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Frigid

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Everything posted by Frigid

  1. Frigid
    If the second half is anything like 2011, then you could be too low
  2. Frigid
    My CET looks laughingly low now, and that's after a modest uptick. I know it's only the 3rd but I genuinely believe the CET will be record breaking, perhaps higher than 2006. 20C by mid month, would require a freezing second half to bring it to average. September is looking more extreme than the June gone past, can't believe I'm saying that...
  3. Frigid
    June: 4/10. Would've given it lower if it weren't for those thunderstorms. Some of the best I've seen. July: 8/10. Most comfortable July since 2012. August 6/10. Kinda boring, a bit like Aug 15. Overall 6/10. Nothing too exciting, June was possibly the worst I've ever endured and July was bliss. I've already made up my mind for September three days in..
  4. Frigid
    Nov 1925 was pretty cold with a CET of 3.6 but I think you meant Nov 1915, which had an astonishing CET of 2.8C.. the anti-Nov 2015 . The winter that followed was exceptionally mild though, January had a vile CET of 7.6C... On topic, Sep 1919 looks fascinating.. from one extreme to another. Wouldn't mind something similar to happen this autumn.
  5. Frigid
    Ahh if only the CET was 0.2C higher, would've been absolutely perfect. Still it's probably my best combined forecast I've ever submitted.
  6. Frigid
    Had a check at the latest GFS run, it's not pretty at all. Has us at 5 days of 26+ which would only translate to 28/29.. what a horror show. Would've never expected it beat the spell in Sep 21. This is where the GFS was heading shown 6 days ago. A cool start to September. Where it is now.. I'm hoping the second half is the coldest on record, or something similar to 2015/2022.
  7. Frigid
    Hoping for a frost fest in these upcoming months, mid September onwards. Predicting we see our first air frost at the end of October and our first ground frost sometime in December.
  8. Frigid
    Nothing special, but it'd be the months you'd least expect. A 17C September would be more outrageous than a 17C June..
  9. Frigid
    SLAP BANG! Greenland covered in heights, you love to see it. Coldest winter since 1963?.. I think we're due it Now, back to reality. Honestly a 2009/10 would be incredible, would follow the trend of a remarkably similar July-August period we've seen this year compared to 2009. Of course, gotta take these charts with a pinch of salt. That low could be a bit more south, but at this stage it's looking good.
  10. Frigid
    Looks quite pleasant though, 20-23C and sunny would be great for September. Nights aren't warm as well, so will be very comfortable. Uppers look very warm, though temperatures aren't responding.. I suspect it could be a similar story to what happened in 1988.
  11. Frigid
    errm.. 15.2C and 42mm..
  12. Frigid
    I always think of this event when heat is forecasted in September, it's hard enough to get temps in the high 20s in September these days.. but 30?? Crazy stuff. Correct if wrong but I don't think Manchester has hit 30C in September since, I guess a similar story could've happened if the heatwave in October 2011 was a month earlier.
  13. Frigid
    13.3C and 75mm. Let's see how well this goes
  14. Frigid
    GFS 18z looks quite autumnal tbf, hopefully a step in the right direction. Last thing I'd want is a warm September
  15. Frigid
    No I disagree, 16.6 is the number!
  16. Frigid
    I'd love to experience an Autumn like 1992/93, what fascinates me with those years is the October's. CET of 7.7C and 8.3C for October is unheard of these days, and the fact they happened right after each other is notable. Since then it's been largely mild with a few exceptions.. 2019 was the last time it truly felt like Autumn. Hoping for something similar to 2019, but ideally a September 2015, October 1993, November 2010
  17. Frigid
    Same here, it got down to -3.5C in May 2020.. colder than anything in the previous winter, except the first few days of Dec 2019. People remember the warmth and sun of May 2020, but often forget how cold it was during the 2nd week. In regards to October, you have to go way back to 2008 to find a lower temperature.
  18. Frigid
    -11C was showing for me on the morning of the 15th, took a good half an hr for the car to defrost and warm up. A truly spectacular winter's day, akin to those mornings in Dec 2010. Blue skies and a deep, thick frost. I know it's unlikely but I hope to see more this upcoming winter.
  19. Frigid
    Thank goodness the CET didn't skyrocket into the 18s like it was forecast a week ago, would've been another month where I underpredicted greatly. As for now, my 16.6C 85mm forecast looks pretty good.
  20. Frigid
    Are you only saying this because it's what you want? Don't see any indication of such given most of the seasonals are pinging towards a blocked pattern.. except the CFS which let's be honest is complete, utter garbage. Not saying it's going to happen, since when is a winter blocked throughout.. one can wish
  21. Frigid
    20C uppers off the coast of Greenland, now that's a fantasy chat if I've ever seen one
  22. Frigid
    Agreed, I find that 18-22C and sunny is the best weather in summer.. don't understand why you'd want stifling high 20s/low 30s and high humidity. I feel lethargic when it comes to those temps, whereas during cold winter days 0-5C, I'm full of energy. Warm nights are possibly the worst thing when it comes to heatwaves, simply can't deal with them. A cool 11C summers night is bliss. Comfort is very important in summer, just as much in winter where it's arguably easier to warm up.
  23. Frigid
    Just saw this on the MOD thread.. possibly the worst possible outcome. 25C dewpoints, that's insanity. Just when you thought the heat is over for the year, you get a chart as obscene as this. Horrible
  24. Frigid
    I knew it was too good to be true.. the cool weather won't last forever. There would always be a pattern change, never thought it'd be as severe as the ECM is showing. July was a dream come true, August is shaping up to be a nightmare.
  25. Frigid
    I don't like this at all.. Feels like the warm signal came out of nowhere.
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