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Matt H

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Everything posted by Matt H

  1. Matt H
    Source of this info: trust me bro. Can you at least support your comments with some data and charts before posting random and unsubstantiated comments like this?
  2. Matt H
    A few very small snow grains falling in the 0C air here in Cambridge, and in terms of snow around here that’s considered to be a blizzard these days.
  3. Matt H
    ECM at day 10 is easily my favourite chart of the morning, what a stonker! Albeit at day 10 but at least there seems to be more consistency between the models on the general evolution this morning. We would’ve done anything for charts remotely similar to this last year so here’s hoping.
  4. Matt H
    At least someone is checking the NAVGEM runs still.
  5. Matt H
    Cheers Zak, came on here to get away from the word corona. That’s the evening ruined.
  6. Matt H
    At least there’s no messing around on the pub run, I’ll take this over the shoddy 12z run any day.
  7. Matt H
    FWIW the GEFS 12z has the mean at the coldest I’ve seen for a few runs in the extended range. Still a fair amount of scatter obviously but there’s also a cluster around -10C that wasn’t there earlier. Could turn out to mean nothing once things play out but all to play for still.
  8. Matt H
    UKMO, GFS(p) and GEM all in fairly good agreement at t144. GFS is the odd one out now.
  9. Matt H
    UKMO 12z at t144 looks great to me!
  10. Matt H
    Cherry picking here but the control run certainly looks good at t216 with a polar low sinking south within cold air and bringing non-marginal snowfall for many. Fantastic model runs this morning though, glad everything still looks so positive!
  11. Matt H
    -88c are uppers that would make even @terrier blush.
  12. Matt H
    On the other hand these GFS parallel runs are about as welcome as a fart in a lift at the moment, hope it stops messing around tomorrow and comes into line with the GFS.
  13. Matt H
    What a beauty, please just for once in your life be right.
  14. Matt H
    Yes, the GEFS 12z mean shows a fairly decent snow event in the south still tomorrow night, even to the south of the infamous M4! Some marginality in the SW though.
  15. Matt H
    A restart from some of the best synoptics in years because one operational run shows a less favourable evolution in the extended range? Honestly lost for words...
  16. Matt H
    Biggest positive for me is that we seem to have moved away from the 00z trend to sit the high closer to, or over the UK. Comparing the 3 GFS runs today so far it does appear to be the less likely outcome for now (all eyes on the ECM later though). 00z: 06z: 12z: Parallel run is slowly seeing the light hopefully as well:
  17. Matt H
    Great to see the UKMO 12z sticking to its guns at t144 with no UK high. So far, so good this afternoon.
  18. Matt H
    Yes the mean looks like a stonker compared to the 00z FWIW. Both still good though. 00z: 06z:
  19. Matt H
    GFS 06z looks like an improvement early on with the ridge further north after the less positive 00z runs, hope it’s correct.
  20. Matt H
    “Arctic weather bomb to cripple the UK under 6 feet of snow in the New Year!” [Insert image of heavy snow from google images]
  21. Matt H
    Have to admit I can’t notice any significant differences at the t144 mark but you know far more than I do about this as I’m still learning so thanks.
  22. Matt H
    Are you watching the run upside down?
  23. Matt H
    I think that’s the IMBY perspective working its magic to be honest, especially for me at least.
  24. Matt H
    ICON 18z fairly good for snow prospects Wednesday night into Thursday in the south. A fair shift north from the 12z.
  25. Matt H
    Clear demonstration of the UK high right there (sorry couldn’t resist)!
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