Bobd29

That’s quite a statement Fred....any of the next 3 winters has a 1 in 3 chance of being truly epic with high confidence that at least one will be. This despite any effects of GW. will you be doing a full winter forecast this year Fred?

Hi Fred I share your general thoughts on the effects of solar minima but I wonder if there will be a gradual effect on our winters over a few years or whether the effect will be more dramatic in that we will experience a severe winter out of context of previous winters either this winter or the next couple? I assume as we enter a period of very low minima you anticipate that cold/cooler winters will become the norm for a protracted period?

17.8 and 33mm please

Lot of cloud around Trowbridge, not the wall to wall sunshine I was hoping for. Temps holding up at 23.4 but sun is intermittent.

Stopped in Trowbridge now but really intense rain for 20 mins, no thunder though. Smells very fresh out now and sun reappearing to the south and west.

17.4 and 55mm for me please

Pouring with rain, thunder and lightning all around. Had it, enjoyed it want my sun back now please!

Raining in Trowbridge, continuous thunder, couple of flashes.....storms a coming.

Still a perfectly boring sheet of white cloud here in Wiltshire, perhaps you coast huggers could send a little of your blue sky up our way.....please.

Who stole my sun? I want it back, return it by midday and we will say no more about it!

Hi 16.6C and 39mm please

12.0 and 83mm please

Hi, please change my temp prediction up to 8.6, thanks.

Put an umbrella over him, your challenge is to keep him alive until the next beast

8.0C for me and 97mm please

Just started to come down moderately with large flakes in Trowbridge. A few hours of this would be nice!

Hi note from fergie an hour ago, plenty of interest Thursday into Friday but lots of complexity: an Fergusson @fergieweather · 1h W COUNTRY 2/2 Later Thurs into Thurs night/Fri, low pressure from S continues to look threatening in models. Risk of more widespread snow spreading N; moderate-heavy in places, perhaps locally blizzards. Added risk of freezing rain following for some. Detail v complex/uncertain.

Really hoping we get worthwhile snow before Friday. After that who knows? My feeling is that the models are underplaying the strength of the block and intensity of the cold air. I believe the low will struggle against the block and as it struggles it’s progress will slow and the warm sector will diminish. If it then moves east as it’s progress north is blocked then it will slow more as the block gets reinforced and will eventually stall perhaps around Denmark area. From here the low will retrogress along the Channeland Southern Counties, but with no cold centre all will fall As snow. Not a dissimilar scenario to 62/63, if my memory is correct. Anyone care to agree or disagree? Be interested to here views before the event, assuming of course that the low even makes it to the Channel. As I type clouds are now rolling across the Trowbridge snowshield, is it possible that rare flakes will actually touch down here today? Good luck all.

Jethro, one word....brilliant. I am possibly just a bit older but certainly of the same persuasion as you. I try very hard to enthuse my grandkids with my childish love of snow, much to the amazement of their parents...long may it continue.

Hi, a question for the more knowledgeable. I understand why more eastern counties would be favoured for snow of course but with very cold air arriving next week would this not become quite unstable travelling over the North Sea creating troughs that could easily reach the West Country? Indeed could these be quite numerous and intensive as time goes by? Perhaps I am looking at a straw to clutch!

Hi please revise my earlier guess down to 3.2, précis remains the same, thanks.

Too true Eliy, I remember it well and fondly. What a winter that really was! With just a bit of luck this could for a week or two rival that especially if we get a real snowmaking trough come up from France into our frigid air later next week. Hard to imagine as I look out onto clear blue sky, pleasant sunshine and even harder to persuade other folk. Bet they will wish they had listened by this time next week.

I seldom post but always read, have tracked MAD thread all winter and nothing comes close to what is about to unfold next week. Thought I would never see another 1962/63 but this could even rival that epic if the ECM low next Tuesday materialises, and I would not rule out further Chanel lows after. Seriously folks ENJOY BUT BE PREPARED, this is a very unusual experience so ensure others are safe after the weekend if it is still in play.

3.8C and 76mm please

Think you are absolutely right Jethro. I rarely post, confess I do not have the technical knowledge of others and feel not worthy of mentioning anything if it lacks the incisiveness of say Tamara, Steve M, GP, SINGULARITY ETC (certainly not having a go at them, I enjoy their reads). So I remain a reader who enjoys the weather rather than a contributor. I certainly enjoy the Regionals more, and the SW is one of the more friendly but even here I seldom comment. Still look at netweather several times a day though.