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Ross B

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Everything posted by Ross B

  1. Yeah we're right on the edge of the front now, some of the models had us sitting on the edge for a few hours while it pivots but we may just miss that - who knows.
  2. Going pretty well now, we must've had about an inch of new snow since I got up which is properly sticking.
  3. A wet slushy covering here and snowing. Like others, it must've started as rain too otherwise we should have an inch or two by now!
  4. ECM looks ok, similar to what the UKV shows. Deepest snow is over the south and eastern highlands from this but generally the system seems to be moving through a bit quicker than was predicted earlier in the week I think?
  5. It's a tough one, 06Z UKV still looks fine and the Meto warning is in line with that - heavy precip with temps hovering around freezing or below for most... Although they will of course have access to more overlays than I do as I can only freely see the precip and temperature for it.
  6. Meto warning updated and moved north as expected. The mention of 30cm of snow has gone and more emphasis on decent accumulations for the hills, but still mentions 5cm for low levels away from the coast posisble. UK weather warnings WWW.METOFFICE.GOV.UK Met Office UK weather warnings for rain, snow, wind, fog and ice. Choose your location to keep up to date with local weather warnings.
  7. GFS 6Z has the worst of the snow north of the central belt. Central belt south is a sleety mess with snow turning to rain apart from the hills. I've never liked the GFS (although there have been a fair few snow events that were predicted to turn back to rain and never did!)
  8. Yr.no has us down as 1c and heavy sleet for hours, that will probably be about right
  9. It's gone so far north that the central belt potentially becomes the dividing line of the snow/rain, biggest risk but it should also be where the heaviest precip is. Definite risk of sleety nonsense again though!
  10. Yeah I've been keeping an eye on this, the trend from the UKV is probably for that to be just north of the central belt but that's going off precip charts which aren't the most accurate. Some good ramps in here this morning and they look justified... I expect the snow warning will be shunted north and it should go amber given it will hit the central belt around rush hour! UKV gives around 5-6hours of heavy snow, GFS has snow around for much of the day with snow showers packing in to the west later!
  11. I wouldn't worry (unless it's rain...), if we get something like the chart below as snow, it's at at least 4mm/hr (if the scale is per hr) from 6am'ish until at least lunchtime which is 24cm+ Obviously, it could go north/south, not be as persistent or we may end up in the warmer air, but whoever gets the sweet spot is surely looking at 30cm+ going on the latest charts. Still a while to go until we reach the event though! This is the short range NMM, the medium range has precip around until 9pm on Friday....
  12. Yep, love them. I was on a teams work call when I spotted them so had to switch the camera off and run to the window for a few seconds so I didn't really get to sit and watch it unfold The hail swirling around in the distance also looked really photogenic but I would've needed to leave the room to get a better photo for that which I couldn't do.
  13. Mammatus, normally find them on the back of a decaying cumulonimbus.
  14. 12Z GFS has the low and snow slightly further north again with pretty much all of the mainland in with a chance of snow on Friday, warmer air does creep further into the south and it doesn't look quite as intense in places as previous runs. One of many possibilities I guess! In terms of todays storm, the wind is ramping up now and we have a squally shower moving through with the torrential rain lashing sideways!
  15. Snow warning issued, perth Southwards however It's a little close to missing out for comfort... Text reads well though "Snow, heavy in places, is likely to develop on the northern side of Storm Eunice as it moves across the UK on Friday. There is still uncertainty in the track of Storm Eunice and not all areas within the warning area are expected to see snow. However, some places may see around 5 cm of snow at low levels away from coasts. Accumulations are expected to be significantly higher over hills though with 10-20 cm perhaps up to 30 cm possible above around 250 metres. Strong winds occurring at the same time may lead to very poor visibility, blizzard conditions and drifting of lying snow." UK weather warnings WWW.METOFFICE.GOV.UK Met Office UK weather warnings for rain, snow, wind, fog and ice. Choose your location to keep up to date with local weather warnings. GFS 6Z looks ok, if anything further north. Most look ok for us apart from ICON which takes it way south.
  16. Interesting, although meto text forecast is now going for a few wintry showers here on Friday. That's one big wintry shower
  17. Some very heavy showers around today, saw this cracking display of mammatus and had to stop for a photo, its up there or better than you normally get with summer storms here!
  18. Another few heavy showers here with everything white and we have a good covering on the grass. Showers seem to be getting more organised as they head east of here. A lot of roads looking tricky with the M8 having problems between Harthill and Edinburgh, looks like a few stuck HGVs. Picked this webcam shot near Newhouse as you can easily see the snow!
  19. Yep, it's white here now and hammering it down... Let's keep going with the reverse psychology
  20. It's a slushy mess out there now, heavy showers are starting as wet snow then starting to settle before melting after the shower clears. Anything tonight is likely to be temporary here. We've had some decent falling snow over the last week or two and like others I'm hoping we get something less marginal where the snow sticks for more than 24hours before I concentrate on storm season, which was pretty much nonexistent here last summer!
  21. When I say low levels I mean below 300m, so we might have some slush on the ground tomorrow while @Northern Strath is building an igloo! (IIRC) Ps snowing here again.
  22. The UKMO had a milder sector moving in tonight with the strong winds which may hamper snowfall to lower levels in places...
  23. We've just had a pretty heavy wet snow shower too. The Meto weather warning looks promising for tonight for many in the west/central areas away from the coast. UK weather warnings WWW.METOFFICE.GOV.UK Met Office UK weather warnings for rain, snow, wind, fog and ice. Choose your location to keep up to date with local weather warnings.
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