just be a short cold snap, or it could be something more sustained.
  8. Barry12
    The trend continues... It now starts at day 11...Let's get the heights into Greenland before worrying about what happens after...
  9. Barry12
    But it's not freely available! We should all raise money so we can have a Netweather model
  10. Barry12
    The UKMO should go to day 10, just going to day 6 is poor!
  11. Barry12
    GEFS control run continues the trend along with the GFS and GFS P
  12. Barry12
    I wouldn't rule out winter 2015/16, but I am talking about this winter, this month. Patience grasshopper..it's coming.
  13. Barry12
    Patience...it's coming.
  14. Barry12
    GFS is completely over progressive with the Atlantic though, each model has there faults.
  15. Barry12
    The ECM is far better than the GFS, the stats prove this. It's ironic that the same members that go on about how poor the ECM is past day 7, post day 16 GFS charts to back up there views! ECM day 7-10 charts are far better than GFS 16 day charts that's for sure.
  16. Barry12
    may hail, may sleet
  17. Barry12
    The GFS 18z runs especially the GFS P are actually pretty cold throughout the run with frequent cold NWerly incursions, not as bad at all as some were making out. More snowy spells would be likely for the Northern half of the UK, and possibly down to lower levels with -6 uppers at times. Happy New Year as well...
  18. Barry12
    Chance of snow again on Saturday
  19. Barry12
    im sure most greeks would prefer +4
  20. Barry12
    A -OPI was meant to correlate at 90% for the following winter to have a -AO and -NAO, I am fully aware it didn't mean cold and snow.
  21. Barry12
    The OPI team need to go back to the drawing board! If there theory was correct we should be have a -AO and -NAO, but we don't...
  22. Barry12
    A lot of meteorologist/weather forecasters don't seem to like cold and snow, which I find very odd! anyway back on topic, I think in a weeks time we will be looking at interesting charts, big warming forecast in the stratosphere over Greenland, this should make an impact and get a better NH profile.
  23. Barry12
    How can you enjoy/marvel at grey cloud and rain!?
  24. Barry12
    The pattern change...
  25. Barry12
    Get ready...it's coming.
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