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Mcconnor8

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Everything posted by Mcconnor8

  1. Mcconnor8
    Nope, winds look just as strong in North of England and Scotland later in the evening/night
  2. Mcconnor8
  3. Mcconnor8
    Will be for the rest of the day, peaks around 1/2AM
  4. Mcconnor8
    The bad winds for Scotland won't arrive until 9PM and peaking from 12-3
  5. Mcconnor8
    Storm position and depth forecast doesn't seem to have changed much in the last couple of days, just sub 950mb North of Scotland at midnight.
  6. Mcconnor8
    Interesting as UKV 12z has higher gusts than runs overnight and yesterday, may just be a case of models converging as think it was lower than other models previously.
  7. Mcconnor8
    The 9z and 12z UKV runs both had higher wind gusts than the overnight and yesterdays runs and while I can't see the pressure charts for them assume that means deepened it further than was forecast previously. ICON 12z also deeper by a few mb compared to the 0z and 6z runs.
  8. Mcconnor8
    Travelling back may prove a challenge for the LFC fans given it will be during the expected peak of the winds late in the evening.
  9. Mcconnor8
    That ICON chart is for 2PM actually, is 2 hours from run initialisation which is 12z
  10. Mcconnor8
    Seems in line with latest ICON run which had 954mb, though it did deepen it on todays runs a bit compared to yesterday.
  11. Mcconnor8
    Live Weather Top Twenty - Highs and Lows - Netweather.tv WWW.NETWEATHER.TV Per here it is.
  12. Mcconnor8
    Real high winds don't start for the NE until 9PM per the latest UKV run
  13. Mcconnor8
    UKV 09z run looks to be deeper than the 06z with higher gusts. The ICON 09z run is also a couple of mb deeper than the 06z run, it has the storm at 950mb strength by 5PM
  14. Mcconnor8
    There are a few insane ones, P04 and P22 in particular.
  15. Mcconnor8
    Yes this will almost certainly be named as well I think, GFS has very high wind gusts across the whole country pretty much again with highest winds focused over Ireland, and Northern England followed by Scotland later into the night. Worryingly the UKMO 12z run had even higher wind gusts across these regions.
  16. Mcconnor8
    It's slightly further North but much deeper on the 18z so higher wind speeds, is an outlier in that sense as no other models have it below 940mb but it is a possibility.
  17. Mcconnor8
    GFS 18z deepens it to 938mb North of Scotland, thankfully not as close to the UK but still pretty crazy, is that a sting jet over Ireland as well?
  18. Mcconnor8
    UKMO 12z trends it slightly further North and deeper than the 0z run, max wind gusts for each run below. Looks worse for North England, Scotland and Northern Ireland.
  19. Mcconnor8
    Yes North England and Scotland look to bear the brunt of this one, needs watching as GFS 06z has it arriving during rush hour traffic in the evening whereas ICON is more of an overnight event. However UKMO has lower wind speeds but further South than the other models.
  20. Mcconnor8
    Sunday storm now named as Isha with Amber warnings out for the South East, Western England and Scotland. UKMO & ICON both have it moving in slightly later than GFS and deeper.
  21. Mcconnor8
    Yes Arpege deepens the low more to nearly 940mb bringing it further North. UKMO looks roughly inline with GFS to me, if not worse to be honest! Going to be Storm Isha almost certainly.
  22. Mcconnor8
    Storm for Sunday night looks even worse on the 12z! Hope it doesn't verify like this as would be a bad one.
  23. Mcconnor8
    GFS 18z looks very rough during the day and overnight into Monday. And Tuesday night doesn't get any better.
  24. Mcconnor8
    Well Sunday looks like a fun day on the GFS 06z!
  25. Mcconnor8
    Were you outside Monday last week lol? We got pasted for a couple of hours. 18z Arpege ensemble gives a much improved snow chance on the 06z. Imagine if this perturbation came off
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