MP-R
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raz.org.rain you mean for the springlike lockdown part or the storminess? For a variety, I’d probably go for a 2020 too.
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sorepaw1 seriously? When was that? The lowest max I got was 16°C on the 31st!
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Assuming winter has behaved, I like mixed marches too. Cold ones are depressing but warm dry ones aren’t normally good news for summer. A blend of 04 and 05 would suit. Otherwise, a March 22 or 03 would do just fine.
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dr weather Hit the magic 16°C earlier while the sun was out. Proper grim yet again since mid afternoon though. -
dr weather Yes Martyn Hicks’ sounds plausible in Bristol but I think that Clevedon one is questionable. Tomorrow however I think could easily reach those heights if not more as long as it’s not as wet as today.
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dr weather My car said the same, but reality was a 13.4°C max.
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Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
MP-R replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Weatherman_93 If it were accompanied by blue skies and sunshine, I think more of us would be enamoured by the idea. Having said that, I've never had temperatures that high AND cloud/rain in Feb, so I think it'll be either/or in reality. -
SunSean Talking my language! Sunshine is paramount. I think for any true weather enthusiast, February 2019 was interesting. Granted, I am in a part of the country that had a major snowfall early on, thunder during the brief Atlantic spell shortly after, then of course we all know how the rest of the month went!
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Thundery wintry showers and it's funny because I remember quite a bit from 2002 but it's almost all bad or unsettled weather - gales in Jan, Feb, Mar & Apr; a lot of rain in May, dreadful first half of July, thunderstorms in early August, washout rugby match in early September, gales and thunderstorms in late October, incessant rain in November, then early snow in December.
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Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
MP-R replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Nice to see these synoptics but can't help but feel like yet another garden path is being laid, or something like this will happen: -
reef This is reality of how this country is becoming. We're now just getting all the same weather we've always had but for much longer periods of time, and proper cold spells have reduced in number. So it's luck of the draw where the good weather and the bad weather settle. Oh for a climate of seasonality...
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Back to square one today. Sigh…
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Catherine91 hardly any daffs here yet but I’d imagine after this balmy week, they’ll be out.
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Much chillier last night, almost an air frost but not quite. Lovely day today too. As always, a shame good things never last.
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TheOgre I find this quirk is a bit like the warm September / naff winter link. Works a lot of the time, but too many contra examples. Likewise, not all warm Marches lead to poor summers… 2022, 2014 and 2003 come to mind. Edit: just to add, you rarely get a good March and a good May.
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raz.org.rain At 2100m
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Buzz At least by then you can get decent convective weather out of it. More likely to get thunderstorms than snow from cold synoptics by April/May
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In Absence of True Seasons The United Mingdom. The joys of living in southern Mingland. Here in Somerwet, it's actually not been bad at all today, but next week is already going downhill before it's even begun...
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*Stormforce~beka* Just another week of this and it'll be dry enough to go for a country walk somewhere...
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In Absence of True Seasons oh yes I’m well aware. There could be a switch at anytime, I just don’t have high hopes for one in the near future. Knowing our luck it’ll turn cold just as it should be turning milder.
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The surprise at seeing sun, when it should be the default, speaks volumes!
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Don Don’t worry, the Atlantic breaks through shortly after
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In Absence of True Seasons It's always just for a bit of fun. The way this year is going though, I have more faith in that March chart than all the others...
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Summer8906 Doing my daily CFS browse, I trawled through March and, while looking for high pressure, found this Some better news come April though: Plumehub in May: Then June doing what June does best: I can feel my mood lifting just looking at charts like this!
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Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
MP-R replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Don It’s often the responsible setup for some of our worst summer months, sending lows straight through the UK. Instead we’ve had a few winter versions which are even more depressing.
