Daniel*

Completely and utterly wrong. +48 +72 +126 Scotland does look rather wintry over the festive period with a rather good chance of a white Christmas for some of you and I'm not talking just about those with great elevation either.

What are you expecting doomsday? get a grip I for one would be happy to see the above verify it has been an incredibly boring month. 70mph gusts in London are very infrequent and it's of interest to me, it will probably be gone by the pub run.

I will not blabber on but I've observed it on here quite a rarity it ain't no myth mate not a carbon copy but a shift to of old...let us hope the 12z is on the Buck's Fizz, I sense pendulum will sway back to 18z of yesterday....or I'm hoping.

No, Ian F has used the term multiple times over the years, some of his insight would be welcome.

It is a known fault to drop the idea and eventually go back to it in the subsequent run(s). Shannon Entropy must be very high where the models are at there most unpredictable with a lot going on.

20/12/15 Snow extent grinding to a halt @Baltic states little to suggest it will change soon.

It threw it down its eased a tad now.

"I find your lack of faith disturbing.” – Darth Vader "It’s a trap!” - some weird alien guy

I would not draw any attention really I find the models tend to underestimate the sturdiness of these positive height anomalies in the far north - glad to say there is 'A New Hope'.

+240 Yum..a prelude to a cold snowy UK? The tide may have turned.

You could easily mistake it for April. Chilly 12C a cooler day! Maybe a chance of an odd rumble.

Indeed, similar stuff to 2009 we all know what followed.

No of course not typically geese mate between February to early ish April.

Vortex looking distressed on 00z ECM T+240 our salvation, Eastern Europe going into the freezer; we are starting to see some much more encouraging model output. The foundations for a much colder outlook post new year I believe. I'm quite assured we'll eventually join in with our eastern 'counterparts' - a little patience goes a long way? I sense the month will turn out decidedly different and markedly colder to how December 2015, has panned out I have gone for a cold figure of 2.1C for the January CET. Towards the end of month divergence arises albeit there are tentative signs of a trending negative NAO post the new year...opening up closed doors?

Blimey that is a tight gradient that would be very destructive to Ireland. Nothing nice about that alas interesting as a weather enthusiast. I did think we'd have at least one severe windstorm this month...could this be it?

Very, very, mild bordering on warm with it being 17C at the moment some hazy sunshine not that far away from 18C which is unprecedented, this December is of complete contrast to 5 years ago.

Welcome back bruv Sounds posh..."baby it's warm outside". Nature thinks it is Spring it is not good at all with possible icy blasts doing quite some harm. Currently 14C right now it's not expected to any lower than this, I think 17C may be achievable today. This state of dormancy in the weather has been lingering on for some time now, and I'm getting sick of it, I do feel sorry for SAD sufferers but it's even troubling me. Endless cloud, drizzle eurghh! Night folks, as it stands Xmas day is looking more seasonal, praise be.

T+96 T+240 Comes to mind...

Expecting a very cold spell of weather in this month perhaps severe cold in latter part of the month into February due to the stratosphere being so bitter; I feel when it gets probed at very cold air will flood to our latitudes of course it ain't as clear cut as that, but I'm going for a decent 2.1C I confidently expect there to be a big sudden flip in our fortunes.

It barely reached 16C here phenomenally mild not seen anything like this before.

Not only it is set to be the warmest December on record it also seems the dullest to me a repulsive mix.

There was mention of it receding fizzling out on the contrary....as of what is now yesterday. Still quite a significant cold SST anomaly which I feel could be useful further down the line.

That is very incorrect I do not have the supportive charts with me however chilly westerly/northwesterly winds were being modelled a chilly blip. As of late with negative uppers in the mix enough for snow in places.

In the Vancouver Winter Olympics a few years back now they had to transport and dump tons and tons of snow due to the excessive mildness via trucks/airlifting due to the lack of snow is that conceivable for some of the snow parched resorts? Eastern Europe has some snow Russia is full to the brim lol! I suppose not..would be incredibly expensive and probably the money spent on it would melt away by how crazy mild it is..

Why are you always so insistent in the doom and gloom? I do not see you contributing much where there's colder synoptics on show sorry if I'm mistaken and it may be a distance away but it may be worth the wait the very fact this is not typical of an El Niño shows we're in unforeseen territory and potentially exciting model watching in the weeks ahead.