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Daniel*

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Everything posted by Daniel*

  1. Daniel*
    Fax charts Day 4 - Day 5 - Battery about to die, looks good to me. IGNORE - not the updated UKMO Fax for tonight
  2. Daniel*
    A snow symbol for Thursday first I've seen for the SE during the bulk of December temperature were in excess of 10C of this a cold wintry week beckons. ECM 12z sets up a nice easterly, beats a northerly!
  3. Daniel*
    Great news Haha I was just about to the post^^ You folks are too quick there are no definites! as I've highlighted many times. La upgrades are coming you watch...
  4. Daniel*
    A seasonal ish start to January with some lengthy sunshine quite wet interspersed. Happy POETS day, good to have a lay in. I suspect we'll see some flakes next week, not expecting anything substantial, well who knows with weather. Parts of central belt experienced a good snowfall with -2C > -3C uppers.
  5. Daniel*
    Pretty nippy from 120 to 240, there's somewhere in British Isles with -7C 850s.
  6. Daniel*
    No this is not true we do not have cross model agreement up to +120, ignore these models if you want all of which have the capability to bring sustained cold. JMA @120hr UKMO @120hr CMA +120hr GEM eventually gets there +168hr
  7. Daniel*
    Wake up folks +96 We may get a link up here
  8. Daniel*
    A bit different? v different outcomes... Met Office went largely with their raw data yesterday. In their fax charts - explain that, can't be that lost? I think the UKMO is more on the ball, we'll see. The evening ECM is going to be a critical one, I think we will see upgrades coming.
  9. Daniel*
    The UKMO has most definitely not drifted alongside GFS!!
  10. Daniel*
    Greenland high on UKMO T+144
  11. Daniel*
    +144, A bad trend, quite underwhelming: UKMO +120 a divergence!
  12. Daniel*
    That's from 00z Here is the 12z not as good...raw windchill though
  13. Daniel*
    Cold spell has not even arrived by then - cold conditions filtering down UK on Tuesday. Monday according to the UKMO.
  14. Daniel*
    Currently FI is around T+96 mark yet folk are looking at day 7/8/9/10? Quite petty stuff. The 12z will dictate what way the pendulum swings, I cannot get over how resolute UKMO is.
  15. Daniel*
    Good news. UKMO has been quite consistent I'm quite impressed, GFS on other hand has been bobbing up and down like a rubber duck. G'night All
  16. Daniel*
    NNW for Aberdeen. http://www.xcweather.co.uk/observations Upper air temperatures just about cold enough for snow so not wholly surprising.
  17. Daniel*
    Evaporative cooling at play I suspect:
  18. Daniel*
    Done that nothing seems to be working? Tried on my phone as well, nope.
  19. Daniel*
    The 18z last night experienced a wobble as well before 'correcting' in morning the model is a mess. It does not have a good grip in the mid range I'd take its ouput with great caution the models as a whole struggle with cold spells, GFS especially. Some seek a nirvana, which is frankly ridiculous, if you've been on this forum over years - you will know full well it's never an easy journey.
  20. Daniel*
    Anyone got that snow GIF? +168
  21. Daniel*
    +ve heights elongating fractionally more into Greenland.
  22. Daniel*
    Yes, im very confused I think it's a v good run we do not need a textbook Greenland high.
  23. Daniel*
    I do not think so heights building to S not what we want, I'd definitely take UKMO that block seems sufficient. Although the longevity of cold may be somewhat reduced.
  24. Daniel*
    00z 12z - Block much more robust, upgrade!
  25. Daniel*
    I think it is a reasonable update The Met Office are extremely conservative/safe. Usually behind the very latest as far as we the public are informed.
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