[North West Regional Discussion 30 December 2020 onwards]

Woke up to a covering. 
 

[North West Regional Discussion 30 December 2020 onwards]

9 minutes ago, Mark88 said:

You're right - it is surprising as you say what that altitude can do - it's just with our numbers being so small Madrid got pasted a few weeks back but it's like 800m asl... we go from rain to snow up a slight incline haha. At least winter hill will look good anyway I have a good view of it from near mine  

Winter hill is in my back yard

[North West Regional Discussion 30 December 2020 onwards]

13 minutes ago, Mark88 said:

I'm struggling to think of a comparison for this situation in terms of the warning. The amber looks like it's following higher elevation but I mean Bolton isn't exactly in the Alps. For it be just rain here and disruptive snow 15 miles away is boggling my mind hah. What an interesting little island we are. 

I’ve seen it be rain in Manchester, got to farnworth and it’s been sleet. By the time I’ve got to horwich it’s been heavy snow. Manchester is about 90m asl. I’m   190m asl. Surprising what a bit of altitude can do. 

[North West Regional Discussion 30 December 2020 onwards]

1 minute ago, hailseizertoo said:

As an aside, we, (Tranmere) have just signed Ali Crawford from you guys. Any good?

Not the best to be honest. 
Lazy 

[North West Regional Discussion 30 December 2020 onwards]

@Chris.R 

What’s it saying for Horwich /Bolton area ? 
many thanks 

[North West Regional Discussion 30 December 2020 onwards]

Horwich in the Amber but only just.. seems the boundary is the M61. 

[North West Regional Discussion 30 December 2020 onwards]

I hope this cold spell comes off. 
anything from the East  beats the slushy crap we get from a North Westerly. 
 

my part of the North West usually does ok from an Easterly or North Easterly, obviously not as good as the East part of our region. 

[North West Regional Discussion 30 December 2020 onwards]

MetO app has now got me down for 4 hours of heavy snow. 
 

hate snow to rain events 

[Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?]

1 minute ago, MJB said:

UKMO 120h

That low south of Greenland ready to slide 

[Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?]

57 minutes ago, sheikhy said:

Right let me tell you why i think the king model is playing catch up thank god!!yesterdays ecm had a ridge going up towards scandi at 120 hours which kept the low over the uk and not sinking as much and not as quickly therefore we were getting crappy left over cold 850s from the north and not the full on scandi freeze!!!!today on the other hand the ridge is pretty much gone at 120 hours and the low over france and spain is disrupting into europe and around the same area the ecm had the ridge in. A move defo towards gfs this morning and the ecm SHOULD complete its bad days at the office later on!!!view attached photos to see what i mean...

With all due respect, your king model the ECM has been made to look the joker of the pack 

[Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?]

Just now, Mr snowman 2018 said:

Can we finally say we have cross model agreement for the first time this winter ?

Don’t jinx it 

[Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?]

1 minute ago, Matthew Gill said:

Jet at 132

Took a vacation to North Africa 

[Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?]

Just now, MR_E said:

Does anyone remember how some previous cold spells such as 2018, 2010 etc were reflected in the models? Were they consistent across the board at this stage or were there inconsistencies as there are now?

 

Separately, how does what the cold models now are showing compare to some of the famous cold spells from previous years 1987, 60s etc?

GFS was very consistent with the 2010 cold outbreak. 
 

2018, the models were a bit like now if I remember correctly 

[Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?]

1 minute ago, northwestsnow said:

168

North Easterly. Snow showers coming over the Pennines 

[Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?]

2 minutes ago, joggs said:

Feel a ECM backtrack imo. Not been overly impressed by it this winter.

 

I said that this morning. Since it’s upgrade a few years ago, it’s just not been the same. 

[North West Regional Discussion 30 December 2020 onwards]

The Mad thread really gets on my nerves at times. 
members this morning after the 6z screaming and yelling downgrades because it’s not showing snow in their back yards in the SOUTH. 

[Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?]

1 minute ago, northwestsnow said:

But of course if ukmo handles it well,which I expect it will btw.

Then that opens up lots of goodies ...

I would feel the Ukmo, would have this in the bag now. Especially at this range.

but I think we all have this nagging feeling that if it can go wrong, it will. 

[Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?]

5 minutes ago, minus 9 said:

Does anyone think Ian brown has broke into the ecm servers.???

I think the ECM has not been the same since it’s upgrade a few years ago. 
that’s just my opinion 

[Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?]

Excellent 12z charts. Let’s hope ECM 12z jumps on the bandwagon.

would feel very chilly in the Easterly wind. Bring it on. 
 

my only concern is why IDO has vanished ?

[North West Regional Discussion 30 December 2020 onwards]

Woke up to surprise snowfall. 
Misty too. 
 

[North West Regional Discussion 30 December 2020 onwards]

Nowt here and not expecting anything. 
sun trying to make an appearance. 
 

 

[North West Regional Discussion 30 December 2020 onwards]

Wow massive flakes 

[North West Regional Discussion 30 December 2020 onwards]

Couple of inches fell here. Some real heavy falls under last shower 

 

[North West Regional Discussion 30 December 2020 onwards]

Stopped here now but left a decent covering 

 

[North West Regional Discussion 30 December 2020 onwards]

Pretty decent