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weather_it_will

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Everything posted by weather_it_will

  1. But you have chosen one of the mildest charts out of 50 or more possible choices.
  2. Those are not for the UK. But in the current setup any model output past 36 hours is not cast in stone.
  3. The wind is really increasing a lot here now. Heavy band of rain on radar just about here also.
  4. ECM @ T216 would give snow across the midlands -8C 850's Nationwide, even -10 in some places
  5. There is a forum thread for this. https://forum.netweather.tv/topic/82219-atlantic-storm-14th-15th-january/
  6. Did not get any snow here near Banbury last night.
  7. Plenty of potential snow bands heading this way on the radar. The night is young.
  8. Just stop all people in the north posting about how it's going to be snowing for everyone. Maybe a regional model thread would be better.
  9. ECM is a zonal horror story for anyone in Birmingham and southwards. Nothing in the way of snow on offer in the more reliable time frame. GFS has the low further south which may result in wintry showers on the hills very briefly on the back edge of the evening rain. Very little to get excited about for most of us.
  10. What the models show and what we actually get are usually totally different. Too many Meto weather warnings materialize into nothing as it is already. Often these warnings just affect small communities, while most of us wonder why the need for a warning when nothing happened.
  11. It's raining here now. I can hear it.
  12. Can't hear any wind here. Radar shows some rain showers about which will be gone in about 20 minutes.
  13. Most of us do not live in the North West, so is of no real interest. GFS12z in the reliable time frame upto 7-days showing temps 4 to 12C Midlands southwards. Snow is very unlikely.
  14. Because it's a rare event for most of England. Almost like hot sunny weather. We get wind and rain all year, so it's of no interest to me, unless it's a hurricane that will blow my house down!
  15. Not much use though, when we have deep lows over Greenland and the Atlantic feeding in zonal westerly based winds.
  16. I can't see any major pattern change from what we have now up to 19th January. GEFS ensembles mainly showing a westerly influence. Anyone thinking SSW will change things is more likely straw clutching at this stage, as same SSW fanatics were disappointed last winter.
  17. Anything showing late in FI is a waste of time if it's trends you are looking for, as the error at that range is off the scale.
  18. The tracking of the low at 72HRS is far from nailed.The GEFS ensembles showing it centred anywhere from Scotland to Bristol. http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gefs_cartes.php?ech=72&code=3&mode=0&carte= http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gefs_cartes.php?ech=72&code=14&mode=0&carte=
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