MATTWOLVES 3

I'm having problems QS.. its saying your connection is not private and hackers maybe trying to steal your info.... Never happened before.

Looks good at 144hrs..like for like with yesterday's 12z.. A touch more expansive than the previous 12z run.

Have we got a plume on the way.... Or a tropical storm....

Judging by some of the posts on here I think it's fair to say, a good many of you will have to rethink your temperature forecasts in the competition thread.... I'm liking the GEM.... Those 2m temps looking much better folks

So far so good from the 12z..

Icon is German Karl... Lol... I think we will be terribly unlucky to end up with those projected maximums.. All its gonna take is lengthy sunny spells to add many degrees to those totals. Edit.... Yes Karl... I thought that after posting... Bon jour mate

Just to think the icon was shunting the core of the heat Eastwards just the other day... Now it appears to be leading the way with a direct hit of heat, that would surely put temperatures into the mid to high 30s if everything falls into place. Amazing stuff @northwestsnow and @Steve Murr

There is considerable uncertainty regarding the arrival of fresher conditions next weekend! It's 7 days away and we are yet to nail this hot plume just yet... So certainly no point in worrying over the possible breakdown of it.

Or we could look at the CFS operational out to mid July and say... Make the most of next week's plume.... That's ya lot for this summer!!

You can add the JMA to that as well... This from the 0z...6z just rolling out.

I understand your point... But you need to be comparing the 0z runs with the 0z runs, and the 6z runs with the 6z runs.... Like for like really...

All the models was in agreement for a major cold snap.... It was icon that backtracked, and the others followed suite... So icon for sure is an underestimated model for sure. And looking at the icon this morning... Its gone from sending the plume East, to building it North across the UK.... Hopefully its onto something!

I've spent the last hour not knowing if I was viewing the models thread or the guess the temperature competition thread... ECM, UKMO, ICON all bringing a notable plume, ICON really does push that plume far North as well. This guessing the temps business is probably a little ridiculous! If we new for sure what conditions would be like come next weekend.... Ie.. Extensive cloud cover or blue sky's, we would have a decent chaince of nailing them. June 95....Estly wind bringing in extensive low cloud cover in during the night... This cloud persisted on the coasts... But inland it would clear by late morning!! Temps on the coast high teens at best! Inland areas were getting up to low 30s! Same applies here really!! Anywhere that gets the extensive sun is sure to breach 35c....other places will be left wondering what on earth happened to the much hyped heatwave.... In fairness its going to be at least Wednesday before we can have a better take on potential maximums!!

Judging by some of the posts in here tonight I may need to rejig my temperature prediction in the competition... I said 36.7c. Looks like switching it to 16.7c. Anyweather if your listening mate, get back on and give us some HLB.... ITS FAR LESS STRESSFUL! Here is one from the Navgem 18z before I go.... Peachy....

The theory seems to be if it can go wrong... It will go wrong in the uk.. The models don't handle plumes very well, much like they don't handle significant cold spells in winter.. I don't see anything to get alarmed by just yet... But I stand to be corrected if tomorrow mornings output has really backtracked....

Folk are starting to dissect every single run now to look for little faults.. And the 18z must be the most prone for error runs of all time... I can't see that many problems with the overall output today.... People are actually starting to nit pick now with a fine comb.... Over analizing every microscale detail...

25 or 26 is well above average, and I certainly wouldn't make that call on the back of the 18z..as for hyping, we do it all winter... Emotions run a little to high to the point some will start saying its not gonna happen, on the back of one run! All the output today has been a success, swings and roundabouts here.... There will be little tweaks along the way, sometimes favourable, sometimes not.... I certainly wouldn't lose any sleep over the 18z run though... Keep a cool head, we have plenty of time to put our blood pressure through the roof in the winter season....

If you can't get excited about them charts Don, how about these ones.... Ohhhhh yehhhhh

36.7c faversham, Kent on Friday 28th of June

Hey 38.5... There is an old saying.... Once you reach the top there is only one way to go.... Or is that when you reach the bottom... Same thing applies though...

No complaints from me with the mean... Looks hot to start... And high pressure is ready to pounce by the end...

Plenty of heat from ECM, surely to god mid 30s somewhere! I've got lots of gardening duties next week.. I may need to revise my plan.....

I don't no about you guys... But I'm eying up plume 2...high pressure looks to be gaining momentum....

Icon, both gfs models and ukmo at 144hrs....only ecm left now and we can all say in cricket terms..... Howzat.....

Germany says.... Vorsprung durch Technik..... You beauty icon... If it sends this heat any further North... We will have Shetland in on some of the action...