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Jo Farrow

Senior forecaster
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Everything posted by Jo Farrow

  1. We have Storm Agnes named Monday morning 25th ready for impacts Weds/Thurs/Friday this week Well timed naming, useful.
  2. and I do hope they get on and name a storm today (if the forecast continues) Naming is not the same as specific Amber warnings. Naming a storm is a wide heads-up message that something significant is on its way. Naming at storm at 11pm at night, for next day morning commute is useless. A name is about communication and letting people prepare. The warnings are about specifics. The novelty of a storm name is about reaching more people who might not necessarily have been so engaged with weather messaging, often it is just being used afterwards, looking backwards to identify/remember a severe weather event. Use the media earlier
  3. Met Eireann wind and rain yellow warnings now.
  4. Secondary Low gave a windy night for Scotland. And plenty of rain on Sunday/night
  5. Broadbrush, Met Office early warning and 3 model views of +72 hours, Wednesday lunchtime pressure https://www.netweather.tv/extra/models/ "A spell of strong winds is expected to move northeast through Wednesday, with a small chance that they could be significantly disruptive." but it seems there is a higher likelihood of some disruption midweek from this even if the significant disruption only has a small chance at this stage. The matrix isn't quite working well here (for the public), with Unlikely against High impacts chosen on warning page, like they are viewing the potential step up to an Amber yet this warning is just a wide wind one. Maybe it could do with two ticks, another one against Likely and Low impacts? Rain/flooding could also be an issue "A deep area of low pressure is expected to approach southwest Ireland early on Wednesday, and track across northern parts of the UK before clearing early Thursday. There is some uncertainty on the precise track and depth of the low, however the most likely outcome at present is for a wide swathe of 50 to 60 mph gusts to affect inland areas, perhaps locally stronger over and to the lee of hills in the north. Some Irish Sea coasts could see gusts of 65 to 75 mph, with a small chance of 80 mph gusts on the most exposed coasts and headlands." MO
  6. It's been windy enough overnight in some parts but weather eyes are moving to a midweek low pressure heading our way. It could bring gales and/or heavy rain to the UK, with severe gales mentioned and impactful flooding. First name on this season's list would be #StormAgnes IF a met office name it. Met Office already have early warning YEllow out, a widespread WIND warning
  7. Bit slower for us at the weekend with a fairly cloudy ridge for Saturday. Then turning wet and windy from the west during Saturday night and particularly on Sunday afternoon as ex-Nigel nears. There has already been a fair amount of rain (and gusty winds) from ex-Lee overnight. Flood and rain/wind warnings continue today.
  8. Went at 20:35 then back at 21:25 when it was purple! Looking over the Forth with an iPhone14+, my Samsung was showing some kind of psychedelic colour splat
  9. Hurricane Lee near Bermuda will impact New England and Atlantic Canada this weekend. Whether as a Tropical Storm or a post-tropical cyclone, it will bring wild conditions and there are storm surge concerns. Read more here
  10. FRom Hong Kong observatory The No. 8 Northwest Gale or Storm Signal is in force. This means that winds with mean speeds of 63 km/h or more are expected from the northwest quarter. At 4 p.m., Super Typhoon Saola was centred about 130 kilometres east-southeast of Hong Kong (near 21.9 degrees north 115.3 degrees east) and is forecast to move west-northwest at about 10 kilometres per hour towards the vicinity of the Pearl River Estuary. Saola continues to edge closer to Hong Kong as a Super Typhoon. Gale force winds are prevailing over offshore areas and on high ground. Winds over parts of high ground reached storm force. Heavy squally showers associated with Saola are affecting the territory. According to the present forecast track, Saola will be closest to Hong Kong tonight to tomorrow morning, skirting within about 50 km south of the Hong Kong Observatory. The Observatory will consider issuing the Increasing Gale or Storm Signal No.9 between 6 p.m. and 8 p.m. tonight. Under the influence of storm surge, the water level in low-lying coastal areas will rise rapidly tonight. There may be serious flooding. The maximum sea level may be similar to that when Mangkhut hit Hong Kong in 2018. T...The maximum water level may reach a historical record. The water levels over other coastal areas of Hong Kong will also start to rise significantly from around 6 a.m. tomorrow (2 September). The maximum water level at Victoria Harbour will be some 3 metres above chart datum. Seas will be high with swells. Members of the public are advised to stay away from the shoreline and not to engage in water sports. In the past hour, the maximum sustained winds recorded at Waglan Island, Tate's Cairn and Green Island were 76, 72 and 66 kilometres per hour with maximum gusts exceeding 98, 98 and 82 kilometres per hour respectively. 4. Flights at Hong Kong International Airport may be affected by the weather. Please contact your airline for the latest flight information before departing for the airport. 5. Owners of neon signs should switch off the electricity supply to the signs.
