Rob 79812010
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Everything posted by Rob 79812010
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For me, this was always looking like a 1 week cold spell. It's actually already been pretty cold the last week though nothing to write home about. Good Jan really with promise for Feb for coldies
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Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion
Rob 79812010 replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Yeah, it's rare that it sticks around. -
Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion
Rob 79812010 replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
In fairness, it has always looked more likely. Anyway, you could be in a good place for snow earlier in week!! -
Wonder if this is why somenof ensembles are showing average or slightly below to 27th!!! Whatever it is, hope it doesnt affect return of cold in Feb.
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Don't worry, we'll be jumping for joy later tonight!!!
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Ah, fair enough!
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I'm still a bit of a novice but what am I missing here. The gfs chart looks amazing to me. Is it the lack of snow??
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Everything seems pretty much as expected to me. It was always meant to get milder in the last week of Jan. Cold before, cold after and as many have said, snow events usually pop up at short notice. I get the usual ups and downs of the charts but not much changed to me. I'm enjoying all of this! Makes a change from a lot of jans
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Great Met O update. Good for cold well into Feb. So a very cold week, followed by a likely mild few days thought could be slightly mild and then back into cold!
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It was
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Interesting! Thanks so much for that
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What were those synoptics that were unusual. I ask because I remember a day in Jan 96 when manc had a crazy snowfall. I think it was an easterly?? The only other really heavy snowfalls in my lifetime were 79 and 2010 which I know weren't easterlys
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I know. Those south west ones are useless aren't they. I remember lots in the 80's. For Manc they never gave anything. Irish sea our friend. 79 perfect example
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Next week 3 to 4 below for our parts. Certainly a cold spell
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Thanks! So may not be so mild that week then??
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Meant the enembles
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Question for anyone please! Why are the GEFS 850 temps consistently showing average temps or below from 23rd to 28th?? I always think these are fairly reliable but seems to be going against what's being said about that week. Is it still in the balance and that the final week may not actually bea mild week? If high pressure drops south doesn't that then allow the mold south westerlies or are there other things in the mix?? Apologies if this has been explained already. Lot of stuff on here!
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There's quite a few indications that Feb could be cold as well
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I ask because manc got 3 inches that day. Usually we get from north westerly flows
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Does this happen when there's a slight switch to North westerly??
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I've got to hold my hands up here. Was critical of the ensembles graphs last night and said beeb would get it right. They're actually starting to fall in line now with the models
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Just looked at beeb for manc for next week. Extending the cold, colder next week, 3 days of snow and not such a warm up!!!!!!
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Never sure whether it was a polar depression or not. Think it was an Irish sea event that spread south
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Does anyone know why gefs ensemble 850 graphs keeping weather at average from 23rd to 28th? Isn't that against everything we're seeing??
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You mean temp graphs?? Can't see how they could be right though
