[SE, London & EA - Weather Discussion]

Dan's take on today

[Storms and Convective discussion - 1st August 2022 onwards]

Would've probably been worth it if I'd stayed up but chances of something closer today and further on this week and don't want to be tired because it's back to school today (year 11) and also in case I want to run after a Storm, if its got a shelf cloud, for example, later.

Edit : Checked the UKV and now I'm scared that its moved too far West for me to get anything now .

Here's the lightning from the event.

[Storms and Convective discussion - 1st August 2022 onwards]

Well, let's hope somebody will capture the picture on my bedroom wall tonight

[Storms and Convective discussion - 1st August 2022 onwards]

2 minutes ago, Rush2112 said:

Think this is a good view of the cell, from a webcam at Ripley.

Reed Timmer getting ready to intercept that scudnado

[SE, London & EA - Weather Discussion]

3 minutes ago, Electricmumma said:

And again I'm the wrong side of beachy head

I'm on the wrong side of Kent

[SE, London & EA - Weather Discussion]

My risk for today, most of the risk is in the Western part of the Region though. The ECM does show something for the eastern part of our region so it's a possibility but only a slight risk I would say.

[Autumn 2022 - Moans, Ramps & Chat]

1 minute ago, Wimbledon88 said:

We were always lead to believe by the climate change goblins that Atlantic storms would be more ferocious due to a 'warming ocean'. Huge area of low pressure to our west now giving nothing but a bit of damp drizzle.

No doubt they'll put some of spin on it to say its as a result of global waaaaming. 

Its an isolated event.

Do you not remember Storm Eunice earlier this year, or Storm Franklin which was quite damaging as well if I remember correctly. I have no idea of any statistics or anything though and those could well be isolated events. Also note that this was only meant to be talking about Hurricanes (I would think) because the heat aids more to thunderstorm development than it would to your typically Atlantic low pressure system development. In recent years Atlantic Hurricane seasons have broken record after record and whilst that may be due to outside factors, surely you have to admit some kind of climate change has to be involved as well.

[The decline in thunder days.]

22 minutes ago, Azuremoon2 said:

No thunder in my area now since August 2020. 25 months since our last rumble of thunder. Pretty impressive really.

Well, 1 rumble in the last 25 months , still very bad though.

[SE, London & EA - Weather Discussion]

UKV noting potential for an Import (well Kent Clipper and some clusters over parts of the SE) Tuesday night.

[SE, London & EA - Weather Discussion]

18 minutes ago, minus10 said:

Well....do you believe it??

In the words of Rob Beckett pretending to be Josh Widdecombe 

"I don't believe it" *said in a thick Josh Widdecombe like accent*

[SE, London & EA - Weather Discussion]

35 minutes ago, Dami said:

According to alexa, thunderstorms tomorrow! 

But in all fairness last time no one had storms in the forecast and she was right. (although i personally didn't get one, so someone will get a storm some where) 

There is a thunderstorm risk tomorrow but very general, I think it'll be mostly showers with some lightning flickers in it.

In fact there's a risk for the whole of next week pretty much, it never really seems to get that high though.

[SE, London & EA - Weather Discussion]

2 minutes ago, Freeze said:

It's fairly frequent lightning every 30 seconds or so, seen about 8 flashes followed by some deep echoing booms. 

Wish I was there, maybe see if you could get some videos(please )so it feels like we're there,us in the SE thread will get something to cheer about then (and those who are afraid of Storms will be glad to know that it's localised and pretty much only affecting Freeze and I don't think it last too much longer).

[SE, London & EA - Weather Discussion]

5 minutes ago, Freeze said:

Nice surprise little thunderstorm here, and torrential rain!

Yeah, slight risk with some more Surface Based Storms possible overnight but I don't think it'll be much, although if you do catch one you might get some more rain for the garden as a bonus but how much of it wont just flow off, I have no idea.

[SE, London & EA - Weather Discussion]

7 minutes ago, TN9 said:

Dont mention seeding ...not here in this forum  your get jumped on .....:-( ...

Yes but the UAE do cloud seed officially, we 'officially' don't. Of course unofficially we might but I don't see much use of it especially this year if we do and our climate is already naturally (usually) wet enough for us not to do it.

[Storms and Convective discussion - 1st August 2022 onwards]

The shower around sunrise today

 

Ignore my hat at the top right corner, was trying to keep my phone from getting wet.

[Storms and Convective discussion - 1st August 2022 onwards]

26 minutes ago, ResonantChannelThunder said:

Plenty going on on this morning's ECM. One of those runs that's too good to be true, storm wise. If it came off though...

Even if only next Friday comes off on it a lot of people in the SE would be happy.

Imagine that amount of frequent lightning that its showing but in real life.

3/6 hour average

7PM

[SE, London & EA - Weather Discussion]

4 minutes ago, TN9 said:

Blimey nobody has commented for how long? ..6 hours ..all must be dandy ,feels like the tumble weed of the south east is blowing down the forums halls ..pleasant I guess...but you see if we believe models that its going to change to a wet wet autumn ..climate change here seems you get everything or nothing...:(

Sorry haven't had that much time what with what's been happening in my life this week ❤ lol. Am also thinking of writing a paper on how to make airports safer but that'll take me a long time so may be spending less time on here at least for the meanwhile (I guess I hope forever if we end up staying together because we both seem to be into as much as each other).

[Storms and Convective discussion - 1st August 2022 onwards]

This year has been amazing here for Storm structure but the trouble is that most of it has happened at night and my phone isn't as good at capturing structure as my old phone because my old phone had a light painting ability on its camera.

My old phone

Vs what an attempt would look like with my new phone

Still prefer my new phone because its Pro camera is much better on it.

[Storms and Convective discussion - 1st August 2022 onwards]

My forecast verification 

[SE, London & EA - Weather Discussion]

My own forecast verification 

[Storms and Convective discussion - 1st August 2022 onwards]

Just now, Harry said:

The sky to my East is now CONSTANT lightning with occasional rumbles. Just had an impressive distant explosion from a positive strike! Anywhere west of my area might be out of luck!

Anywhere east of my area will probably be out of luck, constant flickering to my west which is blocked from view.

[Storms and Convective discussion - 1st August 2022 onwards]

7 minutes ago, The Tall Weatherman said:

Updated track-

At what point do I give up

Nevermind 

Just saw a bright flash 

Honestly,I think that the radar has got a the lightning wrong, I think there's a lit more, in fact I think there's quite a lot of dry lightning with this.

Bright lightning every couple seconds now

[Storms and Convective discussion - 1st August 2022 onwards]

Looks like I'm only going to be seeing distant flashes as I feared, come on Storms 

[Storms and Convective discussion - 1st August 2022 onwards]

If my eyes aren't deceiving me then there is a shelf cloud thing with an anvil next to me, in fact, just saw lightning.

[Storms and Convective discussion - 1st August 2022 onwards]

Even though we can't Storm Chase yet doesn't mean me and my gf (I'll use her name in the future, Ruby)l can't virtual Storm chase, just hope she isn't staying awake for nothing, would be a cruel introduction into the world of busts.