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summer blizzard

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Everything posted by summer blizzard

  1. The Junes of 2005 and 2011 spring to mind as recording very high maxima.
  2. A classic case of government creating a policy but doing little research. With that being said however as China does get richer and its middle class continues to grow, i'm sure that they will be filled.
  3. Having looked further it will probably last another week but its moving north too quickly not to be picked up well before Japan, a harmless fish.
  4. Personally i think they all look crap. Showery and humid.
  5. GFS for the third day sticks to the trend to attempt to build heights over Greenland into FI. Unfortunately while it gets there tonight, the supporting low appears to find a weakness in the ridge which flattens the pattern,
  6. GFS again tries but fails to develop an African wave in a couple of days. It does as usual produce some eye candy in FI with a long track FISH...
  7. Tiny but a beauty, expected to become a typhoon as it crosses into the west pacific tomorrow.
  8. 90C down to 20% however it does look very good. I'd suggest it just needs a little more space to allow the low level center to close off.
  9. NHC still expect dissipation although Erin is better than this time yesterday, She's definitely not vertically stacked as you can see below but she is moving slowly and could do something tonight.
  10. Can only speak for Leeds but your similar in height and just being south. Straight notherlies just produce sun, frontal snow is good and easterlies will hammer you. A good westerly component to a north westerly will also provide. All in all, a probable improvement.
  11. True and true although its just a trend and not far off.Not a fan of the likely more humid euro tonight and the Jma is comical developing a sub-tropical storm.
  12. While i'm sure your all focused on the coming warm spell (and rightly so) and interesting trend has emerged on the GFS on the 12z, 0z and now tonights 12z with a potential shift in heights over the pole and especially the Greenland area. Right now we have low heights but by day 10 now we have heights building north which could (and on this run does) evolve into a much cooler setup... We have a low dropping to 978mb tomorrow. It may not be normal but i would not rule it out.
  13. Still nothing of note in the models bar the Dorian/Erin repeat in a few days however we do have some eye candy in FI... (A recurve)
  14. Like Katia it was not entirely tropical but undergoing extratropical transition.
  15. Similar to the 12z yesterday the GFS wants to build a swathe of heights to the north. Still warm for now but a setup that could well evolve to something cooler in the future.
  16. Perfect months for me would be... Jan: 2010 Feb: 2005 (just wish we had colder air before) Mar: 2012 (Perfect spring month - 15-25C, sunny) Apr: 2007 May: 2008 June: 2005 July: 2011 Aug: 2011 Sep: 2007 Oct: 2012 Nov: 2005 (stupidly sunny and cold at night) Dec: 2010 Sep and Oct i don't really care about. Dec 10 wins for winter, Mar 12 wins for Spring, Jun 05 wins for summer and Nov 05 wins for Autumn.
  17. Signs that September may not be a warm one? As we know the AO this summer has been positive, well while the GFS12z gives the UK warmth it does turn the AO negative which may allow for a cooler evolution...
  18. The higher forward speed when it turns left will probably decouple its mid and low levek centers. This could well be a Dorian repeat.
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