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Cloud 10

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Everything posted by Cloud 10

  1. Yes,that does look rather odd with a deep "football" LP with not much else going on around it.
  2. Still a slight question mark over saturday's weather. gfs p 06z.. gfs p 12z..
  3. I'm having trouble viewing it because i have to keep rubbing my eyes as i can't believe the changes compared to the 00z run. :w00t: FWIW,a major snow event for parts of the North at 204 hrs.
  4. The ECM and GFS 12z 144 hr charts not in total agreement. ecm.. gfs..
  5. Christmas eve looking increasingly interesting for the northern half of the UK with a deepening LP diving across Northern Scotland with some pretty cold air wrapped up with it,and quite a change on the latest fax chart when compared to the one issued this morning. latest.. earlier.. Might give some folk a "default" white Christmas.
  6. 4 days to go.....wasn't the office christmas party great... GFS still going for a cold,dry and bright day across most of the UK on Christmas day,with a frosty start for many and the chance of some wintry showers down Eastern coastal counties and more especially in Northern Scotland.
  7. I think that chart sums up the medium term nicely. Completely in the dark.
  8. Looks like the GEM has gone off on one of its "obliterate the PV" runs.
  9. The Christmas day fax chart is a teaser for eastern coastal counties with a small trough running down the North sea bringing the chance of wintry showers.
  10. Lots of confusing output over the last few days which is highlighted in the differences between the day 7 ECM and GEFS ensemble means. ecm.. gefs..
  11. Is there anybody there......lol Still a chance for some showers coming in off the north sea on Christmas day if the ecm is right,although the uppers are very marginal. The gfs has us cold and dry with a light northwesterly.
  12. He got snapped up by an unnamed company,although he did say he would lurk on here occasionally....
  13. :w00t: http://www.specsavers.co.uk/ gfs 216 yesterday.. gfs 192 today..
  14. Best to compare yesterday's 12z ECM day 7 chart with today's day 6 chart to see if the ECM has "backed down"..... yesterday... today..
  15. Down to just 5 days now. Christmas day looks to be mainly dry and cold across the UK with plenty of sunshine,although showers will affect some Northwestern areas,some of which could be wintry. A frosty start for many as well.
  16. Didn't someone say earlier that the NAVGEM was performing well at the moment? :smiliz19: lol,beaten to it.
  17. I think the FNO is another name for the NAVGEM which replaced the NOGAPS. Aren't acronyms great? edit.again,just had a look through the first 10 gefs ensembles at 168 hrs,but the dizzying array of solutions is giving me a headache,so i'm off for some breakfast. :smiliz64:
  18. The GEM has an annoying habit of predicting warmer 850mb temperatures than what actually verify,even at short timescales,so as a result is not on my christmas card list.
  19. Well,the GFS P is AWOL for the weekend now,so its down to the good old trusty vanilla pub run to deliver the goods.(whatever they may be)
  20. Just noticed that the NAEFS now have stratosphere charts,but not sure of resolution etc. http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/naefs_cartes.php?ech=240&code=1&mode=4&map=1&runpara=
  21. As soon as i start seeing charts like this at 120 hrs,its time to fire up the shredder. :w00t:
  22. Can't remember ever seeing a chart like the 216 hrs from tonight's ECM. I challenge someone to find one like it from the archives. :smiliz23:
  23. As an antidote to the somewhat horrific ECM,here is the JMA at 192 hrs.
  24. ECM out to 120 hrs and wins the most tiny areas of high pressure award.
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