Daniel*

I only focused up to T+144 but there's barrage of windstorms on the following dates: 7th, 8th, lesser extent 9th, and quite a fierce one running from the 10th-11th. A very turbulent, wet start to January is on the way. Exciting as a weather enthusiast but this is tempered by the destruction these things can do.

Severe gales continuing being shown on GFS 12z for the 7th, this run shows gust between 80-90mph in the Dover Strait sustained winds of 60mph in the extreme Kent tip this would do a lot of damage - a red warning would be warranted for extreme SE. The north is spared, this is thanks to the rampant Jet relaxing S, on a collision course to our region I think it is highly likely next week our region will experience a notable storm, I'm afraid to break it to you @amanda2012 it is better to know than not!

Nice to have a new thread to welcome in 2016. Good thoughts CS. Amanda would not like this windstorm showing on the 7th.

I'll see you all next year, race you there! HAPPY NEW YEAR! It only seems a short while ago - we welcomed in 2015 and now we're here. I wish y'all, good health, good fortune, and a successful & prosperous new year 2016 might reverse the snow drought - here's to many more.

"My previous stab was 2.1C I'd like to revise and go upwards to 3.1C." Slightly regretting doing this the cold is coming quicker than I anticipated. With ice day beings modelled all quite tentative stuff.

Good to see it more active in here. Happy New Year's Eve peeps! I do think by midweek some of us could have seen those elusive snowflakes - greater the chance the more N & E you are, therefore Norfolk is the county to be. GFS 12z, T+144 On this particular chart the snow boundary grazes the Norfolk coastline it will not take much of a shift for more of us folk 'to join in'. It is chilly out there - not exceptionally cold but compared to what we've experienced over the past month it's a big fall. Frosty night incoming tis the first in 5 weeks. A crisp start to 2016!

Cool ish, v pleasant day more of this would be superb.

Cheers @cheshire snow

Hi, how can you decipher that from the above? all I'm seeing is a mishmash of letters,numbers and so on.

You guys and girls have seen an awful lot of rain but it appears you may start the New Year with some snow; the uppers are not bad. The wind is coming off the Irish Sea, you will need to be inland to stand a chance very reasonable of that. Something to sink your teeth into.

I know we tend to look ahead in here. But as 2016 begins it seems parts of UK, could see some snow to welcome the New Year - to low levels as well!

None of the storms have had an impact on London & SE all predominately being northern/western affairs with the jet stream going S this may change. The focus draws to Southern England the SW in particular.

Morocco has the Atlas Mountain range, low lying snow in Morocco is incredibly rare, a few mountains rise to 4,000 meters usually without fail every winter the mountains receive snow, I'm not quite sure how much. Parts of Mexico which had white pixels have at least 1,500m of elevation it helps- very sparsely populated/mountainous areas. As far south as it got I'd say that is very infrequent as I've not seen anything like the sort before.

Aye @ReindeerMarmalade Heavy rain better late than never!

WOW - that caravan is going through an ordeal.

Better from ECM Continental feed with cold pool much further west - there could be some snow flurries out of that. I think we could build on from this...

That's exactly what is being modelled the flood impacted areas are going to have a much needed respite as the jet stream goes south, so us more southern folk will bear the brunt of the rain and all its "goodies". This month is running on a near 50% deficit compared to average December rainfall totals, so I cannot complain really, but I will in my head. I am still not dismissing us seeing some snow on the first half of January, but I'm not entirely hopeful on this, I know at least northern hemisphere profile is looking increasingly ripe for further bites of the cherry, it has gone above freezing 90N courtesy of Storm Frank dragging up very mild air to the pole and I find that extraordinary. I'll be keeping a close eye in the strat thread. I am calling for at least one significant cold outbreak before this winter is out.

Yep, one poster has called this month wonderful? That is a WTF moment! I do not think it helps when we use terms like coldies/mildies as if we're at war with each over (however that's debatable). In summer I like hot weather in winter I like cold weather seasonality is upmost important to me, and typically the cold weather brings the littlest disruption to daily life. I'm sure the folk to the north west would rather have snow markedly more than this endless rain. If you seek v mild unseasonable temperatures - prepare to endure without complaint, what accompanies it.

Please do not, I enjoy reading your posts. A large forum contains vibrant personalities, the forum does seem to have turned more territorial who can outdo who, and that's not how it should be. There is a ignore feature I've never used it myself, it will turn more cheery if a cold spell looms. Folk get grouchy w/this cr@p.

Yes I believe in the first week of February much of the country experienced significant snowfall as Atlantic clashed against the bitterly cold air entrenched to the east. This particular day was very snowy I think:

You missed Feb 2012 it was very cold in eastern half of the country. No one has said that? Although we did have a cluster of cold winters its easy to think summat is up, this run we're having of mild, wet driven winters is not unheard of, we'll get another 1947 one day as well as the opposite to this. The winter is really in its infancy it is too early to say as a whole the winter has panned out, I'm not with this winter of the future malarkey.

I would say so.. I'd have thought if it were not for such I reckon we'd be entrenched in THIS for winter 15/16. The knock-on effects may not be truly known by the models at this stage, with WAA ongoing. The great escape is on?

The E4 cocked this one up. l

Thanks for link.. Incredible the WAA gets to 90N.

A very wet, drip day rain setting in for the afternoon, quite heavy rain of that more lighter and patchy for East Anglia, and then it'll eventually clear for the bulk of us towards Midnight.