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Harry

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Everything posted by Harry

  1. Harry
    New cell erupted near Cambs
  2. Harry
    Lol....distinctly not stormy here but some nick mackerel skies encroaching from the south - photo orientations N, SW then SE
  3. Harry
    Beeb are quite sure about a fresh line of storms running across London/Kent/Essex/EA overnight, which is worth keeping in mind. Would also note the cloud is thinning here again, temperature is responding as is the humidity. Whether that proves to be good or bad who knows
  4. Harry
    I hope you're right
  5. Harry
    Yay!! I'm inside the warning zone now - as (even more so) are you @Surrey Sferics now showing broadly along the M4 corridor area, the leading edge of the proper plume I would guess
  6. Harry
    Don't forget the fan setting to get the juice spinning
  7. Harry
    I'm reserving judgement to be honest - the Beeb graphics do show some precip across London/Home Counties later on under high CAPE (plus the sun is staying out pretty much here with the breeze picking up) - some of the Ac blanket moving in is thin with some tentative verticality to it. There's some albeit small chance
  8. Harry
    Beeb forecast of where the storms will occur is interesting, bit further south and east than I was expecting
  9. Harry
    Inclined to agree with TEITS, my neck of the woods in the far SE has continually shown to miss any storm action today. Although I've never held the Euro4 as a bastion of accurate predictions. Nor was I impressed when the only place that saw a proper storm the night before last was Kent (not favoured by the models then either). Its sunny here, humidity is up and temperatures already in the low 20s, could easily see 29C - 30C today...NMM modelling some pretty high MUCAPE here too (well over 1000 - 1500 with LIs -6 to 8). One thing is certain, it could be an interesting and unpredictable 24 hrs
  10. Harry
    Fresh strikes appearing near the Channel Islands
  11. Harry
    Strike in Devon
  12. Harry
    In my weeks away has Mr Grimsley formally tendered his resignation????
  13. Harry
    I see what you mean insofar as it does have a nice curved bean like appearance. However you'd usually (but admittedly not always) expect any hook feature to be on the SE most tip where as the location of the curve makes it look more mini-bow echo. Plus I suspect it would be elevated rather than surface based.
  14. Harry
    Latest rainfall projections from MetO look better for your area in the next 4-5 hours! Dont give up hope son...I haven't and I'm considerably down the pecking order compared to you
  15. Harry
    If most of the models I've seen are correct, then yes it should indeed! Alas, the sky here remains as clear as the void between Joey Essex's ears
  16. Harry
    Agreed Lauren, it's really quite nuts. However, all of the models I have seen (in spite of the the NetW/Estofex/Ukcw storms forecasts) are keeping our neck of the woods dry. Furthermore, judging by the look of the sky (certainly compared with this morning) it's looking more and more stable, leading me to conclude it will in fact be a dry but oppressive night. Funnily enough as I type (on a train) I think I might have glimpsed some Ac or the like way off to the south...certainly at the moment overhead however there's no sign of any of the storm precursors Id hope to see.
  17. Harry
    When I was a lad, I never wore long sleeve shirts and trousers in the height of summer, nor travelled on an AC-less packed out cattle wagon of a train for 90 mins a day, so it's difficult to compare...with this in mind, I do agree that it does feel summers are more humid than those of yester-year - paradoxically however storms are certainly less frequent than those good years in the 90s/early 00s.
  18. Harry
    But it's only red.....!!!!! Wow!
  19. Harry
    Aside from the storms, it is still 29C and almost dark!!!! Look at Blitzortung and you'll see that the storms across London/Hampshire at the moment follow a line all the way to Portugal (including cells across NW France and Biscay).
  20. Harry
    Unless you're seeing lightning illuminations Summer Sun, that webcam is facing NE whereas all of the action is S and W of Tower Bridge
  21. Harry
    @Surrey - boy did we get this wrong!!! lol. On the train home from London and saw a gorgeous IC bolt stretch across the SSW skyline (possibly the sferic showing near the M25 Surrey way). Seen another flash too from further west. Gobsmacked by the heat and in particular the humidity - it feels much more humid than I was expecting, possibly why storms are more readily breaking out compared to the very isolated storms the MetO for example was predicting. Happy days
  22. Harry
    Along similar lines to you Surrey. I've not spiked with any form of anticipation with this potential today.
  23. Harry
    It's from the regional forecast for London and South East England on the MetOffice website, for Wednesday.
  24. Harry
    You don't read this much in the UK... "Any mist soon clearing, then mainly dry with bright or sunny spells. Later scattered thunderstorms may spread northwards, but bringing little rain. Becoming hot across eastern areas. Maximum Temperature 31°C"
  25. Harry
    Hooooorayyy! Some interesting weather at long last after what seems an eternity of non-convective dryness. Bit further out and while not convective....I think GFS has been sniffing something not quite legal.....thankfully that (presumed) hurricane looks nothing like that as it is modelled to barrel towards our shores, but its pokey enough!
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