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summer blizzard

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Everything posted by summer blizzard

  1. summer blizzard
    Frankly i'd love even a sub-15C summer month and i'd say that we are well overdue given that the last instance was i think in 1978.
  2. summer blizzard
    95E.. Not sure why it's not a TD now... 94E.. Much broader but bigger.
  3. summer blizzard
    A little unsure but i shall go for 16.2C for now, 0.5C below the 1981-2010 average.
  4. summer blizzard
    94E now cherry at 60%. 95E now mandarin at 30%.
  5. summer blizzard
    Does look better tonight.
  6. summer blizzard
    94E declared, a mess at the moment though.
  7. summer blizzard
    Has this gone further south than first forecast?
  8. summer blizzard
    If he reaches the final then he's actually the marginal favourate this year (and i'm not a Murray lover). His big problem is being crushed by Nadal in the SF or 50/50 against Fed.
  9. summer blizzard
    The vast majority of games played through the years have been dry actually, you just remember the stoppages. Given the draw however i need a front on QF day as it's the only chance Fed has of deposing Nadal quickly enough with the roof closed and still have enough to energy to take Murray.
  10. summer blizzard
    Up in the air from the 27th so far as i can see although there's still a 0.2C difference between you by then. At any rate it looks certain that we will be lower than the 1981-2010 average and below the 1971-2000 average after adjustments.
  11. summer blizzard
    Most years have a strong high in the Atlantic, what's important to recurves is whether there's a cut-off low near the Azores to turn them early or whether there's a high over the north east to provide Caribbean cruisers.
  12. summer blizzard
    East Pacific red meat... We have something at 10% which should be declared an invest tomorrow and we have multiple models suggesting 1/2 canes in around 5-6 days (i assume it's this system at 10% now)... Could have a track like Jova.
  13. summer blizzard
    Not much movement on the La Nina/El Nino front but one bad omen is that we are the 8th latest date for a West Pacific Typhoon to form which is typical of a La Nina pattern so perhaps an indicator of which way things may go.
  14. summer blizzard
    Great track but i'm not entirely convinced this has a primary center, the precipitation to the south looks completely disconnected from the main low and looks to have a slight circulation of its own. I make one center around 17N, 115W and other south east of that for the main batch.
  15. summer blizzard
    NHC have declared landfall at 40KT. Weirdly though the radar for 3 hours after above shows it stronger than ever with the center offshore.
  16. summer blizzard
    Yup, it's pretty good.
  17. summer blizzard
    Does anybody have the minima for early next week. With cool uppers and light wind from Sunday-Wednesday i imagine minima and areas around the coast will be cool.
  18. summer blizzard
    A good month or so away yet for that however conditions west of the Antilles look good enough for a medium track cane to form (can still get a beast like Emily).
  19. summer blizzard
    Looks pretty nice and tight, shame it was not headed north or something may have come from it. Movement has also slowed to a trickle although it is about to make landfall.
  20. summer blizzard
    My prediction's looking pretty good i would say.
  21. summer blizzard
    Are we sure this only 40mph?
  22. summer blizzard
    35mph, convection over the center and moving WNW, soon to be declared a TS i think.
  23. summer blizzard
    Can't get better timing to come offshore really, the suns just about to set so there will be a nice durinal minimum.
  24. summer blizzard
    Looks like it has survived and will soon be over water, center is south of the main batch though so a shift in the center to the north west would not be a surprise.. 18N, 90W.
  25. summer blizzard
    Excellent. Given it's early depression status i would not be surpised if it actually copes on land fairly well and intensifies more than forecast in the Gulf.
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