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Essan

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Posts posted by Essan

  1. Snowy...

    You are not doing it for me. LOL

    I was very surprised to find that I have already recorded 100 mms of rain this month.

    I have been away quite a bit and I had the impression that it was reasonably dry here (aka East Anglia) - but apparently not.

    Can anyone else in the MIds confirm?

    MIA

    Have had about 45mm here this month - but 40mm of that fell last Friday.   So apart that, it has been a dry month.  So far ...

  2. Confirmed wettest day since 20th July 2007 with storm total 39.2mm of which 37.1mm since midnight - quite a turn around!   Not had any effect on river level though - not often you see so much rain with zero flood risk!

  3. Summer, to me, is about getting outside and enjoying life - being able to leave the house in a shirt and shorts, enjoying an evening drink on the terrace, having a BBQ, leaving the windows open, relaxing in the sun with friends. The occasional thunderstorm after a warm day is just the icing on the cake.

    Which for me, not having cold blood, means temps no higher than the low 20s .....   which is warm enough for anyone not born in the Jurassic to enjoy being outside.

    Right now I have my back door wide open and I am only wearing a t-shirt, because it is a mild night ......  

    • Like 2
  4. I am going up to scottland on february 13th 2015 i am sure it will the be really mild and all the snow will dissapear in the caringorns :wallbash:. Check the weather and turning mild in the spittal of gleenshee up to 4c on saturday 14th lol :nonono:

    Have no fear - the snow over the hills is going no-where fast.  A good freeze-thaw cycle setting in and only several days of rain will clear it now.

    • Like 1
  5. As expected, just rain here.

    Only snow so far has been that one flurry yesterday evening (that didnt even try to settle) and temps havent even dropped below freezing yet this week.  In fact, apart from the wind it hasnt been cold at all ....

    looks like this cold spell will be memorable only because it didnt happen in this neck of the woods ....

     

  6. Snow being reported by both Essan AND Serendipity??!!! 

     

    Miracles do happen after all!

     

    Bish

    :yahoo: 

    So bbc weather showed sw mids getting the snow completely missing east and west mids dammm but the guys further south deserve some

    Hmmm, think I may have to take a gander at that!   Though still not holding up much hope of a real covering down here ...

    • Like 1
  7. More non-snow (or non-sleet or non-rain) in Evesham ......    Not even as though we have cloudy skies to conincide with the false radar returns!  

    I bet its them gubment foksies in Tunnel Hill messing with our weather again!  :D

  8. Whilst following the forum avidly, I rarely post.

     

    However I was just wondering if I was correct in thinking, when it comes to showers, models precip charts are even more unreliable and that theyre more to pick up trends/areas more likely to receive shower activity. 

     

    Surely its better to look at the radar more so than rely on the models at this time frame?

    Spot on! :good:

    Overnight and through tomorrow its a matter of radar watching.  Most showers likely to be snow, whatever the models or the MetO/BBC algorithmic not-a-forecast says :)    Though of course, some people will miss the showers and in a few cases it may be more sleet than snow, though hopefull not.

    • Like 1
  9. Can I just reassert yet again that the only Met Office forecast is the written one on their website.   The symbols are simply a visual representation of the latest raw model output, changing with each run - and should always be taken with a truck load of rock salt.  They indicate what the model shows, and nothing more.  However, they can be useful if they do not change, since this indicates increased model confidence that the parameters will be right/wrong for snow in your vicinity.

    Also, when you see there is a warning for your county, check the website to see what part of your county is affected and read what the warning actually says.   A warning does not mean snow is expected in your back yard :)


    Edit: county, not country!

    • Like 2
  10. Looks to me like we could well see a few streams of showers coming through Weds night and Thurs - meaning some places could see frequent snow showers whilst 10 miles away you get nothing .....  a "luck of the draw" spell.   Could be an interesting/frustrating time for radar watching!

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