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Gavin P

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  1. Gavin P
    Here's my new historic video for Bank Holiday Monday: From Heat To Snow - May Day Weekend 1997: http://gavsweathervi...historical.html
  2. Gavin P
    Thanks Damian. Yes, synoptics were very unusual and unique.
  3. Gavin P
    Here we go then: Extreme Blizzard April 1981: http://gavsweathervids.com/historical.html
  4. Gavin P
    Thanks for the feedback Damian. I WILL do the late April snowstorm at some point, but it really depends what else is going on at the end of April. If theres interesting weather I might not have time and in that case my next one would be the May Day holiday weekend. But April 1981 WILL happen sooner or later.
  5. Gavin P
    It is a bit like an echo isn't it?
  6. Gavin P
    Video can now be found on my historic page: http://gavsweathervids.com/historical.html
  7. Gavin P
    No problem Gavin. Glad you liked. Did you enjoy the little tease about summer 1983 at the end.
  8. Gavin P
    Hey folks, Hope the mods don't mind if I create this thread to post all my historical videos in as and when I do them? It will save me keep posting individual threads each time I do a video and cluttering up the forum. Todays Bank Holiday Monday historical vid is The Snowy Easter Of 1983: http://gavsweathervids.com/
  9. Gavin P
    Please find video on my historical page now; http://www.gavsweathervids.com/historical.html
  10. Gavin P
    To mark the 60th anniversary of this amazing spring blizzard I've done a video looking at how it happened. Check it out; http://gavsweathervids.com/
  11. Gavin P
    My latest historical video
  12. Gavin P
    Blocking doesn't necessarily mean dry. Remember what happened in April 1998; http://www.wetterzentrale.de/archive/ra/1998/Rrea00119980409.gif As always it depends where the blocking is and how the jet stream responds to that blocking.
  13. Gavin P
    Hey NetWeather, thought you might want to have a look at my latest YouTube video looking at the Ice Storm in January 1940;
  14. Gavin P
    Easily the best summer of my life and I'm not just talking about the weather.
  15. Gavin P
    It could be the start of it. As already stated, the block isn't really there yet, but the PV is splitting, so you would hope a proper blocking high would fill the space.
  16. Gavin P
    Provisionally; 3.5. Cold and mild waxing and waning, but a overall a milder first half and a cooler later period.
  17. Gavin P
    A very wet spring and autumn with a dry and warm summer would be nice.
  18. Gavin P
    For some reason they are always dated 22nd of the month. As for reliability, I've not been looking at this model long enough to say, but I do prefer this model and the JAMSTEC model to CFS and ECM, personally.
  19. Gavin P
    Beijing has actually updated and is going for largely blocked weather, though I'm not sure the blocks are in quite the right position for cold? http://cmdp.ncc.cma....203GLZ500L1.GIF
  20. Gavin P
    I agree with Stewarts Thoughts though, because they are very much in line with my own for this winter, which I've always thought would be mildish for December before getting progressively colder through January and particularly into February, so if he is wrong, I will be too. When I got my own LRF together in November I did so knowing that the extended models weren't backing me up at all, but the broad thrust for my forecast (mild early, cold late) seemed like a no brainer for me, as all the signals I looked at appeared to point in that direction.
  21. Gavin P
    GP's thoughts are very encouraging for coldies. I can't understand though, why CFS and the extended ECM are steadfastly unable to pick up on these changes through January?
  22. Gavin P
    Stating the obvious I know, but the other point is that the further into the winter we go, the colder the potential cold zonality becomes, with more and more places at risk of snow rather than rain.
  23. Gavin P
    B'astardi's really ramping about a SSW on Twitter today - Reakons it will pave the way to major cold across the US through mid and late January.
  24. Gavin P
    Thanks GP. Lots to keep an eye on then? I must admit I don't really read JB's tweets (I do follow him) as most of them seem to be him ranting and raving about AGW. I'll check out what he's had to say.
  25. Gavin P
    Is this pretty much as you expected, or a few weeks earlier than you thought?
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