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Snowman.

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Everything posted by Snowman.

  1. Snowman.
    It’s flipping between two scenarios both are evident in the ensembles with the low pressure one perhaps more likely. But this summer there has been attempts for the Atlantic to gain inroads only fall short near the end. Who knows though as the Jet looks to be getting a little more stronger with every passing week we could finally see the end of high pressure.
  2. Snowman.
    ECM is once again, rinse and repeat. It's getting later in Summer but I would not be surprised if we end up in some September heatwaves at this rate.
  3. Snowman.
    ECM hot, turning hotter post D10. Could be a very interesting period coming up once again.
  4. Snowman.
    I mean it was dry heat so ya know dry, usually we get the humid type where as soon as the cold front comes it explodes.
  5. Snowman.
    Still 30c here, one more day of this and we would be on par with France.
  6. Snowman.
    Off the press!
  7. Snowman.
    ECM ends with a low off the coast of Portugal and high pressure from the Azores sweeping over us heading east.. As others have mentioned over the past 2 days, we really could see another chance Edit: The control is almost heat dome part 2 but just keeps it off the coast
  8. Snowman.
    35c here in Southend, not a single cloud or even high cloud in the sky. Beautiful day.
  9. Snowman.
    Local station says 29c Wall to sunshine. Going to be a hot one.
  10. Snowman.
    ECM likely underplaying maxima Broadly speaking the heat is yet to peak, yesterday was hot but next week is another level, the models except the GFS are firming up on unbearable week. Models a few days ago had the peak on Monday, with Tuesday being the decline. No we’re talking Wednesday or even Thursday. The hot weather is nice but at some point we have to call it quits.
  11. Snowman.
    The slow build is worse in my opinion, it was going to be a scorcher on Sunday then done by Monday or Tuesday now we have to persist with this heat for even longer. Glad it’s not 40c but I do believe it is a matter of when not if for that to happen in the UK over the coming years.
  12. Snowman.
    Again, slower with the plume.
  13. Snowman.
    Concerning that more go for the longer heat. 3 days of that and you’ll be breaking the record every day.
  14. Snowman.
    Wouldn't even reach the puddle phase just vaporised
  15. Snowman.
    14:00 Torched.
  16. Snowman.
    Right, so its not a snapshot of the temp at current time. I imagine that meto 2m charts are actually at that time?
  17. Snowman.
    Is 40c at Midnight actually possible?
  18. Snowman.
    9am and high 30s In all seriousness that would insufferable.
  19. Snowman.
    18z somehow ups the heat and brings them faster. However may be a more fleeting afair like the ECM.
  20. Snowman.
    Scorcher!
  21. Snowman.
    Pretty intense lightning here, not much thunder tho.
  22. Snowman.
    Agree with this, high pressure seems to consistently want to move north just the PV is running over the top. If we catch a break or some help from the other side of the pole we may get somewhere.
  23. Snowman.
    Trigger shortwave to save the day?
  24. Snowman.
    Control is close to something decent here OP is pretty bonkers FI. Either way, don't feel it will be a one and done ordeal, even if they end up being mostly topplers looks like it could be an almost repeating pattern.
  25. Snowman.
    Often times you need the pressure in place first before you get your pressure drop. Our problems usually come from keeping pressure in place and at strength required to divert the jet south or causing it split.
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