Harry

Not seeing much in the way of convective potential, unless something hiding aloft in the mid levels.

Yup, but as its FI I'm not even going to bother to look much at it let alone get 'ready' for it in anyway. On the 18z it grazes the south (again!) while on the 00z it doesn't exist for us. We need a pretty wholesale change in fortunes really...the blessing is we still have not any real heat this summer, but if it's reserving itself for July/August then all the better in my eyes

A thunderstorm raging over Lincs despite it being outside of the primary risk zone....shock horror! Going to be one of those years peeps

I think the zone of potential is slipping past me now which is a shame. I am expecting the area of downpours near me to pick up in activity as it slides by (doesn't it always!). Still remarkably humid and still some cells to the west of London, but based on their trajectory think will miss me (still trying to test my camcorder!).

Just got home as the heavens have opened - saw two brilliantly bright lightning flashes on the M11/M25 (counts as a thunder day lol). Thunder even travelling along the M25 with the window down was an awesome peel Skies look less thundery here although immensely humid and raining moderately heavy now. (We were travelling south ahead of the thundery rain clump by the way for those not from this neck of the woods)

I've landed in Stansted, have been sweeping the forum and the radar. Humid here but very dense thick cloud. Hope it's going to shift soon

Quite looking forward to tomorrow - I have to say in some ways days like tomorrow tend to be better than plumes, insofar as expectation is lower (as is disappointment) but often activity (potential) is much more widespread. I am keeping my fingers crossed that I am landed and home safely before anything comes along. I should be home around 4:30ish if all goes to plan. Based on the charts above my gut feeling tells me chances are better the further south and east you are, chiefly because cells or any linear features gather more pace and oomph as they travel over land, but also the drier slots to clear warm sector meh! should be further South. Could be an interesting day

Oh well that's not good! I'm supposed to be landing at Stansted at 3pm!! Would be nice to have something rumbling away during the evening though As for Lindos storms, not going to happen - think Lauren is bang on the money. Some cloud and marginal signs of mid-level instability but nothing firing until it reaches Turkey

I'm in Lindos Much of the Aegean under estofex lvl 1 today, though not Rhodes which is surprisingly under 15% lightning risk (today is wedding day so just as well really - not mine I hasten to add)

Oh well that's rubbish My weather app has been saying thunder for about a 5-7 days now, Google weather, BBC and AccuWeather all saying it too. Fingers crossed this occasion is an exception to the rule

Absolutely, saw a line of stunning thunderheads from the plane and they grew larger and larger (I took a pic but others didn't come out so well). Saw them the following few days but the last few days have been crystal clear.Getting quite excited at the possibility of some thundery action here Friday - hope it all holds together

Here in sunny and tiresomely hot Greece (Rhodes) the weather app and other forecasting outlets have been indicating thunderstorms for Friday here keeping my fingers crossed and I have my video camera with me! First few days I saw some mega Cbs in the distance over Turkey - didn't think I'd see anything remotely thundery. Here's hoping for some action

We've had two Spanish plumes this year and regrettably have been (for the most part) a bit of a let down. I am only 28 so the limit of my storm archive only goes back as far as the early 90s but this year so far has not been unusual. Firstly, the big storms I recall from my youth were usually in July/August (not June) although that said living in Kent meant I perhaps witnessed more than most (on average). Certainly earlier in the year (May/June) I would see watch lightning off to my East, but the real (then) terrifying stuff often occurred in July and in particular August. Both plumes so far this year while harbouring potential were both southern affairs. Furthermore, the second plume (yesterday) was quite frontal in nature, whereas the first plume (the previous Friday) only grazed Kent/London/Essex/EA - yes humid air covered a wider area but the explosive highly unstable stuff only grazed us. I think the mistake that was made was these were not 'ideal' setups and accordingly we were disappointed when they didn't deliver goods. Plumes are highly unpredictable and often bring fantastic storms but it is not a given. The CAPE charts resembling a gay pride flag is not enough to bring us storms and many more things must come into play. Last year (as my signature confirms) was awful storm wise up until early/mid July. Thereafter it was awesome. If my thunder day tally is 1 by the end of July I'll be concerned. As of yet we are only just in early summer so bags of time to go yet. Keep the faith people - my gut feeling is this year will be like 2007-2012 (absolutely awful) which means it will probably be awesome Roll on the first proper plume of the year

Can't believe there's been so little action...that said have been off the boil the past few days as I'm not in the country. Gorgeous cell that down near the S Coast - here's hoping it'll go nuts for many people this evening The best plumes the past few years have certainly been in July and through the 90s generally in August, so here's hoping for a good year. Signing out for the night - good luck all! Well done that man - stunning pics

I am watching with interest from afar and saddened by the doom-mongering. If the sun is out and the temperatures are rising that is a very positive step - most plumes are upset by lots of cloud and crud - humid airmass + strong heating, with some atmospheric activity in the form of troughs fronts and CZs its all there (admittedly I've not chart surfed but it sounds to be the case). I will be stuck under 30C clear skies watching (as I did yesterday) massive daytime thunderstorms in the distance over Turkey and watching (when I have wifi) my home country lighting up like a Christmas tree. No doom-mongering yet - it's only just past 8am with a day of potential ahead!!!

If last Friday was not a good enough lesson for people - plumes mean carnage and complete unpredictability! Storms fired in places which no model accurately depicted and where storms had been shown to fire, they didnt. Once the humid air is in place, sit and wait. A key thing to be mindful of is storms can fire in 15-20 minutes, going from Cu puff to fully electrified and torrential storm. Look for these signs (taken during last Friday's plume) and keep your fingers crossed

I think its a good idea...would suggest A, B, C, D so we have a chronology and tally of plumes in any given year...so if this year we have El Woking we know its been an awesome year

I'm going to Lindos for a wedding...really need a holiday!! Over the past couple of weeks it has been stormy in that part of the world (not a complete wash out) There have been fairly consistent signs (which is surprising given how far out it is) of a plume the week I get back...I certainly don't expect the charts to show that in a few days time, but it helps quell the disappointment of not being her Thursday night/Friday. Still looking good for action across a wide portion of C/S England Thursday night and through Friday - again though a very fleeting affair.

Rhodes - over the past couple of weeks, my weather app has been telling me that they have been experiencing some thunderstorms. Something tells me I won't be enjoying anything storm related when I am there (not sure whether I'm happy with that or not to be honest!)

Same for me but I leave Thursday AM...I'll probably be flying over fields of AcCas and rampaging MCSs over France which are en route to my area. As long as its the second and final plume of 2015 I'm happy for everyone...honestly

SE/London area? Not likely...!

Lack back at the radar of last Friday...numerous storms fired over the Channel and even colder North Sea, so certainly not a problem.

Looks awfully frontal to me...yuck! That said frontal systems can and have delivered in the past...tends to be far less of the classic storms and more thundery rain...thundery rain which in recent years has sent masses of sparks eastwards over Benelux leaving us under torrential drizzle. Still way too far out at this stage though to pin down the specifics...potential is always welcome in its own right

I'd be ramping up with you all but unfortunately will be abroad later this week that's not to say I don't wish you all the best Hoping for some nice plumes later June and then perpetually thereafter...we've been under sodding northwesterlies now for so many weeks it's only fair that translates into weeks of southerlies or southeasterlies

So jealous...can sit here watching from afar Enjoy! If you've got a camera try and take some pics