MATTWOLVES 3

Much more positive 6z for me... Low pressure much further NE, with high pressure having more influence on preceedings. Perhaps the models now making the Eastwards corrections.

ECM mean nay to bad, the cooler interlude is also being shown up, but tentative signs of high pressure regaining the initiative by the later stages... Certainly no signs of us being thrown back into an early June situation anytime soon... Thank the lord for that...

Thanks Nick... That's extreme heat to say the least. Just reading your post has made me switch me fan on. Seriously though, red warning! No laughing matter... A serious danger to the vunerables health.. Hopefully things will ease a bit for you before much longer mate..

And by 216 and 240, the car crash has been cleaned up, paramedics have left the scene with no reported injuries and everybody is now good to go again...

Summing up in a nutshell.... ECM brings some high pressure ridging in the early stages. Towards the middle stages we see high pressure retreating Westwards with a Northerly setting up!! It looks brief... Towards the latter stages high pressure again showing signs of extending Eastwards.... For me... That's a decent run... Bring on the mean.

Karl, it's a bit of a minefield currently.. To me it looks like a 50-50 split of it remaining fine and increasingly very warm or cooler and more unsettled. Even the geezers at Exeter are head scratching moving forward! It looks like it could be another few days before we see just what direction of travel we are heading in.

I wouldn't say its a big ECM coming up though... It could indicate much better conditions, or much worser conditions, before completly backtracking again tomorrow and the weekend! The models currently are really struggling to gain any traction on forecasts beyond 5/6 days. Tonight's ECM whether good or bad will have little baring on procedures moving forward.

Not a bad Gem out to day 8/9 High pressure looks in control especially further south. Temps not bad at all... 34-35 on the cards for the SE on Saturday... Enjoy it if you can!

Vile.... 23c and unbroken sun here... Looking at the latest satellite image it's clear for the bulk of England and Wales! Edit.... Sorry I got wrong end of the stick, I thought you were referring to today's temps not the 7th of July... A chart at 10 day's out regarding temperature is highly likely to be just a little bit wide of the mark though..

Lovely Conditions right now and the next couple of days... But be aware of a sneaky little cold pool coming down from the North end of next week.... Perhaps... Scotland - 4 uppers..... Brace yourselfs... For a bit of skiing in the cairngorms....

I'm a bit miffed by some of the gloom setting in again currently. All on the back of slightly less encouraging models runs overnight! This talk of a trough setting up in our vicinity is no more likely than a strong blocking high bringing us plenty of warm settled conditions, Infact I wouldn't be at all surprised to see further hot plumes making there way across us if we can get high pressure to sit favourably! Enjoy the next few days if you like the heat and are in a favourable location folks... It looks perfick!!

Was slightly concerned by the ECM op this morning, especially after witnessing a few days of upgrades regarding settled conditions.. However the mean and ens paint a better picture overall. Even though there is a decrease regarding pressure with the mean, the op was certainly an outlier!

10 day's... Bit extreme.. I made a light hearted post regarding the emotions of the last week with regards to this plume, that's all. Perhaps it's time to move on, it's becoming a grind now.

Well the first 3 weeks of June now looking a distant bad memory... ECM mean brings much more cheer..

Light hearted banter involving the ups and downs throughout the week. And surface temp s were being predicted to be at nearly 35c, and this coming from the Met Office.... I find that rather extreme for June mate.

First the plume then the summer fantastic Mr bombastic... High pressure... From day 5 its beginning to build, then for those that missed out on plume 1....we have a potential plume part 2 towards day 9/10...utterly flabbergasting run.... I think I need a ly down to recover...

I think MWB you can join one hell of a long list of confused. Com folk on here right now... All week its been.... Will it.... Won't it.... Is it..... Isn't it.... Oh the saga...

Spot on shaky.... ECM follows icon with having the heat much further West than the GFS did....result..

I think what he failed to say was perhaps he was on top of the hill.. Like nearly 2,000ft up... Well if its the Clee hills anyway.

A look at the models at day 6...clearly high pressure taking control... UKMO GFS FV3 ICON GEM

The old GFS as it slightly further East... The FV3 is only just rolling out so not sure if that one's going to differ much And the bottom chart is ukmo at 48hrs UKMO at 72hrs...the heat a little further East has well... Not a done deal if you ask me. Could be much further West or East tbh.

How's this shaky...

Icon brings the SE bake on Saturday... 28c being shown up..... Nahhhhhh, let's slam a few degrees on that total....

Very nice Karl... Here is a look at the mean.... Spiffing wouldn't you say dear sir..

Looking good NWS... I've just had a look at the ensembles out to day 8 and only 4 of the 20 runs do not have high pressure in control... So we are looking at say an 80% chance of settled Conditions at this stage mate.