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goosey007

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Everything posted by goosey007

  1. goosey007
    Don’t mean to temper the mood but how often does a feb 2018 scenario occur these days 1 in 20 year ? Yes get lots of easterlies but not many huge low pressures march straight into it ! Perhaps it’s a new trend of course I’ll be happy 20cm here at 60 asl
  2. goosey007
    subtle improvements on the ecm up to 168…..
  3. goosey007
    No way western uk had 30- 40cm in feb 1996 even here where I am near Newport more or less sea level had 20cm …..but yeah understand your point overall…
  4. goosey007
    Getting meaningful mid to longterm cold into the uk feels like the unsolvable Rubics cube at times …..but remember there’s no such thing …the hunt goes on
  5. goosey007
    I understand the sentiments when we say the uk just missed out in 2012 as i can remember we were in with a chance of a blizzard of historic proportions but ended up just on the wrong side of marginal with very cold wind and rain in 2 degrees was the order of the day
  6. goosey007
    rather encouraging I would say !
  7. goosey007
    Interested to see how far the ECM is away from this evolution tonight
  8. goosey007
    ? is this long term you mean
  9. goosey007
    sorry Nick if I missed it but what is the projected state of play ref the AO at onset of SSW (if it occurs end of Jan) ? assume positive reading matt H post...... cheers
  10. goosey007
    Radar has it predicted to go south ........but seems to be travelling south east?
  11. goosey007
    snowing lightly now in risca....
  12. goosey007
  13. goosey007
    I believe that was forecasted to occur until midnight …they will only make the south in the early hours …i guess we will only know for sure come 7am …..
  14. goosey007
    Not sure I agree 100% as ukv etc take into account local topography….where I do agree is that the heaviest showers will be in higher regions a few will get further south …..
  15. goosey007
    they have too much conflicting information and mostly just go for the form horse in my opinion
  16. goosey007
    here is the latest Harmonie snap shotted at 9am and 12am ......it a bit hit and miss but it looks accurate as far accumulations are concerned everything that falls with stick with the cold now entrenched so if you are lucky enough to catch a shower then a few cms are definitely possible .......especially up the valleys very much a now cast situation
  17. goosey007
    indeed the beast is knocking at the door ahead of already colder air over the UK ....but at 10 days out needs to be taken with a pinch of salt at this stage ....although signals for a scandi high have been showing for a number of days now.....
  18. goosey007
    GFS though
  19. goosey007
    Northern Spain doing well
  20. goosey007
    The way this system is moving about run to run I’d say if you draw a line from Swansea through Birmingham to east anglia all areas south of this still in with a chance …..I thought that before I saw the GEFS mean….
  21. goosey007
    Is this the latest ECM run Kieth ? Id bank that a few cms and everything white works for me ….but your right this is very much a radar watch from Sunday night to Wednesday some areas could do very well in wales ps don’t post that chart in the mod thread there would be riots from the SE crew
  22. goosey007
    fairly snowy run for gfs 12z so far especially for wales and the midlands
  23. goosey007
    Ill take that to the bank !!.....ill ask for a receipt though
  24. goosey007
    evening all ECM below and GFS mean still has snow potential for next week …. So no reason to be too disappointed we are not seeing the snow depths forecasted yesterday on the op runs up to this afternoons 12zs …..just got to hope something lands favourable for wales ….. happy if south east England misses out
  25. goosey007
    As a snow event hunter like yourself Ali really appreciating your updates keep the positivity going
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