Well, the SSW is happening as we speak. I think it will take time to see any proper cold synoptics developing, more likely towards March and sadly then the sun will be our enemy. But I love a cold wintry March so I am ok with that. :-)
Nice to wake up to a light covering of snow and then a couple of snow showers that came from the west this morning. Melting fast now though in the strengthening sun.
The final frame is amazing! 6pm will be the best time for a snow streamer like this. http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/expertcharts?LANG=en&MENU=0000000000&CONT=ukuk&MODELL=euro4&MODELLTYP=1&BASE=-&VAR=prty&HH=48&ZOOM=0&ARCHIV=0&RES=0&WMO=&PERIOD=
All I want is for snow to settle and last on the ground till the next morning.
Rather wintry Sunday midday! http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/expertcharts?LANG=en&MENU=0000000000&CONT=ukuk&MODELL=euro4&MODELLTYP=1&BASE=-&VAR=prty&HH=48&ZOOM=0&ARCHIV=0&RES=0&WMO=&PERIOD=
The euro 4 takes tomorrow night's low on a more southerly track than earlier and gives a lot of snow to Cumbria, northeast England and the borders.
http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/expertcharts?LANG=en&MENU=0000000000&CONT=ukuk&MODELL=euro4&MODELLTYP=1&BASE=-&VAR=prty&HH=36&ZOOM=0&ARCHIV=0&RES=0&WMO=&PERIOD=
I think the problem was that the trough broke up with one chunk affecting the northeast and another one Wales and the west midlands. Sunday should be more straight forward with showers.
The updated ICON has less showery activity for Sunday despite the pressure pattern and wind direction looking the same as the earlier run. Not something to worry much about at this stage as the ICON is not a precipitation model.
If the wind direction stays as it looks now we should be fine across the region. A few days ago the models were showing the wind to turn west/southwest which would have been a no no for the south of the region but thankfully that is postponed till Monday now.