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Long haul to mild

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Everything posted by Long haul to mild

  1. Long haul to mild
    It's all going to end up with HP over the UK regardless; it seems to be more a question of how quickly it gets here, with UKMO being the one to hold onto the cold the longest. Middle grounds are often the end product so ECM evolution looks most likely at present. Wouldn't rule out some more twists and turns yet though!
  2. Long haul to mild
    HP over the UK does seem to be the logical conclusion and I'm fairly sure the UKMO would end up there too. Just can't see such a quick return to the Euro slug High and mid teen temps that the GFS is trying to foist on us tonight, it looks all wrong. Then again the GFS does love pressing "reset to default" whenever it gets a chance! Mid level block eventually migrating to Scandinavia looks a more likely outcome; even GFS was showing this on the 6Z earlier.
  3. Long haul to mild
    P5 has a nice look to it, bit of a NE'ly going on there
  4. Long haul to mild
    I wont deny it's a bit disappointing to where we were a couple of days ago, but there is a cold spell of some sort coming up and I would much rather have this pattern; Than this horror show, just over three weeks ago: Lot more promise in the pattern now, and some good signs being touted from the longer range experts too. It's never easy getting cold here, we need to keep being patient.
  5. Long haul to mild
    Model thread has some very confident "it's all over" proclamations this morning which I suspect are just borne out of frustration (or even schadenfreude in some cases). While the trend isn't brilliant, there's huge uncertainty for next week and I suspect there may well be some significant changes to come. I would like to see a snowy spell but on the other hand it messes up my commute to work something chronic so I'll see the upside of either outcome!
  6. Long haul to mild
    Don't go to the model thread folks, it's ugly stuff and the razorblades are out. Apparently the cold spell is not going to happen because the always 100% spot on 18z GFS pub run says it isn't.
  7. Long haul to mild
    Yes, was on the A11 heading to Wymondham Not holding out much hope for snow round here now, although still a chance of a few flakes tomorrow evening when the coldest air will be with us.
  8. Long haul to mild
    Suffolk Ski centre is in Ipswich, just a few miles from me. Hope that snow symbol has some truth in it, but I won't be holding my breath!Banter between Norfolk and Suffolk? Never! Coincidentally, was up in Norfolk today and saw Mulbarton on a road sign!
  9. Long haul to mild
    If the best we can get out of the models is another PM shot that is only good if you are up a mountain in Scotland, then I'll pass thanks. If we are not going to see an Easterly with proper snow events then I'd rather have a Bartlett so I can get out and enjoy some pleasant sunshine! Late Feb and March sometimes can deliver but I won't be holding my breath that's for sure. Last week turned out to be such a letdown with all potential snow events becoming a "wintry mix" when it came down to it.
  10. Long haul to mild
    Just had a snow shower here that has left a slight dusting. Nice to see but the radar looks a bit bare now so not sure we will get much else.
  11. Long haul to mild
    Here's at great chart from the GEFS tonight at T360! We have got to have something to lift spirits even if it is la la land on a single ensemble member!
  12. Long haul to mild
    Believe me you won't find me arguing about how awful the cold spells have been IMBY but it's been OK for some people and it isn't over yet, despite an uninteresting model prognosis. Therefore any posters stating that the winter was over in December can hardly claim much credit. Anyway, back on topic, I have succeeded in finding a good chart. Step forward, from the GEFS at T360, member 13! Wow, that was hard work digging that one out.........
  13. Long haul to mild
    Not the first; some people on here have been saying winter's over since December!! Admittedly the models seem to have only boring anticyclonic gloom or zonal dross on offer tonight but it's still only the 3rd Feb, and considering there's been some memorable snowfalls in late Feb and March in the past, I think it's too early to be writing the epitaph yet.
  14. Long haul to mild
    So the potential "disruptive" snow from warnings earlier this week has gone to be replaced by rain and sleet showers. Oh and a cold Easterly on Friday, by which time there will be no showers left Just about sums up this cold spell; it's been a complete waste of time here re snow although I appreciate that others have been luckier.
  15. Long haul to mild
    I get the feeling that posters in this thread are going to have to increasingly resort to charts from deepest FI, because every chart in the usual reliable to semi reliable timeframe will look the same! So here's one from T360 which shows a small low pressure area in the North Sea. As far as I can see it is the only time where low pressure gets to influence our weather in the slightest, and even then it's dull. The tumbleweed blows.........................
  16. Long haul to mild
    It is very annoying, isn't it? Shower after shower of rain and sleet on Sunday but now it's cold enough for snow, it's all going elsewhere!
  17. Long haul to mild
    Last night I went to sleep expecting absolutely nothing in the way of snow. So when I opened the curtains this morning, what did I find? No snow at all of course, what else? Looks like I can cross North-Easterlies off my list too. So basically if it isn't a direct Easterly there's nothing for me here. Great to see others have got something though: enjoy!
  18. Long haul to mild
    Maybe there will be a nice surprise come morning but I won't be holding my breath!
  19. Long haul to mild
    Those showers over Norfolk appear to be of sleet, so I can 100% confirm that they will come down Ipswich way haha
  20. Long haul to mild
    Not looking great at the moment. Maybe we will catch one or two showers overnight possibly.
  21. Long haul to mild
    Well in the battle of the short range models, Euro 4 has absolutely trounced the NMM, which was way too far East with its snow predictions. Happy for all the folks who are seeing snow tonight, but wondering what on earth it will take to ever get anything here that isn't slushy tripe.
  22. Long haul to mild
    Just as bad up here in East Suffolk, another colossal disappointment. Can absolutely guarantee that when it all turns to sleet and rain tomorrow/Weds we will get plenty of showers hitting us.......
  23. Long haul to mild
    Turning into a Midlands event, so much for North Easterlies helping us out in EA!
  24. Long haul to mild
    The way the showers are lining up at present makes me think the Euro4 predictions are more likely to be correct; I think the NMM is too far East with its forecast. Nothing in the Eastern half of EA showing up at all currently,.
  25. Long haul to mild
    After seeing the snow potential washed away on Saturday night by heavy rain, I'm becoming sceptical of everything now! Hope you're right though......
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