damianslaw

WYorksWeather I think what it more surprising is the fact a month 250 years ago has not been bettered since! I often wonder how warmth on such a scale could be produced then at a time when global temps were far colder than now.. probably a sustained SW/ S flow would do the trick I guess, months with synoptics akin to Dec 2015.

Dark Horse Last summer brought very early heat to Iberia, we tapped into it during June and September, but I think it contributed to the low pressure fuelled July and August, the increased temp contrast from south to north through atlantic ignited the jet and the UK sat on the boundary.. it may just induce low pressure and trough activity to our SW riding on its northern heat line.

cumbrian ice May be a sleety cover at that level, but will probably need to go up to about 450m to guarantee a decent cover.. we shall see.

Did we experience any airflow that wasn't between NW and south all month, this factor combined with the exceptional warm SSTs makes it no surprise it was so mild.

Will be interesting to see where the snowline is in the morning. There has been a good 8 hrs of snow on the tops today.. current temp 2.7 degrees. 400m is my reckoning. A snowy weekend on the fells.

NEVES SCREAMER Not felt this winter at all, the 12 inches of snow on 2 Dec was great, but other than that, and the cold mini spell 15-19 Jan, it is one I will forget instantly in sadly a long run if just wet dull and very mild winters. Wanting sunshine now, its felt especially dull since October. Roll on spring.

What has happened to February! Used to be the month most likely to bring a cold high pressure spell, December nowadays more likely to do so.. This Feb a complete shocker, all those long range forecasts showing heights to NW, and low heights to SE, how wrong. Another very mild, very wet and dull winter. Feb 24 a complete non entity month in all ways, what a tedious month.

russwirral Yes there are deep pink colours over the fells, its cold rain here, current temp a raw 3 degrees. No first day in spring Friday feeling here...

Just cold rain here, current temp 4.4 degrees, a colder day than most in February. Suspect the fells are receiving a good dosing. Weekend set rather cold, tomorrow wintry showers, Sunday cloudy and cold. An unspringlike start to March, spring tends to take until the equinox to kick in fully, first half of March often has a winter-spring tug o' war feel..

In these set ups the rain radar is an excellent lesson in understanding the altitude of the UK, the colours act as a relief contour map. Greens and pinks denote the high ground. Currently green line 200m, pink line 300m.

There is a light snow cover on the fells, roughly 500m plus. Current temp 3.1 degrees. Expecting sleety rain here, if there was a more larger pulse of precipitation perhaps evaporative cooling would have kicked in, but alas a narrow band won't do the trick. Overnight and into tomorrow might bring a few sleety snow showers.

Mark_p Should be a good cover tomorrow which will hold to Monday, same as last weekend, though the cover was thin and at 600m plus mainly.

Its been similiar to 97-98 as well.. the super el nino year. A winter to forget if you are a cold snow lover. Very disappointing, Feb exceptionally so.

Methuselah Depends if the draw is long fetch from Russia, then cold and wintry, but may just be a raw chill cloudy SE flow with near average temps.

Expecting a rather non-descript month overall, quite near average sunshine, rainfall wise. Some lengthy chilly conditions at times, outside chance of more substantive cold should we pull in a cold easterly by mid month. Good chance it will be colder than Feb but not by much, 7.5 degrees my guess. Slow moving trough features at times.

ECM going for a cold easterly, backing the trough far west. UKMO heading in the same direction. GFS going with a similiar evolution but doesn't quite pull in the cold easterly instead heights sink through the UK. A change to something very different on the way, heights building strong to our east. Question is whether low heights disrupt and undercut cleanly to allow a long fetch easterly draw, or hold in situ to our west, enabling a milder SE draw. First half of March with a long draw easterly certainly not late in the season to deliver wintry goods.

Take out the 1-7 Dec and 6-19 Jan, this winter has been a shocker for cold and wintry weather. The heavy snow on 2 Dec was a major event and has helped keep it out of the very poorest ranking winters for snow at least, and the 15-19 Jan was a decent cold spell, tarnished by the snow on the 16th turning to rain. However the rest of the winter consign to the bin really. February a complete write off the sleet on 8 Feb a kick in the teeth, hardly any frost. Also a wet dull winter but thankfully no major flooding events. 3 wintry weeks, cancelled out by 10 very non wintry ones. Winter 24-25 must do better overall.

Odd warning for SW mention of snow.. but nothing for NW where risk of snow is higher, indeed met office states sleet tomorrow afternoon.. Possibly may be a warning in next hour or so.. certainly chance of significant snow modest heights.

A Winter's Tale Winter 03-04 produced a few short sharp northerly snaps, notably around New Year, late Jan, and notably late Feb into March. Admittedly I was in NE England at the time, more exposed to snow showers, further west will have seen less. I would rank it higher than the likes of 19/20, 15/16 - certainly so, 18/19 and 21/22 - they were all shockers for cold and snow.

I'll be looking for a very mild end to Nov, start to Dec with rampant zonal winds and PV, for promise of cold next season. Early cold before christmas since 2019 with exception of 2020 has been a bad omen for cold thereafter. I always feel the synoptics and state of play around christmas gives clues how rest of winter may pan out, cold outbreaks a good omen, locked in mild not so.. case in point late Dec 14, 17 and 20 brought a degree of cold and snow, followed by average or cold rest of winter. All others since 2013, not so..

On clear days, light levels linger after 6pm, whereas days such as today with rain and low cloud mean light levels diminish rapidly by half 5. We are in that transition period, but until the clocks go forward it remains the 'dark' part of the year. I find March very frustrating as someone who tends to finish work by 6pm, there is just not enough light to make use of the early evenings.

Had Worse May be similiar to the event back on a Thursday 8th Feb I think which was a 200m plus affair.. Back to today, a deteriorating day, rain set in at lunchtime becoming heavy late afternoon with an early dark descent into dusk. Also not at all feeling mild, my max was less than 8 degrees, below the 10 forecast.

No met office warnings, high bet it will snow then.. I'm surprised no warning for high ground at least, given we had warnings in more marginal set ups. I wonder if the lack of warning is because they've been burned too many times this season. May still be a warning tomorrow. The Sat 2 Dec event, 24 hrs out had us under no warning.. only 12 inches fell!

We've experienced our greatest single fall of snow believe it or not since March 06, in an otherwise fairly snow starved season. Very akin to the storm arwen event late Nov 21 which brought extreme weather with snow then a snowless winter. Take out the 2 Dec event I'd be ranking it as one of worse winters on snowfall front. Cold wise, 2 decent albeit short spells late Nov- early Dec, and 2 weeks 6-19 Jan, again pushes the winter up the rankings, however, outside these periods the degree of mild weather has been exceptional. Feb 24 will go down as abysmal snow and cold wise.. Overall better than 13-14, 15-16, 16-17, 18-19, 19-20, 21-22 for cold and snow despite the anomalous warmth. My rankings, cold and snow wise, with 1 being snowiest (number of days and depth) and coldest . 1. 20-21 2. 17-18 3. 14-15 4. 22-23 5. 23-24 6. 16-17 7. 18-19 8. 19-20 9. 21-22 10. 15-16 11. 13-14

A rather miserable day weatherwise, moderate rain for a few hours, cleared mid afternoon, rather cold as well. Friday- Saturday has interest for snow lovers, low thicknesses sub 528 dam air..probably a high ground affair, but in any heavy bursts certainly snow could fall to low levels. Cold sleety rain to greet Spring isn't what many want no doubt, March can be a very raw cold month.