Somerset Squall

It's much further up the coast. Manuel's track map will help (it made landfall in southwest Mexico as a tropical storm, dissipated, then regenerated back over water and made landfall as a hurricane in northwest Mexico)

Category 5 Usagi's impressive satellite signature:

Humberto looks like it will dissipate soon. Intensity is down to 30kts, and the convection is very much lacking. If Humberto survives the extratropical transition, it will likely be absorbed by another extratropical low without coming anywhere near the UK. Humberto is unlikely to be the dominant system.

Indeed Sainsbo! Usagi has bombed further and is now a 140kt cat 5 super typhoon. Usagi has strengthened some 75kts in the last 24hrs, which is seriously fast! I'm on my phone at the moment so can't post an image but this one's a beauty!

Usagi has continued to rapidly intensify and is now an 120kt cat 4. Further rapid strengthening is expected as shear remains low and outflow excellent. Usagi is forecast to become the season's and world's first cat 5 of 2013. Usagi will pass south of Taiwan and then go on to affect south China as ridging to the north pushes Usagi westwards.

The remains of Manuel moved off the coast of Mexico and quickly regenerated. Since, Manuel moved north, east of Baja California, and quickly strengthened into a 65kt cat 1 hurricane. At this intensity, Manuel has made a second landfall on Mexico. The hurricane should weaken quickly as it moves inland once more. Following the deaths from the first landfall at tropical storm intensity, there is bound to be some more at this landfall at hurricane intensity. Manuel has proven to be quite a costly hurricane in terms of money and life.

Usagi is a strengthening typhoon. Winds are currently 90kts, cat 2 on SS scale. The typhoon has an increasingly well defined eye flanked by strong banding. Further strengthening is expected as shear remains low, and waters very warm along track. JTWC expect a peak of 115kts (cat 4) as the system approaches southern Taiwan.

Humberto may have become a subtropical storm according to NHC, though they have officially maintained it as a fully tropical storm as it is expected to transition back soon. The strongest winds are far removed from the centre, and the convection has moved to the peripheries of the storm too. Humberto has moved directly under an upper level low which may account for this rather unusual transition. The upper level low is expected to move away from Humberto tomorrow, allowing the storm to become fully tropical again. Intensity is now 40kts. In light of Humberto's subtropical transition, it probably won't have time to become a hurricane again when it becomes fully tropical again. The environment is only conducive anyway for some modest intensification before Humberto races northeastwards out of the tropics and becomes extratropical in about 4 days time.

Usagi has been upgraded to a tropical storm with winds now at 40kts. Some shear is affecting Usagi, displacing convection south of the LLCC. Shear is expected to ease as Usagi moves west towards Luzon. The steering ridge to the north is forecast to weaken, forcing Usagi to the northwest towards Taiwan, where landfall is currently forecast for about 4 days time. As Coast's post describes, Usagi is likely to be a typhoon at this point. On a seperate note, it's interesting to note West Pacific season so far has been much less active than normal in terms of storms that have reached typhoon status. Additionally, there have only been two storms of cat 3+ intensity, which is low for this point in the season.

Mmm, the article generally has covered but there definitely has not been 18 typhoon landfalls on Japan this year and Man-Yi was never a typhoon officially. Man-Yi has become extratropical as it crosses Japan, and the last advisory has been issued.

There is an invest thread for all invests at the top of the hurricane forum anyway, so there's no need to make seperate theads really for each one unless it becomes a tropical cyclone anyway

Ingrid made landfall below hurricane strength. Now Ingrid is inland, weakening will be swift.

Humberto has been re-upgraded to a tropical storm this afternoon, as convection has persisted near the LLCC. Some strengthening is expected before a trough lifts Humberto northeastwards out of the tropics at day 5. Humberto is forecast to become a minimal hurricane again.

Manuel has dissipated over Mexico. However, the remains are expected to veer westwards back over water, where there is a chance of regeneration.

Convection is increasing over the remnant low of Humberto this evening. If this persists, then Humberto could regain tropical cyclone status this evening.

Man-Yi has consolidated and is now a 60kt tropical storm. There is a chance Man-Yi could become a typhoon prior to landfall in Japan later tonight. Winds and rains are already speading inland, and the worst of the conditions are expected soon.

Manuel almost became a hurricane, has winds have increased to 60kts. However, the storm has run out of time to strengthen as it is making landfall on the coast of Mexico. Quick weakening over the mountains is expected as Manuel drifts northwest. Flooding rains will likely to continue to be a problem for several days.

Ingrid peaked at 75kts, but has since weakened to 65kts as shear, most probably from TS Manuel in the East Pacific, has impacted Ingrid. Ingrid's LLCC is partially exposed at the edge of the convective mass. As Manuel makes landfall imminently and weakens, shear should ease over Ingrid, possibly allowing some re-intensification prior to landfall.

The depression has become Tropical Storm Manuel, with winds of 45kts. Banding features are impressive, but the LLCC is still a little broad. Manuel should strengthen a little more prior to landfall tomorrow. The combined affects of Manuel and TS Ingrid in the Alantic's Bay of Campeche are going to provide a very wet few days for large swathes of Mexico.

A very large system, and this is not working in it's favour. Winds are 45kts now, and JTWC are forecasting a peak of 60kts prior to landfall in Japan.

Ingrid is nearing hurricane strength, and is now a 60kt tropical storm. The Bay Of Campeche is well known for allowing storms to rapidly intensify, and as Ingrid has lingered away from land, this is exactly what has occured. I wouldn't be surprised to see a cat 2 out of this.

Gabrielle has become extratropical and is delivering high winds and rain to Nova Scotia.

Humberto is no longer a tropical cyclone, and has been declared a remnant low. The LLC has been devoid of convection all day which has caused the downgrade, but the centre is still well defined, which means when shear lessens and waters warm again along track, ex-Humberto should regenerate.

Just been upgraded to TS Ingrid with 40kt winds.

Tropical Depression 13E has formed about 140 miles south of Zihuatanejo, Mexico. The depression has winds of 30kts, and is characterised by expansive convection slowly consolidating around a broad LLCC. 13E is forecast to move north-northwest into a weakness in the ridging over Mexico and make landfall in about 36hrs time. This gives 13E time to become a mid-strong tropical storm prior to landfall.