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Nick2373

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Everything posted by Nick2373

  1. Nick2373
    Indeed as posted above a slight change in output on 00z looking bit dryer but above average.
  2. Nick2373
    Current 18z still shows the trend for something more unsettled from the 15th to the 22nd then something perhaps dryer. No interdiction of SSW Effects
  3. Nick2373
    So Jan fished 1.26c above average yes not recorded breaking but above average that, so in reality it should have been lower for the month but it weren't was it. Anyway moving on to the 06z the trend is back from the 15th onwards for something of a showery set up with winds being dragged up from the South West. Lets hope the SSW Can deliver sometime soon days getting warmer and longer spring around the corner.
  4. Nick2373
    Not with charts like this we aren't keeps going we will be talking about how February broke current CET Records.
  5. Nick2373
    Not without interest could see some upgrades on the 06z?
  6. Nick2373
    00z Shows a slight change to what the 18z was showing temps remaining above average pretty much same conditions of late, Spikes seem to be dropping each run so dry may carrying on.
  7. Nick2373
    Last nights 18z continues the the trend for something more unsettled with a hint of some PM Shots in there for around the17th,18th but presides that nothing towards colder than average. That PV around Canada is to strong the Bain of all our winters.
  8. Nick2373
    It’s a reoccurring trend that’s the problem looking at the cluster if I was a betting man I’d say just above average with similar conditions as of late.
  9. Nick2373
    12z still follows the theme of unsettled from the 15th onwards, like this morning if this trend continues looking likely South West winds. This needs to change in the next few days.
  10. Nick2373
    Correct me if I'm wrong but that chart would just draw in South West winds, the PV Is to strong over Canada and the Atlantic that would push all the crud our way sort of ties in with this mornings 00z
  11. Nick2373
    Quite in here this morning, 00z still shows scatter from the 15th onwards with the control and gfs op following a similar pattern past the 15th . Looking like currently something more unsettled on the cards but that's seven days away, if that patron remains trending over the next few days looks like SSW SWest set up.
  12. Nick2373
    Going off the 18z either its picking up on a possible ssw which lead's to cold, or its picking up indeed the ssw and putting the uk on the warm side with lows being driven off the Atlantic way to much scatter for a convincing drop to something colder at the minute there are signs of the zonal winds splitting around the 17th,18th but the question will it fall in the Uk's favour. Are we going to see a rapid ssw or one that's of no use like a ashtray on a motorbike.
  13. Nick2373
    00z if its dry and overcast you like this is the output for you this morning, way above average well at least its dry or now. I'll be the first to say it if only it was July lol.
  14. Nick2373
    Icon steps back to the GFS? Not super cold but coolish and dry.
  15. Nick2373
    18z GFS once again picks the idea of something colder yesterday there was shouts of glee and high fiving when it backed down on the 12z. are we going to see a repeat? another day of spills and frills on the GFS Rollercoaster
  16. Nick2373
    Spot on in instants like these scenarios its not the surface pattern you need to watch its the upper levels I think someone pointed this out the other day, stronger or weaker patterns determine where the high will sit, stronger forget it weaker more chance of a high setting up.
  17. Nick2373
    06Z still isnt resolved past 07th looking like a middle ground set up coming up on the 12z.
  18. Nick2373
    Is the GFS Op going to fall in line today? or are we seeing a continuous trend. Its ether going to be a Hero or Zero today what ever the case if its the Hero there will be some re thinking of this model from people.
  19. Nick2373
    Going from the output Ktom I think we will see something of a halfway solution when everything calms down are the ECM UKMO Going to follow the GFS Or will it fall in line with the other two?
  20. Nick2373
    Well Well, The GFS Sticking to its gun and looks the same way this morning didn't someone say yesterday they wouldn't put money on it? in all the years of model watching there's one thing I've learned from some and that trend sometimes pays off no matter how far a outsider.
  21. Nick2373
    How’s it straw clutching? This is the model discussion isn’t it? It was the GFS that picked up last Julys heatwave. And yes it’s been updated since but again what evidence do you have it’s 100% wrong?
  22. Nick2373
    What evidence is there its not correct now?.
  23. Nick2373
    Don't forget the GFS Was the first model to pick up the hot spell for July last year two weeks before any other models? some crumbs of comfort
  24. Nick2373
    What's on offer with the 00z looking like something colder from the 06th to the 10th, anything after that is up for discussion looking at that I would say 10th to the 12th just on the cuff of average temperatures then possible colder there after.
  25. Nick2373
    06z not bad are we going to see just below average, I think the 12z will be the decider in terms of where the heights can sit and will they hold the jet back. if this happens we may see a further drop in temperatures.
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