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lottiekent

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    SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on

    in SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion

    Posted · Edited by lottiekent
    Grammar

    1 hour ago, snowblind said:

    Just to keep a bit of interest going the GEM pivots Wednesday's low up across Kent.

    image.thumb.png.dbf571945faf6ecbe4fbf74de38c52e1.png

    And ECM moves if further north running along southern coastal counties.

    image.thumb.png.384e572ce51850ac9abddc7b6ed65230.png

    I will take any crumb of hope so thank you 😊

    This morning has started sunny and colder, currently coldest it’s been since midnight at -0.3c and a DP of -2.7c.

    Good luck today for any snow showers clipping those of you in Norfolk and Suffolk!

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    SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on

    in SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion

    Posted

    1 hour ago, Eagle Eye said:

    We're up to a 40% snow potential in some places now. Upgrade on both the 00Z and 06Z for the SE, still unlikely north of the Kent areas in our region though but there's also the north sea showers to contend with.

    image.thumb.png.ec526c8ec3e8438f1aff32943f351692.png

    I’ll take a 30% chance. Last Monday’s snow was lovely to see falling but I’d like to see a covering.

    Early February 2021 was last laying snowfall here, we had falling snow periodically from 7th - 11th February and snow on the ground until 14th. Not bad for far SE (though 2010 was better)

    • Like 1

    SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on

    in SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion

    Posted · Edited by lottiekent

    Also no frost here with the strong breeze - currently 0.7c but feeling much colder.

    I see there’s regional squabbling again in the model thread. Some saying it’s great at day 9 for snowmageddon (when will they learn) when M4 south is under rain. How they think it’s going to end that way I don’t know, let alone being so confident they start up with the “well it’s great for us” party. 
    Edit: I note that when someone more southerly mentions it looks great for the north and they just hope it improves for south they still get shouted at!

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    SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on

    in SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion

    Posted

    4 minutes ago, Neilsouth said:

    Got this horrible feeling we are going to get stuck between two convergence zones 😕

     

    Clipboard02.jpg

    Just caught the edge of one of the yellow blobs going down the channel and it was heavy for a couple of minutes. At the moment all the good stuff is off the coast in this area.

    What did fall laid readily though so for those of you who do get the convergence zones later it should be all good.

     

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    SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on

    in SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion

    Posted

    Made a conscious effort not to look at the radar for a bit rather than looking frame to frame and this happened!

    IMG_9113.thumb.jpeg.34d6cd0250b691a2077e09b69920df2b.jpeg
     

    IMG_9114.thumb.jpeg.caaae5d4a3c4ea71bf13db3240b319e4.jpeg

     

    Using the link @Tom Quintavalle added earlier is good as shows what’s coming out of the continent:

    br-logo-square.png

    favicon.png Buienradar.nl - Buienradar.nl - Weer - Actuele neerslag, weerbericht, weersverwachting, sneeuwradar en satellietbeelden

    WWW.BUIENRADAR.NL
    Actuele buienradar en actueel weer voor Nederland en Europa, actuele satellietbeelden, actuele temperaturen, neerslag, en veel meer!

     

    • Like 4

    SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on

    in SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion

    Posted

    Just now, throwoff said:

    Look on the bright side, the longer we go without proper snow, as painful as that is, the better the averages turn in our favour for a white out!

    I agree, some of us SE’ies are well overdue a proper blizzard. While some in Kent/SE overall did very well last couple of winter’s, there was nothing here.
    I know today won’t be like that but, I’m hoping for a 1997(?) or 2010 style fall at some stage this winter. There was also a very good one early 80’s I can just about remember, maybe 1982. Some of that please weather gods ❄️

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    SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on

    in SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion

    Posted · Edited by lottiekent

    10 minutes ago, Darkcloud said:

    Where's the best place to see DP's for a location please?

