weather_it_will

Snow virtually on your doorstep. No need to look at the models now.

Lot's of these showers now crossing the Irish Sea, via the Cheshire Gap. All should be of snow now, as dew points and 850 temps are plenty cold enough. The snow showers will hopefully reach further south during the evening and night

Lots of showers about, so it could be right.

The forecasts are a waste of time in these current marginal conditions. Nowcasting via radar and lamposts and looking out the window is more reliable.

NW Radar shows rain/snow showers heading towards Brum, with the bulk currently over Ludlow.

Wind and rain has just arrived here.

http://www.banburycake.co.uk/news/11752504.Snow_forecast_to_hit_Oxfordshire_on_Thursday_morning/ Heavy snow is set to hit the county on Thursday morning, according to the Met Office. The latest forecast predicts heavy snowfall in Chipping Norton, Bicester and Banbury between midnight and 9am. Light snow is also expected in Oxford, Witney, Didcot, Abingdon, Wallingford and Faringdon. Snow is also predicted in Chipping Norton and Banbury again on Friday morning. (Not sure if they swallowed a copy of the Daily Express, when this was published though!)

2 weeks of very cold weather if the pub run is to be believed.

Up until Sunday.

More marginal for snow on the 18z for the Midlands. The airflow is more north westerly than northerly, and we sit on the border of the 850 line more of the time, so some will get snow, but others not. Looks like another wait and see event.

Didn't she only get that job as she married the producer, or cameraman. I am sure she is not a professional weather forecaster.

And now the Meto forecast is back to sleet. They must be throwing darts at random on a map every hour to keep them busy through the long dark cold nights.

Meto website forecast has my area down for heavy snow showers on Thursday morning, so it's a glimmer of hope. The forecasts only give a general view, and are never very accurate at forecasting snow in these marginal situations. It will be the usual nowcasting that really counts as some places may get a covering, while others get nothing. But I hope we all get at least some snow in coming days.

Maybe we have better luck in 2nd half of February if the strat warming effects come into play.

It was never going to be a major snow event for the Midlands away from the highest hills.

Probably the same time people on the model output forum stop posting such hype.

I thought you were the editor of The Daily Express, from your previous posts.

More chance in August.

Maybe for you. But most have not had falling or laying snow.

Too early to be definite at this range. A long way to go yet. But it looks marginal for most areas. Probably the same areas as last week.

The same as last week. mainly a North West event.

I know it's an old chart you posted, but it's a poor one also if you want snow, unless you are over 200m asl.

It looks like another non-event for snow this week, apart from the locations that have already had a covering of snow this winter. At best we may see a dusting of snow, but these northerly events are a waste of time for widespread snow. For my location so far it's been a poor winter with no snow on the ground.

Are you serious? I detect an IMBY. These northerly type of events rarely produce anything worthwhile away from coastal areas and high ground. GFS chart for Thursday below shows this is a marginal event for North Wales and the North East.

-3.2C here right now.