[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 03/03/2018 Onwards]

Thanks @Bring Back1962-63. Excellent analysis as always.

Is anyone she having a problem with their NW radar app on Android? Mine is just showing a blank map on both my phone and tablet..???

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 03/03/2018 Onwards]

17 minutes ago, Mapantz said:

The 18Z HIRLAM certainly matches the MetOffice text output re possibly turning to rain along Devon & Cornwall coasts.

Edit: ^^^ Karlos beat me to it!

The accumulation chart for Sunday evening also matches their warning areas pretty well for our region and across the south

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 03/03/2018 Onwards]

2 hours ago, EllyTech said:

What is making landfall?

I'm probably using the wrong terminology, really just musing about the blob of heavier precipitation which I think is associated with the kink in the isobars:

Actually looks ok for nearly all our region on the 12z HIRLAM!

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 03/03/2018 Onwards]

9 minutes ago, Nights King said:

A bit further west and most of us will miss out though 

That's why I'm hoping it makes landfall further east ?

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 03/03/2018 Onwards]

Looks like this weekend is going to be even more of a radar watch than the last snowy episode!

I'm just hoping we get a nice dumping of snow overnight Sat/Sun so that we can take the grandkids sledging in the morning before it all melts, although I think in our regions it may be cloudy most of the day, so limited sun related snowmelt hopefully.

Will def be glued to the radar Saturday night to see where this little disturbance looks like its heading. Landfall a little further east and then pushing a tad north before it heads west will see all of us in the snow belt!

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 03/03/2018 Onwards]

9 minutes ago, Nights King said:

The little warmth the ground has gained wont last long with a strong sub zero breese saturday night into sunday...

The easterly wind and low dp's will suck heat out of ground far quicker than some gentle radiation frost.. 

There is very little sun around Saturday or Sunday either, so I would think any snow that does fall may build up quite nicely.

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 03/03/2018 Onwards]

2 hours ago, Mapantz said:

I think the above charts are rather ambitious, and not taking snow melt in to consideration.

2

It will be interesting to see how it pans out with wall to wall cloud cover Sat/Sun for my locale and temperatures forecast to barely get above freezing from 6am Saturday until 9am Monday ! 

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 03/03/2018 Onwards]

Our old friend the HIRLAM model is also now getting within range.

Precipitation charts Friday into Saturday show the decaying front moving SW with some light snow associated with it as the cold air digs in.

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 03/03/2018 Onwards]

Time for a snow accumulation chart covering the weekend I think.

This one is from the 6z run of the ICON-EU model and really shows the possible upper low moving across our region overnight Sat/Sun.

Also ties in with the METO warning pretty well

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Here we go again .... 

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 03/03/2018 Onwards]

1 hour ago, EllyTech said:

So I've potted on the leggiest seedlings in the UK. Now what? 

Borrowed stolen from the MAD place.  ^

 

That chart was actually for somewhere far to the east I think, Latvia someone said. The ECM has shown a possible return of the Beast though. Will be gone in the morning run though I'm sure  

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 03/03/2018 Onwards]

Extremely quiet over in the model thread lately! Not surprising I guess given no clear pattern showing up with lots of low pressure systems meandering around.

One thing that does seem to be a theme is a fairly deep LP system hitting us over next weekend but track and positioning varies between the models.

 

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2 minutes ago, matt111 said:

Does anyone also see a bit of snow left and just have to walk on it just to feel it as you walk on it. Or is it just me? 

Every time!

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 03/03/2018 Onwards]

A balmy 10.1c here today,  all the snow rather depressingly disappearing too quickly.

My dog and I decided to try and find a last bit of snow to enjoy on his afternoon walk. 

Just about managed it!

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards]

15 minutes ago, tomjwlx said:

Anyone else impressed on how well the Hirlam model has done during this cold spell, its one that sticks out for me?

It's certainly been the one I've turned to this week to get a good idea of where the snow was going to be.

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards]

Hope everyone has been out enjoying the snow and not sat in front of the computer!

What a fantastic end to the winter it's been, much better than  I thought it would be this time last week.

Even though we haven't had the heaviest snow we've got more than a decent covering and some impressive drifts plus still more to come tonight it looks like.

Here's one of the lanes out of the village this afternoon:

 

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards]

Current uppers as per the NW Extra radar:

With the flow being off the continent I believe anything below the 0c line should fall as snow today.

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3 minutes ago, Jayfromcardiff said:

WHITEOUT

Again? Jeez stop hogging all the snow ?

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards]

Really wish the Forum Team would sort out the location of posters not displaying on the mobile version of the forum!

 

 

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Whilst we patiently wait for round 2 to begin (up here in the NE of the region anyway!), some pics my son-in-law sent me of the road between Aldbourne and Swindon this morning and we didn't really have the heaviest falls yesterday that some have had!

 

               

          

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards]

Just now, wiltshire_weather said:

It is BB its why i was asking is that the second low due for tomorrow? But apparently its a nice surprise 

Although it might not be such a nice one as it could bring in the warmer 850hpa temperatures and turn it all to rain!

Note that would only be temporary though as it should turn cold enough for mostly snow later on today.

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards]

9 minutes ago, kumquat said:

yeah - think it looks like a Brucie Bonus. Could edge too west for me, though. I think the low flattens and fronts will pivot back over later tomoz.

Exactly re the low flattening out. The stuff in the channel looks like its generally moving in the direction my Dads Army style creation is showing:

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3 minutes ago, wiltshire_weather said:

The stuff in the channel where is it heading...is that the low meant to be tomorrow afternoon r a surplice?

 

How do change name? Looks like person above has similar name, Great minds think alike though

Hah, yes, great minds!

Not sure how you change your name, had mine on here a long time although I've not really been an active poster until this winter!

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards]

That stuff building up in the channel isn't even the main course for later on today, that's the band going down the western coast of France in the screenie below:

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards]

2 minutes ago, jethro said:

Just taken my son home, had a bit of a pootle about too, it's bloody amazing out there! It's STILL coming down, heavier than ever and blowing everywhere, can't wait to get out with the camera in the morning. Son's birthday tomorrow, he's over the moon with his pressie. Update pics from the patio, ruler now measuring 23cm. Have to dig the door out every time I go out, it's drifting like mad. Any idea on how much longer this is going on for?

Amazing pics and to answer your question, most of the night for you!!