Skyraker

Yeah, I just read that. Tomorrow mornings output will make an interesting read, however I really think this could end up a nowcast (severity) come Sun/Mon (if it happens at all)... so many variables.

That 18z just doesn't look right, I don't know why yet.. it just doesn't.

Whassatthen?

During my digging around I have just put to bed an event I remember as a small child (4-5 yrs). I remember fence panels flipping end over end down the street during a monster gale. Scared the crap out of me back then... turn out to be the Gale of January 1976... In the midlands this was a bigger event than the 1987 storm, maybe it just sticks in my mind seeing those fence panels suspended in the air. Does anyone else remember this one? Sorry to derail the topic but i'm really pleased that I have a date for an event I was starting to think I imagined.

If memory serves me correctly the Great Storm (87) gave rise to the 'sting jet' theory.... hang on let me find a description. A sting jet is a meteorological phenomenon which is believed to be the cause of the most damaging winds in European windstorms. Following reanalysis of the Great Storm of 1987, led by Professor Keith Browning at the University of Reading, researchers identified a mesoscale flow where the most damaging winds were shown to be emanating from the evaporating tip of the hooked cloud head on the southern flank of the cyclone. This cloud, hooked like a scorpion's tail, gives the wind region its name the "Sting Jet".[1] It is thought that a zone of strong winds, originating from within the mid-tropospheric cloud head of an explosively deepening depression, are enhanced further as the "jet" descends, drying out and evaporating a clear path through snow and ice particles. The evaporative cooling leading to the air within the jet becoming denser, leading to an acceleration of the downward flow towards the tip of the cloud head when it begins to hook around the cyclone centre. Windspeeds in excess of 80 kn (150 km/h) can be associated with the Sting jet.[2] It has since been reproduced in high-resolution runs with the mesoscale version of the Unified Model. The Sting jet is distinct from the usual strong-wind region associated with the warm conveyor belt and main cold front. There are indications that conditional symmetric instability also plays a role in its formation but the importance of these processes remains to be quantified.[3][4] One storm, Cyclone Tilo (November 6-11, 2007) has also been analysed and found not to display a sting jet, despite displaying strong surface winds and a fractured cold front.[4] Source Wikipedia. I'm trying to figure out wether we'll be in the same territory again this weekend...

Is there any kind of ignore feature on here (not you Chris)?

Any danger you could re-post this in English please?

What has happened to Ian F? Has he been gagged or more likely simply had enough of us lot misquoting 'shannon entropy'?

Ah ok, I wasn't trying to be jaffa cakesy with him, just point it out.

If you like wind and rain.

A bit like when you were obsessed with the 'large teapot' perhaps Ian ... Still maybe a valid point.... there are other factors at play and I did cringe a bit when SSW went mainstream to the general public, only because it seemed to devalue the science done by some on here and other elsewhere to the same throwaway phrase as the trashy & much over used 'tipping point'. *edit* I didn't realise Large Teapot came under the umbrella of profanity.. but on reflection.. sure , why not.

I have a goldfish brain.. I thought they were new........ besides they were pretty.

Can you please refrain from posting daily CFS charts, it gives a poor guide to newcommers to the site. Perhaps an average (weekly maybe) would have a more sound footing. Futhermore, you're using the above charts to make conclusions that are at best innacurate. Regards.

Oh.... you tease you.

Does Gibby only post on TWO now?

That low deepens really quickly on the Fax, it might turn out nasty for all of us. When are the next Fax charts due out?

Heheheheh

I've just achieved wood.

Snow in Penkridge.

Green laser eh... is that a balloon popper?

Rugely will be all snow. Stafford will be all snow. Seriously guys, get a grip.

Dewpoints have fallen by 5c inthe last hour here

Agreed Len.

Im so confident it will be snow here that if it isn't I'll kick Bishop Brennan up the I have a problem

Heh.. you always say this... It will be snow mate... trust me