    This is a good one for current dew points. I like that you can scan back over the last few hours too to see how the cold air is moving about:

    6554b6be8c0d829a8bf63ae0c82cf121_link.pn

    WWW.METEOCIEL.FR
    Points de rosée en temps réel des stations de France et des pays limitrophes.

    Edit: you can see the dark blues marching towards us from the east!

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    SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on

    in SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion

    Posted

    1 hour ago, Tom Quintavalle said:

    A very good Evening, all.

    Much thanks to Snow Queen one, Methuselah, Froze were the Days, pinball wizard, and Kentspur, for your kind messages above.

    Yes, I'm determined to remain positive and treatment for Prostate Cancer, has come on leaps and bounds, in the last few Years.

    I've had a pep talk from my eldest Sister, who used to be a Secretary in the Radiology at the Sloane Hospital, in Beckenham and confirmed that a diagnosis of P.C. is not so much "doom and gloom", as it was a few Years ago.

    As I had a near fatal Haemorrhagic Stroke in Sept. 2015, removal of my Prostate Gland will not be the likely route to recovery. 

    I'm much more likely to have an intensive course of Radiotherapy, every Day for 6 to 8 Weeks, beginning later on in January.

    That's the reason for once in my Life, I don't want to see too much Snow. Sidcup is quite a bit colder than where my Wife and myself live. 

    Speaking of the Weather, it looks as if there will be a bit of a "false Dawn", regarding the beginning of the predicted Cold Spell.

    I've taken the statement below, from the Met Office Website: 

    Steven Keates is a Met Office Deputy Chief Forecaster. He said: “The colder conditions across the UK are likely to be established for some time and will be a key theme of next week’s weather. However, the beginning of next week is likely to see the lowest temperatures of this colder spell, and by the end of next week we should start to see a gradual rise in values, at least for a time.”

    To my untrained eye, it does look as if any noticeable Cold is likely to come from the North, rather than the East.

    And we know from experience for the majority of our Region, that's not a great direction for Snow, courtesy of the dreaded "Wishbone Effect" - image.thumb.png.3cc3f415844891c96660988d3ba99f34.png, with the majority of any possible Sleet/Snow Showers, eventually pecking away at North facing Coastal areas,

    If some very cold air could become entrenched our Region's best chance of any appreciable Snow, may come courtesy of a Channel type Low Pressure system riding up against the embedded cold, as it approaches from the South West in time.

    I'll end this post with a Youtube clip of the extended Met Office Forecast, courtesy of Alex Deakin: 

    Oh dear, there seems to be a lot of toys being thrown out of prams and recriminations, on the Mad Thread after the 12z Model runs. Mmm, little sign of High Pressure retrogressing to Greenland but more a case of some Members retrogressing to their childhoods!! 

    At the moment the Form Horse appears to be an area of High Pressure located close to the North of the U.K., with not much of a signal for anything Wintry, falling from the Sky. There doesn't seem much appetite for a "Beast from the East" type scenario, currently.

    Looks like a case of "Faux Cold" for a while, with some Frost and Fog about.

    But at least it will give our Region a chance to dry out, after such a wet start to 2024, courtesy of those "Pests from the West".

    Regards,

    Tom Q. 👍  

    As your sister has said, things are a lot more positive regarding this type of cancer. The ability to catch it early and get treatment started is so much better. Good luck for when the treatment gets going.

     

    And good luck to those of us hoping for a few snow flakes on Monday. It’d be nice if we get a taster to then be delivered the main course the following week ❄️

    • Like 2

    SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on

    in SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion

    Posted

    33 minutes ago, This Moody Sky said:

    I've not seen that. It looks too trashy to be remotely enjoyable. Have you seen Greenland? A relatively well praised (if not equally silly) disaster movie, from Butler. 

    Greenland is silly but enjoyable, apparently there’s going to be a second one.
    I love a good weather and/or disaster film; GeoStorm is verging on the almost too silly but was ok enough.

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