  11. One-stop event page for #Idalia https://www.noaa.gov/idalia "IDALIA RAPIDLY INTENSIFIES INTO A MAJOR HURRICANE... ...CATASTROPHIC STORM SURGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS EXPECTED IN THE FLORIDA BIG BEND REGION THIS MORNING WHEN IDALIA MOVES INLAND" nhc
  12. Warnings erupt as Hurricane Idalia heads for Florida midweek WWW.NETWEATHER.TV Florida is preparing for the midweek arrival of Hurricane Idalia which is likely to be a major hurricane by then. Storm surge is the major concern with damaging winds and torrential rains adding more flooding.
  13. Idalia passing between western Cuba and Yucatan peninsula, Mexico today. "A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Pinar del Rio Cuba" NHC 21:00, tiempo del centro de México "tropical storm Idalia, will cause occasional torrential rains (from 150 to 250 mm) in Quintana Roo, intense rains (from 75 to 150 mm) in Campeche and Yucatán; wind with gusts of 70 to 90 km/h with waves of 2 to 4m high and conditions for the formation of waterspouts on the coasts of Quintana Roo and Yucatan" SMN conagua
  14. The heatwave continues in France with records broken on Tuesday, very warm by night and more heat to come today and Thursday. Thunderstorm risk as well, with warnings from https://vigilance.meteofrance.fr
  15. As the action changes to the other side of the US, why CA doesn't usually see active Tropical Storms reach that far. Tropical Storm Harold heads for Texas as TS Franklin nears the Dominican Republic WWW.NETWEATHER.TV In the aftermath of Storm Hilary's tropical rain and flooding for western states, Texas and Mexico are watching Tropical Storm Harold as Tropical Storm Franklin heads for the Dominican Republic.
  16. Now very hot. European heat flirts with SE Britain but not a feature for the Bank Holiday weekend WWW.NETWEATHER.TV Warm and humid air will pulse across the Channel again later this week but a low pressure off Scotland will turn the airflow to a northerly by next weekend as Spain and France swelter.
  17. Huge contrasts across UK this evening, warm, sunny and humid in SE. Grey and damp for E/NE Britain then turning wet and windy out west/SW
  18. For all the official reasons that were given when Storm Antoni was named, on a Saturday, not sure why Betty took so long.
  19. VIDEO - Thunderstorms, heavy rain and strong winds into Friday night WWW.NETWEATHER.TV Some lively weather to end the week with a deepening low pressure heading to Ireland later on Friday, gales and high gusts, heavy rain on the cold front and the risk of thunderstorms tonight. Met Éireann Weather Warning Status Orange - Wind warning for Carlow, Kilkenny, Wexford, Wicklow, Cork, Tipperary, Waterford Late this evening and tonight, Storm Betty will bring south to southwest gales with severe gusts of up to 130 km/hr. Spells of heavy rain and possible coastal flooding.
  20. My nephew is out in Seoul (Incheon) with the WSJ, so hopefully I'll get an update, even photos tomorrow of the Khanun rain. https://www.kma.go.kr/eng/weather/images/radar.jsp
  21. Thread on the category of severe weather which impacted the WSJ in South Korea. World Scout Jamboree weather including Khanun update
  22. So Storm Antoni did arrive with Amber warnings for SW Britain for Saturday 5th August. There is no need for a new list, just continue with the names we have. The UK has been affected by several of the storms from the Southwestern group, so the letters don't matter, just how important is the social media hype each September and to who?
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