summer blizzard

Just too moist an environment perhaps.

1 in 3 chance of rapid intensification! Look at the core on this babe! Welcome back cane season!!!!!! This is why i love the weather!!!! Such beauty, such strength!

A FISH seemingly.

Not bad again....

The GFS18z operations is a very interesting run to me and one with hidden gems. Firstly we get a low on Sunday from the east which is weird in itself but weirder still is that it introduces and leaves behind warmer air, in any sunshine from Monday we could be looking not far 20C. Afterward we essentially see a similar picture with warm upper air but the high to the west ridging over the UK which keeps things dry and fairly warm all week...

I would not worry too much. We know there will be a high amplitude MJO wave moving through around that time but that's guarantee of development itself anyway and the hottest part of the basin is south of Jamaca and storms at this time of year are more likely to take a more westerly route than north (though possible). ............ Not the thread for it per say but the East Pacific is coming alive, several models have a tropical depression forming in the next few days.

What was summer 1981 like?

Some very interesting goings on... Firstly it appears as if movement is actually towards La Nina now rather than El Nino but at any rate we will be seeing a close to neutral Pacific setup. The AMO is pretty high, the tropical Atlantic is really heating up. Great video... http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/gfs/18zgfs500mbHGHTPMSLtropical384.gif ....... Perhaps most interesting though is the predicted forecast of the MJO in around 20 days forecast to be a high amplitude phase 7/8 wave which in the first ten days of June could lend itself to an early start, infact both the GFS and GEM ensembles have both gone for some south Carribean activity and the GFS operational tonight actually went bonkers (encouraging to see this early though)... I would also add that looking at the data i have high optimism for this hurricane, especially a more USA prone pattern.

I'm surprised you have not mentioned the dual outflow channels being generated by interaction with the tropical cyclone to it's north, a rare setup.

Still looking to day 15-20 (25th May onward) for a pressure build to the north and east of the UK in my opinion for any attempt at warmth. At least the Jet Stream is pretty weak though, just in the wrong place.

Have we ever had a summer with frequent pressure builds from the east? Looking at the ensembles and anomoly data in day 15-20 i can see an evolution to a -PNA pattern with the trough in the Atlantic backing west but unlike most summers where we see Azores ridging, this could herald a pattern where we look to Scandinavia for our ridges.

Low pressure close to the UK looks the order of the day to me, while the anomaly charts do point to an eventual retrogression of the trough (probably to the south west of the UK) there's also in my opinion a chance of pressure building in the Greenland/Scandinavian region. If we want warmth then we need the trough over the UK to sink south east and fade.

Despite the short longevity i rate this as the best start to May since 2008 for me (though not in the same league).

Only headed that way, could change.

Looks like i'm a busted flush, welcome back La Nina.

Yes because at the time we were limited in what we could eat by area and so we had to incorporate meat in order to power our development. Nowadays however we know that Iron is important to brain capacity but as it turns out we can get that from vegetables.

It sounds low but even with our current poor diets the average person actually gets too much protein. Only two things are wrong with vegetables... 1) Incomplete proteins mean that you need to eat at least two types as opposed to one slab of meat 2) B12 comes from the soil but as we steralize our food now you have to get this from dairy at the minimum Every other vitamin and mineral can be got with vegetables, meat was simply an advantage when we were unable to import vegetables from around the world.

I always thought a lot of the stuff you put in would nullify a lot of the bad effects. .... With that said, it's pretty much proven that the healthiest possible diet is 90% vegetarian.

It's being well known for years that the chemical which makes the pepper family spicy (chili's ect..) can literally make cancer cells explode. Unfortunately we don't have a viable delivery system to target the cells and you can't just keep injecting them directly. India has the highest proportion of vegetarians in the world, its not suprising that parts of India could be extremely healthy.

April recorded the highest GLAMM reading since Feb 05

All ensemble means seem to strongly suggest high pressure will influence the UK, perhaps further west over time. Certainly nothing supporting the random low.

Unless the ensembles and prior runs have been well off then the 0z operational is probably one for the bin.

Welcome.

Will it die after landfall or do they survive?