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Snowman.

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Everything posted by Snowman.

  1. Snowman.
    UKMO T144
  2. Snowman.
    Probably one of the best charts this winter in terms of HLB. UKMO is a beauty but the deep low is a little too deep very hard to raging westerlies from it but may be a little while before any cold moves in.
  3. Snowman.
    Support is support. When models agree on things like this its always good news.
  4. Snowman.
    Still very cold here. Temp hasn't gone above freezing the entire day.
  5. Snowman.
    GFS actually taking steps towards the ECM solution but still flatter and further east it separates the low north sending less energy NE and keeps some back. It's shown well in the jet stream forecast Strong on a SW/NE axis not as strong on the 18z with a curl back up by iceland. wont stop the atlantic onslaught but its a slowdown.
  6. Snowman.
    Some differences on the 12z Much slower in in sending the low NE
  7. Snowman.
    Maybe leave the nitpicking on models to yourself. They're forecasting tools and like a forecast they won't always be accurate.
  8. Snowman.
    The eps never fully supported a "direct hit" easterly. The ECM was always overly keen on the amplification to get us something decent and the GFS flattened the pattern too much with the UKMO going for an attempt but much further south.
  9. Snowman.
    That's SSW territory if I have seen it.
  10. Snowman.
    There was an attempt But that lobe over Greenland can't be described because of the swear filter.
  11. Snowman.
    Was sleet bow turned to heavy snow here small flakes but lots of them!
  12. Snowman.
    Lights flashing here too.
  13. Snowman.
    Snowing heavily settling on everything including the roads, got really light outside too. This is great wasn't expecting snow to settle that much.
  14. Snowman.
    Starting to turn to proper snow here.
  15. Snowman.
    Saw this went and checked... WE HAVE FLAKES, SLEETY BUT BIG FLAKES!
  16. Snowman.
    Big upgrade on MO and BBC forecast was meant to be sleet later after the heavy ppn leaves but that's changed to snow! And we got heavy snow tomorrow!
  17. Snowman.
    Lack of comments will be because everyone is in the regional threads discussing the snow chances so during a cold spell the mod goes quiet. 6z looks like an upgrade though I'm skeptical as the 6z in recent times always seems to be the best GFS run of the day.
  18. Snowman.
  19. Snowman.
    hmm
  20. Snowman.
    Still no ECM but its getting there.
  21. Snowman.
    Speaks for itself 12z18z
  22. Snowman.
    Further east so less mixing due to mild = more snow falling to lower levels in the east. Unfortunately the PPN doesn't look as heavy but hey ho. ALSO The GFS is beginning to show yet again another albeit weak band of showers heading SE from the NW. Many more surprises likely. Also for those who live in East norfolk, potential for a clipper to form
  23. Snowman.
    Due to the nature of the event, that's actually an upgrade for many including me as the mild sector is further west. You win some you loose some.
  24. Snowman.
    That has actually been backed west and so has the mild sector. This isn't what we really want to see but there is still some snow.
  25. Snowman.
    If the low ends up further north, those further south loose out and those further north get better prospects of snow. Here is what the GFS is offering
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