Ben Sainsbury

Good to see another Bristolian, joining in on the action, welcome!

Must admit some very photogenic CB's around! Though too far north and south unfortunately!

The Bristol Storm Shield in full swing today!

Convective drizzle here... To my west some very lower towering clouds beginning to look very promising.

Looking very promising to my west now too!

Something brewing over Bath way?

It's interesting because right now, in South Bristol, sky is full of blue! Maybe something can initiate south of the M4, would be nice! Are the storms forming on a convergence zone?

What we have to remember is in terms of CAPE, temperatures will reach their peak in an hour or so the most energy in the atmosphere will appear in an hour or so. According to GFS charts the most energy is evident at 6pm.

We can only dream... for now!

Check out those rainfall rates at the core, approaching 100mm per hour!

Gust front like feature on the back edge now too! A beauty of lightning strike to my West. Rumble of Thunder too.

Just saw a distant flash from Keynsham too. Very dark base and beginning to see a decent structure on it too. To add strong inflow into storm on back-edge looks interesting.

Can definitely see a lowering under that base, not sure whether a funnel is forming or just scud.

Have a visual on the storm to the north over North Bristol/Gloucester, very dark base and can see hail failing but still difficult to see.

Just had 2 rumbles of thunder from this!

Really hoping this shower doesn't completely die before it reaches my area! Ahh!

To confirm from a personal perspective it is indeed sleeting here in Bristol. I think the SE are in a fantastic position for snow, with evening approaching, colder air undercutting quickly and readily turning to sleet and snow across SW, West Midlands and South Wales, all the best! Plus the front has a long way to go before reaching the SE could be in time for rush hour!

Whilst comparing the radar to the BBC graphics seems that the radar is an hour behind, could give us an extra bit of hope. Me personally I think the SE are in a fantastic position for snow, with evening approaching, colder air approaching and readily turning slightly in our area.

Good website to keep track of latest temps in area: http://www.xcweather.co.uk/ Where I'm situated (Bristol) 3'c right now, dewpoints still a little too high tho!

Latest Netweather radar update suggests what the majority of us have been saying, quite sleety here again tho mostly rain.

Although raining moderately heavy here, a few sleety bits too! Doesn't feel too cold yet tho!

Surely if the Met Office was confident enough that it was going to be a rain only event, even if there was a little snow then why would that even warrant a weather warning? Must be something they see that we don't?

There must be growing confidence regarding the snow event Thursday evening over Southern England. One of the best charts we've seen in a while down here! Beginning with rain at first I must add!

Using the "Dam" number and Pressure this is an approximate value in the chart. Sorry it is slightly blurry.

I must admit further good consistency between the ECM and GFS up to T120, and thereafter we have the low moving off the east coast of US. Given previous experiences of the GFS overdoing the deepness of low pressure systems, I'm wondering if we're going to see a prolonged period of cold settled weather, (A week or two) as the high doesn't seem in much worry to move. The setup is really not too disimilar to what we saw at the beginning of December. Forecasts at that point we're for an increasing cold end to December and look where it ended up. Be interesting it see how this setup begins to change over the next week or two.