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weather_it_will

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Everything posted by weather_it_will

  1. Long range charts are unreliable. They are just predictions, like next weeks winning lottery numbers. Do you really know the exact weather in 2 days time?
  2. 11 days away! It's very unlikely considering the models can't agree on weather that is 5 days away. Anything beyond T+120 don't consider as actual likely weather. It is known as FI for a reason.
  3. 18z GFS not showing any deep cold 5 days In the longer term an easterly is the only route to proper winter weather, so anything from the north is not going to cut it for anyone south of Yorkshire.
  4. The current models are showing more like late autumn than winter weather. The winter of 1947 did not start properly until 21st January, so there is still some hope.
  5. Possible Gales for the south east. Maybe this is what Ian F mentioned earlier today re concern after boxing day, and nothing to do with snow!
  6. It's a bug with the Iphone/Ipad. You can always tell an Apple user on any forum.
  7. Hardly nailed on, when it's only appeared on a couple of model runs today. Tomorrow it may show something different again. More consistency with cross model agreement in a more reliable time frame is required.
  8. Just need an easterly in the new year to enjoy this cold air. I always had this feeling an easterly will be on the cards after christmas.
  9. Looks like a mini-heatwave on the way if the ECM 00z is to be believed. GFS not showing anything cold athe moment, but this could all be the sign of changes to come.
  10. We need to break out of this W/NW flow system to achieve any chance of proper deep cold reaching central England. The GEFS ensembles, currently do not offer anything majorly different to what we have now for the next 7 days.
  11. Metoffice are currently predicting warm weather for beginning of November, so I guess winter will be starting late. I think it could well be another mild winter, even though some so called winter forecasts I have seen are predicting colder than average for Southern UK. Another reason i think it will be mild this winter is that most of the energy companies have frozen their prices, where usually if it's a cold winter they put their prices up a lot.
  12. This the moans and ramps thread, so unless you are moaning because you only have 20°C in a foreign country, you have posted in the wrong thread.
  13. You can tell it's getting desperate in the model discussion thread when people start talking about strat warming and sunspots etc.
  14. Who will win? On the left it is west, and on the right it is the east. Will there be a fight?
  15. It's back to lots of rain again next week. Any signs of winter just gets pushed back further.
  16. The models are always hopeless when there is a build up chance of an easterly.
  17. What makes you say that? It's just another tool which may be completely wrong. All the models could be wrong.
  18. Fergieweather told us the UKMO ran but never left Exeter due to transmission failure or words to that effect.
  19. Some interesting ensemble members on this run. But no real answer on where any cold will come from.
  20. Pointless model watching until the new year at least if you want extreme cold weather. Why do the mild fanatics keep posting endless reams of useless charts that consume unnecessary bandwidth. There should be a restriction on number of charts people can post. Maximum 4. I wonder what the record is for number of people on ignore list? I have 3 pages worth of ignores.
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