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summer blizzard

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Everything posted by summer blizzard

  1. summer blizzard
    Your right, i meant 5-6-7.
  2. summer blizzard
    For those of us wanting cooler weather we need the MJO to amplify in phases 4-6.
  3. summer blizzard
    Really made a mistake going against my usual method in May, i'd have been winning by quite some way. Pleased though, just hope we get a cool second half to July.
  4. summer blizzard
    Great, only 0.1C out.
  5. summer blizzard
    Can't say i'm impressed with this one, not really anything of interest.
  6. summer blizzard
    I will however increase my prediction to 16.7C which is bang on average.
  7. summer blizzard
    Being on the cooler end of predictions i could gain a lot of points if there's a good correction towards the end of the month.
  8. summer blizzard
    Temperature - 2/3 - A tad too humid at times Precipitation - 2/3 - Fairly dry, could be better Sunshine - 2/3 - Good amounts of sunshine Total - 6 out of 10.
  9. summer blizzard
    Now at 90%.
  10. summer blizzard
    Looks good. Track seems to bring it close to the Mexican coast as a potential hurricane and recon may be needed in their additional day outlook.
  11. summer blizzard
    Was looking on another forum i visit (lots of pro-mets on) and observed a conversation between our Matt Hugo and one of the other mets. It seems that the long range ECMWF 30 day models keeps July warm however the other guy said this... So a transient picture then perhaps.
  12. summer blizzard
    It was fairly normal in the 1990's. 1990, 1991, 1994, 1995, 1997. It's only post 2003 that the later half of summer has gone by the wayside.
  13. summer blizzard
    Incredible to see on satellite but yeah, the mid level circulation is pretty much non-existent and there's no vertical stacking to speak of to ignite convection.
  14. summer blizzard
    I'll probably end up complaining that its too hot but this is a stunning setup...
  15. summer blizzard
    Now that's a cracker (incidentally 1995 was an analogue i chose to discard) however i'm just curious as to whether your data indicates July being a one month wonder or collapsing in August ala 2006.
  16. summer blizzard
    Have to say it actually looks prettier now than when it was a hurricane however there looks to be some relative shear perhaps caused by the quick speed as the mid level and surface circulations don't look stacked vertically to me.
  17. summer blizzard
    Very hot i imagine, always the chance of a hurricane as well for fun.
  18. summer blizzard
    Amidst all this talk of future warmth its worth pointing out that the operations of the GFS and ECWMF have a cool shot at day 10 though it looks dry.
  19. summer blizzard
    It's a bit of an ugly hurricane given all the banding but a good system.
  20. summer blizzard
    Already larger than Texas apparently.
  21. summer blizzard
    95E being absorbed now by the looks of things.
  22. summer blizzard
    Oh yes, i'm not suggesting a 2010 repeat exactly and infact my 'official' summer forecast goes for a warm August however with that being said the Azores High has negatively tilted far too often for comfort and seems to enjoy being west of the UK so when i think of a future outcome i'm pretty wary. Probably the same value as those telling us there going to have a BBQ. I see little problem with expression of opinion in this case.
  23. summer blizzard
    I'd remind you all of June/July 2010 and how that fell from the wayside.
  24. summer blizzard
    Aye, it's puzzling how it clearly had a defined circulation but with shallow convection it's probable that it never went to the surface and its waned since. 94E does look good.
  25. summer blizzard
    Are we looking good to the end of June.
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